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Czech Republic Food and Drink Report Q1 2010

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Nov. 5, 2009 - 88 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Czech Republic Food Industry SWOT
Czech Republic Drink Industry SWOT
Czech Republic Mass Grocery Retail SWOT
Business Environment
CEE Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Table: Emerging Europe Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings Q1 2010
Czech Republic’s Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
BMI’s Core Global Industry Views
BMI’s Core Views For The Food & Drink Industry
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Czech Republic - Economic Activity, 2006-2013
Food
Industry Forecast Scenario
Food Consumption
Table: Czech Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data And Forecasts
Confectionery
Table: Value/Volume Sales of Confectionery - Historical Data And Forecasts
Canned Food
Table: Value/Volume Sales Of Canned Food - Historical Data And Forecasts
Trade
Table: Czech Republic Food, Drink And Tobacco Trade* Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Food Production
Leading Players
Food Consumption
Specialist Foods
Confectionery
Canned Food
Trade
Agriculture
Dairy Production
Organic Food
Drink
Industry Forecast Scenario
Alcoholic Drinks
Table: Czech Alcoholic Beverage Sectors - Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data And Forecasts
Soft Drinks
Table: Czech Soft Beverage Sectors - Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data And Forecasts
Hot Drinks
Table: Czech Hot Beverage Sectors - Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data And Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Alcoholic Drinks
Beer
Leading Players
Non-Alcoholic Beer
Wine
Spirits
Soft Drinks
Hot Drinks
Mass Grocery Retail
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Czech Mass Grocery Retail - Value Sales By Format - Historical Data And Forecasts
Table: Czech Republic - Sales Breakdown By Retail Format Type (As % Of Total)
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Leading Players
Table: Structure Of The Czech Republic’s Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number Of Outlets, 2001-2008
Table: Structure of the Mass Grocery Retail Market by Value
Table: Value Sales Per Outlet, 2008
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Table: Czech Republic Key Players - Food, Drink And Tobacco Sector (2008)
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Czech Republic Key Players - Mass Grocery Retail Sector (2008)
Company Analysis
Food
Nestlé Cesko
Madeta
Hamé
Drink
Plzensky Prazdroj
Budejovicky Budvar
Karlovarske Mineralni Vody (KMV)
Kofola Group (formerly Kofola-Hoop)
Mass Grocery Retail
Ahold Czech Republic AS
Tesco Stores CR
Lidl & Schwarz
Rewe
Appendix
Country Snapshot: Czech Republic Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2002-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012
Food And Drink Business Environment Ratings
Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Ratings System
Indicators
Limits Of Potential Returns
Risks To Realisation Of Potential Returns
Weighting
Weighting
BMI Food And Drink Industry Glossary
Food And Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
BMI Food And Drink Forecasting And Sourcing
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Sourcing

Abstract

In BMI’s Q110 Business Environment Ratings (BER) matrix for the 15 key markets of the emergingEurope region, the Czech Republic occupies third position, a big improvement from its previous ranking.

Having been placed eighth in Q409, the country’s mature and steady market conditions are providing asafer bet for food and drinks players than emerging, but also volatile, Turkey, for example. While letdown by its modest forecast food consumption growth per capita and the currently negative trade balance,the overall score is buoyed by maximum scores for soft and alcoholic drinks consumption per capita, aswell as by the near-perfect score for food consumption per capita.

Nevertheless, although the forecast food consumption growth is modest, the sector is still expected to posta 16.61% increase in value between 2009 and 2014, as measured in local currency terms, even though2009’s difficulties will artificially boost the growth rate. The prolonged economic difficulties are turningconsumers towards more economical products, including discount items and private label goods. All ofthose factors will be negatively reflected in the development of the value of the food and drinks market, atleast in the shorter term, compounded by political wrangling over 2010 budget. In the meantime, anumber of retail operators have already cut down the number of non-essential lines they stock. By 2014,the value of food consumption in the country is expected to reach CZK243.1bn (US$13.8bn).

On the purely economic front, we hold to our view that the rate of economic decline will have begun tostabilise during H209, as both external and domestic demand conditions tentatively improve.

Additionally, we stress that - despite this improvement - economic growth over the medium term will beconstrained by European Union (EU)-wide deleveraging, which will weigh on external demand for Czechgoods going forward. Nevertheless, during Q209, household expenditure increased by 1.6% y-o-yfollowing 1.8% growth during Q109. This is in marked contrast to elsewhere in Central and EasternEurope (CEE), where consumer spending has been hit hard by rising unemployment of falling incomes,although retail sales did plunge in Q209.

In terms of major industry developments, despite a steady domestic performance, leading CzechRepublic-based food processor Hamé reported a 2% year-on-year (y-o-y) H109 (January-June 2009)sales contraction. Hamé was weighed down by the inability of many of its suppliers, particularly inRussia and Ukraine, to meet payment deadlines, which has forced the firm to impose stricter parameters.

In the meantime, its compatriot bakery group - United Bakeries, a subsidiary of Luxembourg-basedbakery group European United Bakeries - denied rumours of a take-over, although the continuation ofthe economic downturn may reverse its position. In other negative news, Anglo-South African brewinggiant SABMiller announced that it would reduce its annual beer volume growth target for its Europeanregion to 2-4% over the medium term, from the previous target of 4-6%, in the face of flaggingconsumption in its key markets, which include the Czech Republic and Poland.

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