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Alternative Retirement Strategies - UK

Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.

Published: Sep. 1, 2009 - 99 Pages


Table of Contents


ISSUES IN THE MARKET

Key issues



SCOPE OF THE REPORT

Abbreviations



MARKET IN BRIEF

The rigidity of pensions is a deterrent for some people

An ageing population is a major cause for concern in the UK…

…and tough economic conditions have hit investors

Pension contributions have fallen during the recession

Figure 1: Total new premiums paid into individual and occupational pensions, 2003-08

Cash ISA subscriptions have grown strongly

Figure 2: Amounts subscribed to ISAs, by cash and stocks and shares components, 2002/03-2008/09

Buy-to-let lending has dried up during the recession

Figure 3: Number and value of new buy-to-let mortgage advances, 2000-09

The equity release market has held up relatively well

Figure 4: Total value of new equity release sales by SHIP members, 1991-2009

Intermediaries dominate the BTL and equity release markets

Three fifths of people have non-pension potential retirement savings

Figure 5: Overview of retirement income strategies among the non-retired population, June 2009



INTERNAL MARKET ENVIRONMENT

Key points

Control and flexibility are key factors

Pensions are also seen as risky

A lack of trust prompts some to shun pensions

Working longer to fund retirement

The recession has forced some people to rethink plans

People are apathetic towards retirement planning…

Figure 6: Reasons for not saving, June 2008

…prompting the government to launch a new scheme

Buy-to-let - a sector in tatters…

…but the long-term trend is more positive

Figure 7: Tenure structure of dwellings (index of number of dwellings, 1991=100), 1991-2007

Figure 8: The annual rate of return on BTL (geared investment and cash purchase), Q1 2006-Q4 2008

Regulation is a burden for private landlords

Equity release also suffers from a trust shortfall…

…but tighter regulation should improve the industry’s image

Increasing IFA involvement in the sector

The popularity of ISAs continues to rise…

…but low interest rates and stockmarket volatility are an issue

A few key changes last year have simplified the ISA regime

Figure 9: Recent and proposed changes to the ISA scheme, 2004-20

Efforts being made to speed up ISA transfers



BROADER MARKET ENVIRONMENT

Key points

People are living longer…

Figure 10: Cohort life expectancy at age 60, by gender, 1981-2056

…with the old age dependency ratio increasing as a result

Figure 11: Projected size of the UK population, by age band, 2010-56

Benefits now account for less of total pensioner income…

Figure 12: Breakdown in gross pensioner income (weekly average at constant prices, 2007-08), 1994/95-2007/08

…forcing many pensioners to work during their retirement

Figure 13: UK economic activity, by gender and age, 2004-14

The low base rate is not good news for savers

Figure 14: Base rate, January 2002-June 2009

House prices have tumbled in the recession…

Figure 15: Average house prices, January 2002-June 2009 (monthly data, seasonally adjusted)

…as have global stock markets

Figure 16: FTSE-100 and FTSE-All Share, daily values, January 2000-June 2009



COMPETITIVE CONTEXT: THE PENSIONS MARKET

Key points

Pensions are the traditional way of saving for retirement

Contributions into individual pension schemes fell in 2008

Figure 17: Total new premiums paid into individual and occupational pensions, 2003-08

SIPPs have grown increasingly popular

Figure 18: New individual pension premiums, by product type, 2003-08

Occupational pension schemes are closing fast…

Figure 19: Number of private sector occupational pension schemes, by status, 2006 and 2007

…with the decline seen mostly in the private sector

Figure 20: Number of occupational pension scheme members, by sector, 1991-2007



SWOT ANALYSIS

Figure 21: Alternative retirement strategies - SWOT analysis, 2009



MARKET SIZE

Key points

Sizing the pension alternatives

Cash ISA subscriptions have increased by 51% since 2002/03…

Figure 22: Amounts subscribed to ISAs, by cash and stocks and shares components, 2002/03-2008/09

…while stocks and shares subscriptions have been more volatile

Turning emergency savings into retirement savings

Sales of collective investments have fallen in the downturn…

Figure 23: Retail sales of unit trusts and OEICs by IMA members, 1998-2008

…with minimal net new sales

Buy-to-let lending has fallen sharply…

Figure 24: Number and value of new buy-to-let mortgage advances, 2000-09

…with many lenders exiting the market

Signs that people are being forced to turn to equity release?

