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Budget Shopper - US

Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.

Published: Oct. 1, 2009 - 80 Pages


Table of Contents


SCOPE AND THEMES

What you need to know

Definition

Data sources

Abbreviations and terms

Abbreviations

Terms



EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Reasons for budget shopping continue to accumulate

Most consumers continue to tighten their belts

Strict budgeting still less prevalent than opportunistic money-saving tactics

Supermarkets benefit from home dining, stronger private labels

Shopping at Walmart becoming a universal budgeting behavior

Other mass merchants struggle to strike the right recessionary tone

Warehouse clubs balance stock-up basics with treasure hunt

High-end department stores resort to discounts and sales

Value-priced department stores hold their own

Discount stores receive a recession-induced boost

Clothing shoppers cutting back and bargain hunting

Shoppers only slightly less likely to seek out deals on personal hygiene



MARKET DRIVERS

Key points

Belt tightening continues as the reasons for it accumulate

Consumer confidence

Figure 1: Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, January 2008-Aug 2009

Unemployment rate

Figure 2: U.S. national unemployment rate, January 2007-August 2009

Real household income

Figure 3: U.S. real median household income, by race and Hispanic origin, 1967-2008

Home values

Figure 4: U.S. existing home sales, median price, 2006-09

Consumer prices

Figure 5: Graph of Consumer Price Index, all items, January 2007-August 2009

Figure 6: Consumer Price Index, all items, January 2007-August 2009

Figure 7: Consumer Price Index, food at home, January 2007-August 2009

Figure 8: Consumer Price Index, food away from home, January 2007-August 2009

Figure 9: Consumer Price Index, motor fuel, January 2007-August 2009

Figure 10: Consumer Price Index, household energy, January 2007-August 2009



YEAR-OVER-YEAR BUDGETING TRENDS

Key points

A majority of consumers continue to tighten their belts

Figure 11: Year-over-year budgeting trends, by gender, July 2009

Adults of all ages budgeting more

Figure 12: Year-over-year budgeting trends, by gender, July 2009

Increased budgeting prevalent at all income groups

Figure 13: Year-over-year budgeting trends, by household income, July 2009

Larger families require more budgeting

Figure 14: Year-over-year budgeting trends, by number of children in household, July 2009

Hispanic households slightly more likely to tighten the budget

Figure 15: Year-over-year budgeting trends, by race/Hispanic origin, July 2009

Respondents cite a variety of reasons for tighter budgeting

A few notable differences between genders

Figure 16: Reasons for budgeting more, by gender, July 2009

Lifestage strongly influences motivations for budgeting

Figure 17: Reasons for budgeting more, by age, July 2009

Different budgeting concerns exist across income levels

Figure 18: Reasons for budgeting more, by household income, July 2009



CREATING THE BUDGET AND ASSESSING SALES

Key points

Budget vs. Bargain

Coupon use on the rise, especially online

Women lead in most budget-shopping tactics, but men may be gaining

Figure 19: Creating the budget and assessing sales, by gender, July 2009

Older adults quicker to clip

Figure 20: Creating the budget and assessing sales, by age, July 2009

Lower income adults budget more, clip less

Figure 21: Creating the budget and assessing sales, by household income, July 2009



WHERE CONSUMERS SHOP

Key points

Shoppers include more stores in their hunt for value

Figure 22: Average purchase occasions per household, % change vs prior year, 2009

