Endpoint Security for Business Desktops, Laptops & Mobile Devices 2009-2014

Published by: Juniper Research Limited

Published: Oct. 1, 2009 - 108 Pages

Table of Contents

Glossary

Executive Summary

Endpoint Security for Business

Report Aims

Scope of the Report

Endpoint Security Forecasts Overview

Figure ES1: Endpoint Security Revenues ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Table ES1: Endpoint Security Revenues ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Figure ES2: Business IT Security Revenues ($m) Split by Security Category 2008-2014

Table ES2: Business IT Security Revenues ($m) Split by Security Category 2008-2014

Figure ES3: Number of PCs (m) with Basic Antivirus and Firewall Foundation, Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Table ES3: Number of PCs (m) with Basic Antivirus and Firewall Foundation, Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Figure ES4: Basic Antivirus and Firewall Foundation Revenues ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Table ES4: Basic Antivirus and Firewall Foundation Revenues ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Mobile Device Security in the Business Environment

Figure ES5: Enterprise Mobile Security Revenues ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Table ES5: Enterprise Mobile Security Revenues ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Recommendations

End Users and IT Managers

Security Applications Providers

Operators

Trends Identified Through Research Interviews

Conclusion

1. Enterprise Security: Threats and Security Options

1.1 Introduction

1.2 Trends in Cyber Crime

1.2.1 Changes in Cyber Crime

Table 1.1: Cyber Security: Definitions

1.3 Security Parameters

1.4 The Threats

1.4.1 Two Principal Types of Threat

Figure 1.1: Internal & External Threat Origins Facing Desktops and Mobile Devices

1.4.2 Current Threat Status by Geographical Region

Table 1.2 Threat Status by Geographical Region

1.4.3 The Role of the Browser as a Threat Vector

Figure 1.2: The Mechanics of a Browser-based Attack

1.4.4 The Danger of Data Loss and Leakage

Figure 1.3: Leading Causes of Data Loss

1.4.5 What Data is For Sale?

Table 1.3: Data For Sale From Cyber Crime

1.4.6 Vulnerabilities

Figure 1.4: Vulnerabilities by Software Manufacturer

Figure 1.5: Vulnerabilities by Threat Type

1.5 Specific Threats

1.5.1 Keystroke Logging

Figure 1.6: The Mechanics of Keystroke Logging

1.5.2 The Botnet

Figure 1.7: Botnet Economics

1.5.3 Phishing and Spam

Figure 1.8: An Example of a Spam Message Linked to an Infected Site

1.6 Endpoint Security

Figure 1.9: Endpoint Security, Schematic Diagram

1.6.1 What Endpoint Security Comprises

Figure 1.10: The Corporate IT Security Ecosystem

1.7 The Endpoint Security Toolbox

1.7.1 Endpoint Security Levels

Figure 1.11: The Increasing Complexity of the Protection Market

1.7.2 Functions of Endpoint Security Solutions

i. The Ability to Detect and Block Malware

ii. The Ability to Secure Information Stored on Endpoints

iii. The Ability to Enforce Policy Compliance

iv. The Ability to Provide Secure Remote Access to Networks

v. The Ability to Allow for Centralised Management

1.7.3 Data Encryption

Figure 1.12: The Encryption Process

1.7.4 AntiVirus

1.7.5 Firewalls

Figure 1.13: Traditional Firewall Set Up

1.8 Conclusion

2. The Market for Business IT Security

2.1 Introduction

2.2 The Business IT Security Environment

2.2.1 Issues Specifically Affecting the US

2.2.2 Extending the Security Reach

2.2.3 Increasing Threat Management Complexity

i. End to End Mobile Security?

ii. Vendor Acquisitions

2.2.4 Companies Reviewing Security Needs

2.3 Business IT Security Market

2.3.1 Service Elements

2.3.2 Market Characteristics

2.3.3 Drivers

2.4 Forecasts

2.4.1 Methodology

Figure 2.1: Sizing the Business IT Security Market: Methodology

2.4.2 Trends and Assumptions

i. Basic Antivirus and AntiSpamware

ii. Encryption

iii. Intrusion Detection and Prevention, Advanced Firewall and VPN

Iv. Network Based Security and Endpoint Management

2.5 Business IT Security Forecasts

2.5.1 Revenue Forecasts by Security Category

Figure 2.2: Business IT Security Revenues ($m) Split by Security Category 2008-2014 (excludes mobile)

Table 2.1: Business IT Security Revenues ($m) Split by Security Category 2008-2014 (excludes mobile)

2.5.2 Revenue Forecasts by Region

Figure 2.3: Business IT Security Revenues ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014 (excludes mobile)

Table 2.2: Business IT Security Revenues ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014 (excludes mobile)

2.5.3 Basic Antivirus and Firewall Security Foundation Forecasts

Figure 2.4: Number of PCs with Basic Antivirus and Firewall Foundation (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Table 2.3: Number of PCs with Basic Antivirus and Firewall Foundation (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Figure 2.5: Basic Antivirus and Firewall Foundation Revenues ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Table 2.4: Basic Antivirus and Firewall Foundation Revenues ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

2.5.4 Encryption Forecasts

Figure 2.6: Number of Enterprise PCs with Encryption Installed (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Table 2.5: Number of Enterprise PCs with Encryption Installed (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Figure 2.7: Enterprise Encryption Revenues ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Table 2.6: Enterprise Encryption Revenues ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

2.5.5 Firewall, Intrusion Detection and VPN Forecasts

Figure 2.8: Business PCs with Advanced Firewall, Intrusion Detection and VPN Installed (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Table 2.6: Business PCs with Advanced Firewall, Intrusion Detection and VPN Installed (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Figure 2.9: Advanced Firewall, Intrusion Detection and VPN Revenues ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Table 2.8: Advanced Firewall, Intrusion Detection and VPN Revenues ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

