United Kingdom Telecommunications Report Q4 2009 : Market Research Report

United Kingdom Telecommunications Report Q4 2009

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Oct. 30, 2009 - 103 Pages

Executive Summary: SWOT Analysis; UK Mobile Sector SWOT; UK Fixed-Line Sector SWOT; UK Broadband Sector SWOT; United Kingdom Political SWOT; United Kingdom Economic SWOT; Business Environment Analysis; Western Europe; UK
Table: Western Europe Business Environment Rankings: Industry Forecast Scenario; Mobile
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2006-2013: Fixed Line
Table: Telecoms Sector - Fixed Line - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2006-2013: Internet
Table: Telecoms Sector - Internet - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2006-2013: Market Data Analysis; Mobile
Table: UK Mobile Market, Q209
Table: UK Mobile Market Net Additions, Q408 - Q209
Table: UK Mobile Network Operator Subscriber Mix, Q209: 3G; Mobile Contract Wins
Table: Mobile Contract Wins: Mobile Content; Regional Overview; SMS Revenues Under Pressure
Table: Data Revenues Failing To Reflect Increased Data Usage
Table: 3G And 3G Dongle Customers Soaring: UK
Table: Revenues By Operator (GBPmn): VAS Timeline
Table: VAS Timeline: Mobile Data
Table: UK Mobile Market Overview
Table: O2 - Mobile Market Overview
Table: Vodafone - Mobile Market Overview
Table: Hutchison 3G - Mobile Market Overview
Table: Orange - Mobile Market Overview
Table: T-Mobile - Mobile Market Overview: Fixed Line
Table: Exchange Line Numbers By Operator, 2006-2008 (‘000s)
Table: BT’s Dominance Decreasing? Access And Call Revenues (GBPmn): Broadband
Table: Residential And Small Business Broadband Connections (‘000), Q407-Q408: Pay-TV
Table: BT Vision Subscribers (‘000), Q207-Q209: Wireless Broadband; Wireline (Fixed-Line & Broadband) Developments; Table - Wireline Developments (2008-2009); Regulatory Environment
Table: Division Of Regulatory Responsibilities In The United Kingdom: Background & Regulatory Bodies; Regulatory Issues; Competition; Regulatory Development; Company Monitor
Table: Nokia Financial Highlights: Nokia’s Position In The Global Handset Market, Unit Sales (mn); Nokia’s Position In the Global Handset Market, Unit Sales (mn); Nokia Siemens Networks Net Sales By Geographic Area (EURmn)
Table: Nokia Siemens Networks Recent Contract Wins In Western Europe: O2; Orange; T-Mobile; Competitive Landscape
Table: Key Players - United Kingdom Telecoms Sector
Table: Selected Operators’ Financial Indicators: Fixed-Line Overview
Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview
Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview: Mobile Overview
Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview: Country Snapshot: UK Demographic Data; Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030: Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2002-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030: Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 2000-2005
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2011 (US$)
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012: BMI Telecoms Industry Glossary
Table: Telecommunications Glossary Of Terms: BMI Methodology; Business Environment Ratings Methodology; Ratings Overview; Weighting; Weighting; Indicators; Indicators; Telecommunications Forecast Modelling & Sourcing; How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts; Telecommunications Industry Forecast Table; Business Environment Ratings; Sources

Abstract

In BMI’s United Kingdom Telecommunications Report for Q409 we have slightly adjusted our mobileforecasts and the historical data for mobile market leader O2 UK. O2’s parent company Telefónica hasrevised its historical data for O2 UK, to align the method used for counting mobile subscribers across thegroup’s operations. This resulted in the UK’s mobile subscriber base being higher than we had previouslybelieved, at 126.4% at the end of 2008.

The main development in the UK telecoms market has been an end to speculation over the future of TMobileUK. In September 2009, T-Mobile’s parent company Deutsche Telekom, and France Telecom,the parent company of Orange UK, announced that they had agreed to merge their UK mobile units. Ifgiven regulatory clearance this will create a new mobile market leader with around 37% share of themarket and pave the way for huge cost savings. The reduction of the number of mobile network operatorsfrom five to four will relieve some of the intense competitive pressure on the mobile operators in what isoften cited as the most competitive mobile market in the region. The highly competitive nature of themarket has resulted in falling ARPUs and low margins for the operators, which according to theoperators, has threatened their capital expenditure requirements to develop their network infrastructure.The UK’s fixed-line sector remains in a steady state of decline as it continues to suffer from fixed-tomobilesubstitution and the growing popularity of VoIP services, in line with the rest of the region.Nevertheless, the UK is one of just three countries in the region to have fixed-line penetration still above50% at the end of 2008. The success of the UK in holding off fixed-line decline is driven by two factors.

The first factor is the abundance of flat-rate tariffs offering inclusive minutes, which has resulted from theoperators looking to compete with mobile tariffs, and intense competition between the fixed-lineoperators such as incumbent BT and alternative operators Virgin Media and Carphone Warehouse. Thesecond factor which is stemming the decline in the sector is the popularity of ADSL broadband, whichcurrently requires a fixed-line subscription. Once ‘naked’ ADSL is allowed we are expecting a sharpdrop-off in the number of fixed-line subscriptions in the UK.

The major developments in the broadband sector have been the further announcements of networkupgrades and expansions. The UK’s broadband speeds are relatively underdeveloped compared to someof its regional peers such as France and Germany, but commitments from incumbent BT and VirginMedia are resulting in network speeds progressing. This year has seen Virgin Media upgrade its cablenetwork to be capable of offering download speeds of up to 50Mbps, while BT has announced that it is inthe process of upgrading its ADSL network to ADSL2+ capable of offering download speeds of up to20Mbps and accelerating its fibre-optic network development plans.

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United Kingdom Telecommunications Report Q4 2009

Table of Contents

Abstract