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Bahrain Food and Drink Report Q1 2010

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Nov. 5, 2009 - 55 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Bahrain Food Industry SWOT
Bahrain Drink Industry SWOT
Bahrain Mass Grocery Retail SWOT
Business Environment
Middle East Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Ratings Overview
Looking Forward
Middle East Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings Q1 2010
Bahrain’s Food & Drink Business Environment Rating
BMI’s Core Global Industry Views
BMI’s Core Views For The Food & Drink Industry
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Bahrain Economic Activity, 2006-2013
Food
Industry Forecast Scenario
Food Consumption
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2005-2014
Trade
Table: Bahrain Food, Drink & Tobacco Trade Indicators (US$mn) - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2005-2013
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Agriculture
Key Food Processors
Halal Food
Table: Muslim Populations In Select Countries
Drink
Industry Forecast Scenario
Soft Drinks
Table: Drinks Indicators - Historical Data And Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Soft Drinks
Alcoholic Drinks
Hot Drinks
Mass Grocery Retail
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Bahrain MGR Sales Value By Format - Historical Data And Forecasts
Table: Bahrain Grocery Retail Sales By Format (%) - Historical Data And Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Table: Structure Of Bahrain’s MGR Market By Number Of Outlets
Table: Structure Of Bahrain’s MGR Market - Sales Value By Retail Format (US$mn)
Table: Structure Of Bahrain’s MGR Market - Sales Value By Retail Format (BHDbn)
Table: Value Of Sales Per Outlet, 2008e
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Food and Drink
Table: Key Players in Bahrain’s Food & Drink Sector
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Key Players in Bahrain’s MGR Sector
Company Profiles
Food
Bahrain Flour Mills Company (BFMC)
General Trading And Food Processing Company (TRAFCO)
Kraft Foods MEA
Delmon Poultry Company
Drink
Awal Dairy Company
Mass Grocery Retail
EMKE Group (LuLu hypermarket)
Fu-Com International/Géant
Carrefour MAF - Bahrain
Appendix
Country Snapshot: Bahrain Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2002-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 1999-2004 (US$)
Table: Average Annual Wages
Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Ratings System
Indicators
Limits Of Potential Returns
Risks To Realisation Of Potential Returns
Weighting
Weighting
BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
BMI Food & Drink Forecasting And Sources
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Sources

Abstract

Bahrain has slipped into third position behind the UAE and Qatar in BMI’s regional Food & DrinkBusiness Environment Ratings table for Q110. Despite a small population (no more than 1mn), even byregional standards, Bahrain’s business environment remains the Gulf region’s best, with its regulatoryenvironment scoring 8 out 10 from BMI. Although regional investors seeking explosive long-termvolume growth will continue to look to Saudi Arabia, Egypt and possibly Iran, our forecast that softdrinks value sales in Bahrain will increase 49.9% to BHD47.9mn (US$127.4mn) through to 2014 couldtempt Gulf producers aiming to diversify coverage of their higher value products.

The same industry demand triggers apply in Bahrain as in the wider Gulf region. The country’s harshclimate and the absence of a notable alcoholic drinks industry gives the soft drinks industry a level ofdominance that is almost unique to the Middle East region. Although the structural development of theindustry does not favour the carbonates category (value growth is expected to be weaker than in thebottled water and fruit juice categories during our forecast period), volume and product developmentopportunities for the market-leading brands of PepsiCo and the improving Coca-Cola have not beencompletely extinguished, particularly when considering the growing market for zero-calorie carbonates.

It is the bottled water and fruit juice categories that BMI believes will drive the wider industry over ourforecast period, as product development investment by the market leaders ties in to the evolution in thetastes and preferences of consumers. On the bottled water front, the rising popularity of bulk water islikely to play an increasingly important role in driving volume growth, while further productsegmentation by domestic and regional market leaders is likely to lead the fruit juice category. Not to becompletely outshined, functional drinks demand will continue to grow promisingly over the forecastperiod, in our view, on the back of increasing health consciousness.

Although the Bahraini market arguably lacks the premiumisation potential of the UAE, Kuwait or Qatar,or the volume potential of Saudi Arabia (and Iran and Egypt too, if we look beyond the Gulf), the relativequality of Bahrain’s business environment and the soft drinks industry’s upbeat outlook should ensurethat it continues to pull in its fair share investment from existing players and regional firms looking toincrease their revenue catchment areas.

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