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Indonesia Infrastructure Report Q1 2010

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Nov. 5, 2009 - 92 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
Market Overview
Global Overview
New Infrastructure Data Series - Some Key Findings
Governments To The Rescue: The Global Surge In Infrastructure Spending
Table: Infrastructure Stimulus Plans List, Correct As Of July 2009
SWOT Analysis
Indonesia Infrastructure Industry SWOT
Indonesia Political SWOT
Indonesia Economic SWOT
Indonesia Business Environment SWOT
Major Infrastructure Developments And Key Projects
Transport Infrastructure Overview
Developing Roads
More Track Needs To Be Laid
Tourists Boost Airport Sector
Trade Mainly By Water
Industry Forecast: Transport Infrastructure
Table: Indonesia - Transport And Infrastructure Industry Data
New And Ongoing Projects
Airports
Ports
Roads And Bridges
Railways
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Overview
Industry Forecast: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure
Table: Indonesia - Energy And Utilities And Infrastructure Industry Data
New And Ongoing Projects
Power Plants And Transmission Grids
Pipelines
Water
Construction Overview
Commercial Construction
Major Projects Table
Table: Indonesia - Major Infrastructure Projects
Industry Forecast Scenario: Construction And Infrastructure
Risks
Table: Indonesia - Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data
Business Environment
Asia Pacific Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings
Table: Regional Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings
Limits Of Potential Returns
Risks To Realisation Of Returns
Project Finance Ratings: Outlook For Asia Pacific, September 2009
Table: Design And Construction Rating
Table: Commissioning And Operating Rating
Table: Overall Project Finance Rating
Foreign Investment Policy
Labour Force
Legal Framework
Tax Regime
Corruption
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Indonesia - Economic Activity
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Long-Term Political Outlook
Company Monitor
PT Adhi Karya
John Holland Group
PT Wijaya Karya (WIKA)

Abstract

This quarter BMI has introduced a new data series for infrastructure and its subsectors (transport andenergy & utilities). This is an effort to address a significant deficiency in the availability of globallycomparable, infrastructure-specific indicators and forecasts across a wide range of countries. BMI's newinfrastructure data series enables users to quantify trends and growth patterns in the infrastructure sectorsof the 35 main emerging and developed markets out of the 62 countries in BMI's infrastructure service.

This quarter the sector received a boost after the House of Representatives in Indonesia announced that itis now willing to consider widening the 2010 budget deficit to 2.5% of GDP on condition that the moneyis strictly invested in infrastructure development - specifically in roads, electricity and agricultureprojects - reports the Jakarta Globe, citing a lawmaker. The chairman of Indonesian House CommissionXI, Hafiz Zawawi, said that if the government raised the 2010 budget deficit to 2% from the planned1.6%, it would ensure IDR23trn (US$2.3bn) for infrastructure spending at an estimated GDP growth of5%, which would almost double the funds allocated to infrastructure in the stimulus package for 2009.

BMI forecasts that total 2009 infrastructure industry value in Indonesia will reach IDR152.8trn(US$15bn), rising to IDR167.3trn (US$16.59bn) in 2010.

Meanwhile, in August 2009, the pre-feasibility study for a proposed 30km bridge connecting Java andSumatra in Indonesia was presented to the central government following two years of study. Theconstruction of the bridge is expected to cost IDR100trn (US$10.07bn). The bridge could be open totraffic by 2020 if construction starts in 2012. The governor of Banten province, Ratu Atut Chosiyah, saidthat according to the study the bridge could boost the province's economic growth by 2-8%, and couldboost the Lampung province by 4-11%. However, it is unlikely that the Indonesian government couldfinance more than a third of the project's cost. According to the National Development Planning Agency(Bappenas) the government will finance at least 29% of the total IDR1,430trn US$140bn) that is expectedto be spent on infrastructure between 2009 and 2014.

In further positive news, in September 2009 it was announced that PT Medco Energi International islooking to build a new US$400mn geothermal power plant in Northern Sumatra. According to Reuters,the company is also looking to spend US$100mn on a biofuel project in Papua Island. With Indonesialooking to expand in renewable energy, areas such as geothermal power could be ripe for expansion. PTMedco Energi is looking to develop around 1mn hectares of land to develop biofuel feedstock.

Meanwhile, the World Bank is looking to provide Indonesia with around US$300mn in grants or loans toenable it to further develop its clean energy sector. Through the Clean Technology Fund the World Bankpresently manages around US$5bn in funds. Indonesia has the world’s third largest capacity forgeothermal energy, yet is still heavily reliant on non-renewable sources such as coal.

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