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Greece Food and Drink Report Q1 2010

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Nov. 5, 2009 - 70 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Greece Food Industry SWOT
Greece Drink Industry SWOT
Greece Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Business Environment
BMI’s Core Global Industry Views
Table: BMI’s Core Views For The Food & Drink Industry
Western Europe Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Table: Western Europe Food And Drink Business Environment Ratings Q1 2010
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Greece - Economic Activity, 2006-2013
Food
Industry Forecast Scenario
Total Food Consumption
Table: Greece Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data And Forecasts
Trade
Table: Food And Drink Trade Balance - Historical Data And Forecasts
Prepared/Canned Food
Table: Canned Food Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data And Forecasts
Confectionery
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data And Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Food Production
Leading Producers
Trade
Agriculture
Dairy
Organic
Seafood
Drink
Industry Forecast Scenario
Hot Drinks
Table: Hot Drink Value Sales - Historical Data And Forecasts
Soft Drinks
Table: Soft Drink Value Sales - Historical Data And Forecasts
Alcoholic Drinks
Table: Alcoholic Drink Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data And Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Alcoholic Drinks
Spirits
Beer
Wine
Soft Drinks
Hot Drinks
Mass Grocery Retail
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Greece Mass Grocery Retail - Value Sales by Format - Historical Data And Forecasts
Table: Grocery Retail Sales by Format - Historical Data And Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Leading MGR Players
Table: Structure Of The Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number Of Outlets
Table: Structure of the Greek Mass Grocery Retail Market by Value (EURmn)
Table: Average Value Of MGR Outlets 2008
Competitive Landscape
Food
Table: Key Players Greece's Food Sector, 2008
Drink
Table: Key Players Greece's Drink Sector, 2008
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Key Players Greece's Mass Grocery Retail Sector, 2008
Company Monitor
Food
Unilever Greece
Fage Dairy Industry SA
Vivartia
Drink
Coca-Cola Hellenic Beverages Company (CCHBC)
J. Boutaris & Sons Holding (Boutari Group)
Athenian Brewery SA
Mass Grocery Retail
Carrefour Marinopoulos
Atlantic Supermarket SA
Alfa-Beta Vassilopoulos SA
Appendix
Food And Drink Business Environment Ratings
Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Ratings System
Indicators
Limits Of Potential Returns
Risks To Realisation Of Potential Returns
Weighting
Weighting
BMI Food And Drink Industry Glossary
Mass Grocery Retail
BMI Food And Drink Forecasting And Sourcing
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Sourcing

Abstract

In Greece, annual real GDP growth turned negative for the first time in 16 years in Q209, with theNational Statistics Service (NSS) posting a -0.3% y-o-y outturn. While BMI still expects the economicdownturn to have got worse in H209, the tentative emergence of the eurozone from recession, combinedwith the fairly mild downturn in Greece during H1, has led to a revision of the full-year forecast. BMInow expects the economy to contract by 0.6% in 2009, from a previous projection of -3.5%.

Results published during the quarter from some of country’s largest food and drink players reflect animprovement in trading conditions. In August, Greek dairy producer Fage reported that it had swung backinto profit in the first half of the year, following two successive years of losses. In the six months to June30 the firm generated net profits of EUR6.2mn (US$9.1mn), which compares with a loss of EUR11.1mn(US$16.4mn) in the same period in 2008 and a loss of EUR11.7mn (US$17.2mn) for 2008 as whole. Thehealthy performance was driven by an improvement in gross profits and the positive impact from thereduction of a fine imposed by the Greek Competition Authority. However, net sales over the period fellby 3.9%, with the decline largely attributable to the economic downturn and less profitable sectors suchas feta and graviera cheese. In Greece, Fage is the market leader in the yoghurt, packaged cheese, UHTmilk and cream sectors. However, the level of competition means that over the last five years the firm'snet sales have stagnated while gross profit margins have declined. Notably, the drop in profitabilityreversed in the first half of 2009, with cost of sales as a percentage of sales falling and gross marginincreasing. This can be partly attributed to the global fall in raw milk prices, in line with the economicdownturn, which has constrained demand for dairy products in emerging markets. On the positive side,the firm continued to enjoy success on the export front, led by its Total Greek yoghurt brand. In the firsthalf of 2009 Fage's international sales increased by 3.6% in volume terms and 10.5% in value terms, duelargely to volume growth in the US and Italy, which offset a decline in volumes in the UK.

Also during August, Greece-based soft drinks producer Coca-Cola Hellenic (CCH) announced that itsnet profit increased by 7% year-on-year (y-o-y) to EUR194mn (US$279.2mn) and its sales volumeincreased by 1% y-o-y to 593mn unit cases during Q209. CCH managing director, Doros Constantinou,said the company exceeded forecast figures despite the ongoing economic slowdown that adverselyaffected demand for soft drinks in key markets. He added that cost-saving initiatives and lowercommodity costs helped in achieving a strong operating profit performance in the quarter.

Overall, Greek consumers are becoming increasingly adventurous when choosing food and drinkproducts. In the past, Grecians have not strayed far from their traditional diet of fresh produce, prepared athome and sourced locally, but this is gradually changing with Greek consumers increasingly opting forready-prepared items, presenting further opportunities for food and drink producers.

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