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Greece Defence and Security Report Q4 2009

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Nov. 3, 2009 - 51 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Greece Political SWOT
Greek Defence Industry SWOT
Greek Security SWOT
Political Overview
Domestic Politics
Security Risk Analysis
Security Risk Ratings
Table: Europe Regional Security Risk Ratings
Table: Europe State Terrorism Vulnerability Index
Greece’s Security Risk Ratings
City Terrorism Rating
Table: BMI’s Western Europe City Terrorism Index
Europe Regional Security Overview
Security Overview
Internal Security Situation
Table: Greece Insurgent Groups
Latest Developments
Timeline: Internal Threats
Domestic Terrorism
Corruption
Organised Crime
External Security Situation
Latest Developments
Timeline: External Threats
International Terrorism
Armed Forces
Table: Regional Armed Forces, 2007 (‘000, including conscripted)
Defence Reforms
International Deployments
Table: Foreign Deployments
Co-ordination And Joint Operations
Market Overview
Arms Trade Overview
Industry Trends And Developments
Latest Developments
Defence Industry: Recent Developments
Procurement Background
Industry Forecast Scenario
Army Enlargements
Table: The Greek Armed Forces, 2005-2013 (‘000 personnel)
Government Expenditure On Defence Industry
Table: Government Expenditure On Defence Industry, 2005-2013
Macroeconomic Forecast
Table: Greece - Economic Activity, 2006-2013
Company Profiles
Hellenic Defence Systems (EAS)
INTRACOM SA (Hellenic Telecommunications & Electronics Industry)
BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Defence Industry
Sources

Abstract

The Greek ministry of defence had planned to issue a request for proposals for a new advanced jet trainerin mid-2010, but this now appears to have been postponed until the second half of 2010. These aircraft,equipped with glass cockpits, are needed to train Greek pilots to fly the advanced versions of the F-16which is now in service and the more advanced aircraft due to be ordered. The delay is due to growingbudget constraints, which are a result of the global economic crisis. The crisis has also affected the keyGreek tourist and shipping industries.

Meanwhile, the government is coming under pressure to increase the strength of the navy to combat thedual threats of piracy and illegal immigration. As a major shipping state, Greece is particularly vulnerableto piracy around core transport routes such as the Suez Canal and the Gulf of Aden. In 2008 there were anestimated 293 cases of piracy in the world, of which around 111 were in the Gulf of Aden. The mostactive Greek military operation is in the Indian Ocean where a Hellenic navy frigate is participating in theNATO Standing Maritime Group 2’s anti-piracy mission off the coast of Somalia. NATO has recentlyasked Greece to make a larger contribution to anti-piracy activities in the Indian Ocean.

BMI also believes that the country will have to increase resources to its coast guard to deal with illegalimmigration. The Greek coast guard recorded 536 cases of illegal immigration by sea in 2008, with a totalof 146,000 migrants detained by the government in that year. With over 6,000 islands, Greece hasbecome one of the primary gateways into Europe for people-smugglers, with the main route from Turkeyless than a mile away across the Aegean sea. It is estimated that half of the EU’s illegal immigrants aredetected at Greece’s land or sea borders. The Greek coast guard has already had to upgrade its equipment,and now uses satellite navigation and night-vision technology, while army observation posts have beenset up on the island of Samos. However, more may have to be done to halt the flow of people trying to getinto the country.

Meanwhile, the domestic security situation has deteriorated. Left wing extremists continued theircampaign of bombings and assassinations through the summer of 2009, including a bomb attack on theAthens stock exchange on September 2, causing one person minor injuries. On the same day anotherbomb exploded near a local government building in Thessaloniki, causing minor damage and no injuries.

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