Figure 25: Total value of new equity release sales by SHIP members, 1991-2009

Meeting a shortfall between income and expenditure



BRAND COMMUNICATION AND PROMOTION

Key points

Adspend reflects dominant role of intermediaries

Figure 26: Retirement planning-related advertising expenditure, by sub-category, 2007-09

The casualties of a slowdown

Figure 27: Retirement planning-related advertising expenditure, top 20 companies, 2007-09

Intermediary press the key marketing channel

Figure 28: Retirement planning-related advertising expenditure, by media type, 2007-09



CHANNELS TO MARKET

Key points

Bank staff and IFAs the key route to market

Figure 29: Preferred sources of investment advice, April 2009

Within equity ISAs, fund supermarkets and tied agents dominate

Figure 30: Gross retail sales of unit trust and OEIC ISAs, by distribution channel, 2004-08

Intermediaries dominate the BTL sector…

…as they also do in the equity release market

Figure 31: Value of sales of equity release products by SHIP members, by distribution channel, 2003-08

Cash ISAs primarily sold direct



THE CONSUMER - SAVINGS AND PENSION OWNERSHIP

Key points

An overview of retirement savings among the non-retired population

Figure 32: Overview of retirement income strategies among the non-retired population, June 2009

Alternative retirement strategies are more likely to be pursued by pension holders

Figure 33: Overview of different financial products owned, June 2009

Ability to save is governed by age and income

Figure 34: Potential retirement strategies, by key demographics, June 2009

Alternative retirement funding - the preserve of the wealthy

Figure 35: Non-pension retirement savings, by key demographics, June 2009

Multiple product ownership increases among third agers

Figure 36: Repertoire of number of financial products owned, June 2009

Alternative retirement products sit alongside more traditional products

Figure 37: Cross-analysis of product ownership, June 2009



THE CONSUMER - RETIREMENT EXPECTATIONS

Key points

Retirement expectations are fairly mixed

Figure 38: Financial expectations at retirement, June 2009

Retirement expectations change with age and affluence

Figure 39: Financial expectations at retirement, by key demographics, June 2009

Property income boosts retirement expectations

Figure 40: Retirement product ownership, by financial expectations at retirement, June 2009

Multiple product ownership raises retirement expectations

Figure 41: Financial expectations at retirement, by repertoire of number of financial products owned, June 2009

State pension age is still the goal for the majority

Figure 42: Retirement plans, June 2009

Third agers face up to retirement reality

Figure 43: Retirement plans, by key demographics, June 2009

Alternative retirement plans provide flexibility

Figure 44: Retirement product ownership, by retirement plans, June 2009

A gap in retirement planning

Figure 45: Retirement plans, by financial expectations at retirement, June 2009



APPENDIX - MARKET BACKGROUND AND DEFINITIONS

PENSION-BASED RETIREMENT PLANNING

Figure 46: Types of private pension provision in the UK

Occupational schemes

Individual pensions

Group pensions

Benefit structures

Other definitions

NON-PENSION-BASED RETIREMENT PLANNING

ISAs

Buy-to-let

Equity release

Investment bonds from life companies

Collective investments

NATIONAL PENSION SAVINGS SCHEME

Qualifying schemes

Implementation



APPENDIX - COMPETITIVE CONTEXT (THE PENSIONS MARKET)

Figure 47: Number of private sector occupational pension schemes in the UK, by scheme size, 2002-07



APPENDIX - THE CONSUMER - SAVINGS AND PENSION OWNERSHIP

Figure 48: Repertoire of number of financial products owned, by demographics, June 2009



APPENDIX: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

Abstract

Why no pension? - Alternative Retirement Strategies

The structure of the retirement planning market is constantly shifting. The personal pension was launched more than two decades ago, and since then there has been a steady stream of new legislation intended to widen its appeal. The savings gap remains, however, and for many people the pension is part of the problem. It is perceived as being overly complex and inflexible, while a succession of mis-selling scandals has seriously dented public confidence in the trustworthiness of pensions advisers.

It is not just the structure and a lack of trust that puts people off investing in pensions. The average UK consumer is notoriously risk-averse and wary of investing hard-earned money in any kind of equity-based product. Instead of a US-style culture of equity investment, Britons are famous for their love of property - for most, their home is their main investment and the development of the buy-to-let mortgage led to a boom in property investment.

This report examines the factors that have led many people to shun the traditional pension, as well as those factors that mean that saving for retirement - inside or outside a pension wrapper - is becoming increasingly important. The main pension alternatives are identified, and the size of these competing markets assessed. Consumer research examines the range of long-term investments that people hold alongside their pension, as well as broader attitudes towards retirement savings.

Key issues

  • The impact of growing life expectancy and the associated increase in the cost of providing an income in retirement.
  • Consumer reaction to the slowdown, and falls in both property and equity values.
  • The growth of property as an alternative to traditional investment vehicles, and the impact of the credit crunch on the availability of property finance.
  • How non-pension investments fit into consumers’ broader portfolio of assets.
  • Lifestyle expectations in retirement, and the growth of phased retirement.



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