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Singapore Tourism Report Q4 2009

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Oct. 21, 2009 - 47 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Singapore Tourism SWOT
Singapore Political SWOT
Singapore Economic SWOT
Singapore Business Environment SWOT
Industry Forecast Scenario
Arrivals
Table: Arrivals Data, 2005-2013 (‘000)
Accommodation
Table: Accommodation Data, 2005-2013
Expenditure
Table: Expenditure Data, 2005-2013
Inbound Tourism
Table: Arrival Of Tourists At National Borders By Region, 2005-2013 (‘000)
Table: Arrival Of Tourists At National Borders By Country, 2005-2013 (‘000)
Outbound Tourism
Tourism: Resident Departures By Destination Region, 2005-2013 (‘000)
Table: Resident Departures By Destination Country, 2005-2013 (‘000)
Attracting The BTMICE Market
Market Overview - Travel
Commercial Airlines
Budget Airlines
Table: Singapore’s Low-Cost Airlines - Key Players, 2009
Liberalising The Lucrative Kuala Lumpur-Singapore Route
Cruises
Quarterly Oil Products Price Outlook
Table: Global Oil Prices, 2003-2013 (US$ per barrel)
Market Overview - Hospitality
Accommodation
Key Players
Integrated Resorts
Infrastructure
H5N1 And H1N1 Virus Update
Business Environment
Tourism Business Environment Ratings
BMI’s Security Ratings
Table: Asia Pacific Regional Security Ratings
Table: Asia Pacific State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
Singapore Security Risk Analysis
Regional Security: South East Asia
Currency Forecast
Table: Singapore Dollar Currency Forecast, 2009-2010
Global Assumptions
Table: BMI’s Global Assumptions, 2007-2013
Table: Global And Regional Real GDP Growth, 2008-2011
Table: Developed Market Exchange Rates, 2008-2011 (average)
Table: Key Emerging Market Exchange Rates, 2008-2011 (average against US$)
Company Profiles
Singapore Airlines
Tiger Airways
Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Tourism Industry
Tourism Ratings -Methodology
Table: Tourism Business Environment Indicators
Table: Weighting of Components
Sources

Abstract

Short-Term Outlook Negative…

Singapore’s tourism industry experienced a difficult first half to 2009. Visitor arrivals were down by11.5%, to just 4.51mn in January-June. The Singapore Tourist Board (STB) attributed the poorperformance primarily to the global economic crisis, but with arrivals from China and Japan also reduceddue to the effects of the H1N1 (swine flu) pandemic.

Over the first six months of 2009, Singapore’s top five visitor-generating markets were Indonesia(766,000), China (457,000), Australia (376,000), India (361,000) and Malaysia (317,000), accounting forover 50% of the total. Vietnam (up 13.4%), the Philippines (up 3%), Malaysia (up 1.8%) and Germany(up 1.3%) were the fastest growing source markets in H109, which the STB attributed to strong marketingcampaigns and, in the case of Vietnam, aggressive airline promotions.

Given this disappointing start to the year, we have made downward revisions to our forecasts for arrivalsdata this year. From a previous forecast of 9.9mn visitors, we now believe that 9.12mn is more likely.

…But Longer-Term Prognosis Remains Positive

Although 2009 will be difficult for Singapore’s tourism industry, there are reasons to remain positive forthe medium-to-long term, as the global economy recovers. In particular, the opening of the two integratedresorts, at Marina Bay in 2009 and Sentosa in 2010, should help the island attract new tourists. Also, in2011 Singapore will host the first Youth Olympics and open a new International Cruise Terminal.

Integrated Resorts Opening Soon

In June, the first details surrounding some of the hotel rooms on offer at the new SGD6.59bn Sentosaintegrated resort were unveiled. Showrooms for the Maxims Tower, Hotel Michael, Festive Hotel and theHard Rock Hotel Singapore were opened for public viewing. The 120-room Maxims Tower and 470-room Hotel Michael are both pitched at the luxury end of the market. The 398-room Festive Hotel ispitched at the family market, with brightly coloured décor and loft sleeping areas in the bedrooms forchildren. The 364-room Hard Rock Hotel Singapore is pitched at the young adult market. The other twohotels at the resort are the Equarius Hotel and Spa Villas. Bookings for the hotels opened in H209. Otherattractions at Sentosa will include a Universal Studios theme park, a casino and the world’s largestoceanarium. BMI believes this and other new resorts will do much to significantly boost Singapore’stourism industry from 2010 onwards.

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