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Market Share: 2Q09 SP switching and routing

Published by: Ovum Plc

Published: Sep. 16, 2009 - 15 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive summary
In a nutshell
Ovum view
Market improves, but macroeconomic climate still pressuring 2Q09 results
Key messages
2Q09 results
IP/MPLS market decline reversed during 2Q09
2Q09 highlights for technology-focused market segments
2Q09 highlights for application-focused market segments
2Q09 market share positions (rolling 4Q)
Market share
Alcatel-Lucent gains most share among top vendors
Market share changes
Analysis of quarterly results
Market growth and outlook
Softness expected to continue through 2009
Regional analysis
Emerging markets in Asia gain ground, now tied with North America in rolling 4Q revenues
Product-level analysis
Segment overview: technology-level analysis
Core IP/MPLS
Edge IP/MPLS
IP/Ethernet
ATM/MPLS
Segment overview: application-level analysis
IP transport and services
Ethernet transport and services
Legacy transport and services
Market trends
The ice is beginning to melt due to traffic growth and because carriers are running IP infrastructure hotter
RFP and tender trends
Financing
Key developments
IP applications
Competition
Links
List of Tables
Table 1: SP switching and routing, analysis of 2Q09 results
List of Figures
Figure 1: Quarterly revenues, global service provider S&R, 3Q07-2Q09
Figure 2: Market share, SP switching and routing (rolling 4Q), 3Q08-2Q09
Figure 3: Rolling 4Q market share gains and losses, 2Q09 vs. 1Q09
Figure 4: Packet transport market share by region (rolling 4Q), 2Q09 vs. 1Q09
Figure 5: Core IP/MPLS market, 3Q08-2Q09 revenues and share change
Figure 6: Edge IP/MPLS market, 3Q08-2Q09 revenues and share change
Figure 7: IP/Ethernet market, 3Q08-2Q09 revenues and share change
Figure 8: ATM/MPLS market, 3Q08-2Q09 revenues and share change
Figure 9: IP transport and services, 3Q08-2Q09 revenues and share change
Figure 10: Ethernet transport and services market, 3Q08-2Q09 revenues and share change
Figure 11: Legacy transport and services market, 3Q08-2Q09 revenues and share change

Abstract

The ice is beginning to melt but not has not cracked - global service provider switching and routing (S&R) equipment revenue was $2.7 billion in 2Q09, up 8% sequentially but down 22% compared to the same quarter last year. Versus 2Q08 IP/MPLS edge sales were down 16%, IP/MPLS core revenues were down 31%, and ATM sales were down 36%. Ovum believes the recent free-fall has ended and the market has stabilized. We have forecasted 2009 sales at $11.5 billion, down 14% from 2008; first- and second-quarter results bring this market to 46% of our forecast for 2009.

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