Women more likely to shop in more outlets

Figure 23: Stores shopped, by gender, July 2009

Higher income shoppers shop in more stores

Figure 24: Stores shopped, by household income, July 2009



GROCERY STORE BUDGETING BEHAVIORS

Key points

Supermarkets benefit from home dining, but still face heavy competition

Developing and promoting private labels

Figure 25: Safeway private label TV spot, 2009

Editing and optimizing assortment

Everyday low prices

Figure 26: Safeway Everyday Low Prices TV spot, 2009

Grocery shoppers utilize a wide array of budget-shopping behaviors

Figure 27: Retail channel budgeting behavior, by gender, July 2009

Figure 28: Grocery store/supermarket budgeting behavior, by gender, July 2009

Coupon use higher among older shoppers

Figure 29: Grocery store/supermarket budgeting behavior, by age, July 2009



WALMART BUDGETING BEHAVIORS

Key points

Shopping at Walmart popular across demographic groups

Walmart’s impact felt across retail industry

Walmart promises empowerment to budget-conscious consumers

Figure 30: Walmart annual savings TV spot, 2009

Walmart shoppers look for sales and low prices

Figure 31: Walmart budgeting behavior, by age, July 2009

Figure 32: Walmart budgeting behavior, by household income, July 2009



MASS MERCHANDISER BUDGETING BEHAVIORS

Key points

Target struggles to strike the right recessionary tone

Figure 33: Target high expectations household products TV spot, 2009

Figure 34: Target high expectations fall fashions TV spot, 2009

Kmart gains ground by focusing on the basics

Figure 35: Kmart Back to School Layaway TV spot, 2009

Mass merchant shoppers focus on sale items

Figure 36: Mass merchandiser budgeting behavior, by gender, July 2009

Figure 37: Mass merchandiser budgeting behavior, by age, July 2009

Figure 38: Mass merchandiser budgeting behavior, by household income, July 2009



WAREHOUSE CLUB BUDGETING BEHAVIORS

Key points

Clubs offer blend of budgeting and bargains

BJ’s wins with hybrid strategy

Warehouse clubs cater to affluent customers

Club members go for bulk

Figure 39: Warehouse club budgeting behavior, by household income, July 2009



HIGHER-END DEPARTMENT STORE BUDGETING BEHAVIORS

Key points

Discounting becomes the norm

Challenges great at the highest end, where need is the new want

Macy’s

Nordstrom moves multi-channel

Higher-end department store shoppers look for sales

Figure 40: Higher-end department store budgeting behavior, by age, July 2009

Figure 41: Higher-end department store budgeting behavior, by household income, July 2009



VALUE-PRICED DEPARTMENT STORE BUDGETING BEHAVIORS

Key points

Value-priced chains hold their own in tough economy

Kohl’s gets aggressive

Figure 42: Kohl’s smart shopper TV spot, 2009

JCPenney stays in the game

Positioned for an online shopping future

Shopping sale items dominate behavior in value-priced department stores

Figure 43: Value-priced department store budgeting behavior, by age, July 2009

Figure 44: Value-priced department store budgeting behavior, by household income, July 2009



DISCOUNT STORE SUCH AS T.J. MAXX, ROSS, MARSHALLS BUDGETING BEHAVIORS

Key points

Discount stores receive a recession-induced boost

Figure 45: T.J. Maxx & Marshalls Intervention TV Spot, 2009

Both budget and bargain shopping at discount stores

Figure 46: Discount store budgeting behavior, by age, July 2009

Figure 47: Discount store budgeting behavior, by household income, July 2009



SHOPPING FOR CLOTHING

Key points

Clothing shoppers cutting back and bargain hunting

Retail sales results point to shoppers trading down

Women more likely to look for bargains

Figure 48: Clothing shopping budgeting behavior, by gender, July 2009

Younger adults far more engaged in apparel shopping

Figure 49: Clothing shopping budgeting behavior, by age, July 2009

Bargain shopping not limited to lower incomes

Figure 50: Clothing shopping budgeting behavior, by household income, July 2009



SHOPPING FOR PERSONAL HYGIENE

Key points

Shoppers only slightly less likely to seek out deals on personal hygiene

Figure 51: Personal care/hygiene shopping budgeting behavior, by gender, July 2009

Figure 52: Personal care/hygiene shopping budgeting behavior, by age, July 2009



PRIVATE LABEL

Key points

Private label use a widespread budget-shopping strategy

Use most prevalent among young, lower-income consumers

Figure 53: Private label shopping behavior, by age, July 2009

Figure 54: Private label shopping behavior, by household income, July 2009

Figure 55: Private label shopping behavior, by race/Hispanic origin, July 2009



EXTRA MONEY

Key points

Recession putting the squeeze on extra money

Dining out gets the nod when there’s extra cash

Figure 56: Extra money shopping behavior, by gender, July 2009

Figure 57: Extra money shopping behavior, by age, July 2009



APPENDIX: OTHER USEFUL TABLES

Discretionary Spending

Figure 58: Extra money shopping behavior, by household income, July 2009

Figure 59: Extra money shopping behavior, by race/Hispanic origin, July 2009



APPENDIX: TRADE ASSOCIATIONS

Abstract

The artful economizer

Mintel’s research confirms that shoppers across retail channels and demographic groups have come to expect sales, discounts, and bargains. And not surprisingly, off-price sales are on the rise. A.C. Nieslen research of grocery shopping supports the notion that shopping in that channel is increasingly deal-driven. About 43% of grocery purchases are sold on promotion, up two percentage points from a year earlier. Discounting has become even more prevalent at department and apparel stores as these channels struggle to reduce inventory levels in the face of shrinking demand.

Heavy discounting appears to have become standard operating procedure for retailers as they adjust, painfully, to budget shoppers’ increasingly frugal mindsets and stark financial realities. But while deep discounts may help in the short term to generate cash and clear out unsold goods, they certainly aren’t a healthy long-term business practice.



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