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Central America Telecommunications Report Q4 2009

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Nov. 4, 2009 - 79 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Central America Telecommunications SWOT
Business Environment
Latin America Business Environment Rankings
Central America
Table: BMI Telecommunications Business Environment Ratings
Industry Forecast Scenario
Mobile
Table: Central America - Mobile Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts
Fixed Line
Table: Central America - Fixed-Line Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts
Internet
Table: Central America - Internet Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts
Market Data Analysis
Mobile
Belize
Table: Belize - Mobile Market, June 2009
Costa Rica
Table: Costa Rica - Mobile Market, June 2009
El Salvador
Table: El Salvador - Mobile Market, June 2009
Guatemala
Table: Guatemala - Mobile Market, June 2009
Honduras
Table: Honduras - Mobile Market, June 2009
Nicaragua
Table: Nicaragua - Mobile Market, June 2009
Panama
Table: Panama - Mobile Market, June 2009
3G
Mobile Contract Wins
Table: Mobile Contract Wins
Fixed Line
Belize
Costa Rica
El Salvador
Guatemala
Table: Guatemala - Fixed-Line Market, June 2008
Honduras
Title: Honduras - Fixed Lines In Service (‘000)
Nicaragua
Panama
Internet
Belize
Costa Rica
El Salvador
Guatemala
Honduras
Table: Honduras - Internet Market
Nicaragua
Table: Nicaragua - Internet Subscriber Types (%)
Panama
Regulatory Environment & Industry Developments
Table: Central America - Telecoms Regulators
Belize
Costa Rica
El Salvador
Guatemala
Honduras
Nicaragua
Panama
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Table: Key Players - Central America - Telecoms Sector
Table: Selected Operators - Financial Indicators (US$mn)
Company Monitor
Vendor Profile
Table: Huawei Contract Sales
Table: USB Modems In Latin America By Operator
Profiles
Regional Profile: Millicom International Cellular
SWOT Analysis
Table: Millicom International Cellular Subscribers, 2008-2009 (‘000)
Regional Profile: América Móvil
SWOT Analysis
Table: América Móvil Subscribers, 2008-2009 (‘000)
Table: América Móvil Mobile Data, 2008-2009
Appendix:
Regional Telecommunications Penetration Overview
Fixed Line
Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview
Internet
Table: Regional Internet Penetration Overview
Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview
Mobile
Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview
Telecoms Business Environment Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Weighting
Table: Weighting
Indicators
BMI Telecoms Industry Glossary
BMI Telecommunications Forecasting & Sourcing
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Telecommunications Industry Forecasting:
Key Indicators
Business Environment Ratings
Sources

Abstract

Central America hosts a wide range of markets from the highly competitive to the monopoly markets. ElSalvador and Guatemala have reported high growth on the back of several operators competing forsubscribers. Meanwhile Costa Rica’s market is on the cusp of seeing competition enter its internet marketand the entrance of new mobile operators is highly anticipated. Costa Rica holds such high potential formobile growth and BMI expects there to be a great level of interest in providing services to rivalincumbent Instituto Costarricense de Electricidad (ICE). The monopoly operator has been boosting itsown profile by contracting vendors to help it provide a greater range of services in preparation for newcompetition.

Meanwhile, Belize’s telecoms market incumbent has held an exceptionally strong position in its marketfor several years, culminating in the government seizing shares and renationalising the company. Thegovernment says it does not intend to hold on to the 94% stake in the operator and will seek to sell offsmaller shares of the company to new investors. This could mark the start of a new era for Belize’stelecoms sector, which retains considerable growth potential. Nonetheless, BMI remains concerned overthe new ownership of the incumbent and lowered Belize’s score for Independence of Regulator in ourBusiness Environment Rankings although that did not affect the overall position of Belize in relation toits neighbouring markets.

New competition in Honduras and Panama has boosted these markets and forced the existing operators toup their game. Digicel reported strong increases early on in its Honduras and Panama launches whileAmérica Móvil, which launched only in Panama, reported few new subscribers at the end of June 2009.

The operator faces and uphill struggle as the market is already quite mature and new subscribers areharder to come by. However, the prospect of number portability and its early launch of 3G services willput it in good stead to acquire a good share of the market.

Central American markets saw no changes to their rankings in Q409 despite some changes to individualscores. With fewer new launches expected, except in Costa Rica, and markets approaching maturity itseems that the rankings have settled somewhat leaving Central American markets spread across the tableamong larger Latin American countries. El Salvador and Guatemala remain in the top half of the tablewith competitive markets and high penetration rates. While Honduras, Nicaragua and Costa Rica havehigher growth potential there are different factors holding these markets back and keeping them at thebottom of the rankings.

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