2.5.6 Security Management Forecasts

Figure 2.10: Business PCs with Network Based Security Management to the Endpoint

Installed, Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Table 2.9: Business PCs with Network Based Security Management to the Endpoint

Installed, Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Figure 2.11: Revenues from Network Based Security Management to the Endpoint ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Table 2.10: Revenues from Network Based Security Management to the Endpoint ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

3. Mobile Security in the Enterprise

3.1 Introduction

3.2 Current Status

3.2.1 Mobile Risk Factors

3.2.2 Device Sophistication

Figure 3.1: Mobile Subscribers that Browse the Internet Using the Mobile Device (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Table 3.1: Mobile Subscribers that Browse the Internet Using the Mobile Device (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

3.2.3 New Functionality

i. Changing Mobile Internet Access Models

3.2.4 Open Source Architecture

3.2.5 Faster Data Speeds

Figure 3.2: Mobile Data Volume Forecasts 2008-2014

3.2.7 Factors Reducing the Security Risk for Mobile Devices

Table 3.2: Industry Developments, Consequences and Implications for Mobile Security

3.3 Mobile Security Stakeholders

3.3.1 The Individual Subscriber

3.3.2 The Corporate Subscriber

3.3.3 Mobile Network Operators

3.4 Looking to the Future

3.4.1 Web 2.0, P2P and Cloud Computing

3.4.2 Web 2.0 Security Implications

3.4.3 Social Networking

3.4.4 P2P (Peer to Peer)

3.5 The Mobile Device as an Endpoint

3.5.1 Threats Specific to the Mobile Industry

i. Device Loss and Theft

ii Denial of Service Attack

iii. Mobile Spam

a. Levels of Spam

Figure 3.3: Top 12 Spam Relaying Countries Fixed Line

b. Cloudmark Interview

iv. Mobile Spam Drivers

v. Phishing and Smishing

vi. Mobile Malware

3.6 Mobile Security Breaches

3.6.1 Mobile Viruses- Recent Years

3.6.2 Mobile Viruses in 2009

3.7 Conclusion

4. The Business Mobile Security Market

4.1 Introduction

4.2 The Enterprise and Mobile Security

4.2.1 Operating Systems in Use in the Corporate Environment

4.2.2 Drivers

4.2.3 Changing Priorities

4.2.4 Protecting Data

4.2.5 The Role of the Operator

4.2.6 Macro Economic Trends

4.2.7 Market Shares

4.3 Mobile Enterprise Security Forecasts

4.3.1 Assumptions and Methodology

Figure 4.1 Mobile Enterprise Security Forecasts Methodology

4.3.2 Number of Enterprise Handsets

Figure 4.2: Total Number of Enterprise Handsets (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Table 4.1: Total Number of Enterprise Handsets (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Figure 4.3: Enterprise Mobile Users Protected (%) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Table 4.2: Enterprise Mobile Users Protected (%) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Figure 4.4: Enterprise Mobile Users Protected (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Table 4.3: Enterprise Mobile Users Protected (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Figure 4.5: Enterprise Mobile Security Revenues ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

Table 4.4: Enterprise Mobile Security Revenues ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014

4.4 Conclusion

5. Security of the Mobile Operating System

5.1 Introduction

5.2 Development of the Mobile OS

5.2.1 RIM and the BlackBerry

Figure 5.1: BlackBerry Curve 8900

i. BlackBerry Exchange Server

Figure 5.2: Diagrammatic Representation of BlackBerry Security

5.2.2 Symbian

i. Symbian Platform Security

5.2.3 Windows Mobile Operating System

i. Windows Mobile and Security

5.2.4 iPhone

i. Security of the iPhone Operating System

5.2.5 Android

i. Security of the Android OS

5.3 Industry-Wide Security Initiatives

5.3.1 Towards a Standard Security Platform

i. BONDI

ii. The Work of ETSI

5.4 Conclusion

6. Interviews and Profiles

6.1 Key Findings from Interviews

6.2 Profiles

6.2.1 Trend Micro

6.2.2 Sophos

Figure 6.1 Sophos Service Offerings

6.2.3 Kaspersky

6.2.4 BullGuard

6.2.5 Symantec

6.2.6 F-Secure

6.2.7 Fortinet

Figure 6.2: Fortinet’s Security Ecosystem

Abstract

This report provides a thorough analysis of the entire business security market from the mobile to the business "endpoint", considering key threats for laptops, desktops & PCs as well as mobile phones and other portable devices. It provides a detailed analysis of where the industry is at present and how it will develop over the next five years.

Two entire chapters are devoted to the mobile device and the unique characteristics and challenges that will come from increased mobile use in the business environment. For the mobile environment, key forecasts include the total number of enterprise handsets per region, percentage of mobile enterprise users protected, number of corporate mobile users protected and revenues from mobile corporate security.

The forecasts for Mobile business IT security are complemented by a detailed set of forecasts for the Business IT Security: The report therefore provides forecast in terms of devices protected and revenues for the following areas: The basic security foundation; Encryption and advanced authorisation; Advanced firewalls, Intrusion detection and prevention; Security policy management, endpoint security updates and provision.

Key questions the report answers:

• How is the business IT security market developing and which areas within the broader business IT security will grow fastest?
• What new threats are arising in both the mobile environment and the broader business IT security market?
• How are security applications vendors and operators addressing these threats?
• What will drive demand for encryption products to protect the mobile device, laptops and desktops?
• How has the market for network based security to the business device or endpoint developed so far, and how will this continue?
• What unique challenges emerge when protecting the mobile device?

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