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Mexico Textiles and Clothing Report Q4 2009

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Oct. 14, 2009 - 44 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Mexico Textile SWOT
Mexico Clothing SWOT
Mexico Political SWOT
Mexico Economic SWOT
Mexico Business Environment SWOT
Market Overview
Industry Trends And Developments
General
General: Past Headlines
Cotton
Cotton: Past Headlines
Synthetics
Synthetics: Past Headlines
Textiles
Textiles: Past Headlines
Clothing
Clothing: Past Headlines
Mexico Market Outlook
Textile And Clothing Market Outlook
Textiles
Clothing
Table: Textiles And Clothing Production and International Trade, 2006-2013
Long-Term Outlook
Table: Textiles And Clothing Production And International Trade Long-Term Forecasts, 2011-2018
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Mexico Economic Activity, 2006-2013
Global Textiles And Clothing Market Overview
Background: International Trade In Textiles
Output And Trends
Global Fibres Market Outlook
Cotton
Wool
Table: Global Fibre Prices
Synthetic Fibres
Company Profiles
Fast Retailing
Gap
Table: Gap Key Financial Data
Table: Gap Income Statement (US$mn)
Inditex
Hilasal Mexicana
Company Overview
Prior Activity
Table: Hilasal Mexicana Key Ratios
Global Assumptions
Table: BMI’s Global Assumptions, 2007-2013
Table: Global And Regional Real GDP Growth, 2008-2011
Table: Developed Market Exchange Rates, 2008-2011 (average)
Table: Key Emerging Market Exchange Rates, 2008-2011 (average against US$)
Country Snapshot: Mexico Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2002-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012
Methodology

Abstract

Mexico is a major textile and clothing (T&C) producer, with an industry based on competitive labourcosts and geographic proximity to the US, one of the world’s largest consumer markets. Despite thecountry’s close integration with the US and Canada through the North American Free Trade Agreement(NAFTA), the T&C sector has been facing an increasingly strong competitive challenge from China andother Asian producers. China has displaced Mexico to become the number one source of clothing importsinto the US. BMI ranks Mexico as number 26 in the world in terms of T&C manufacturing value added.In nominal terms we estimate that to have been worth US$11.26bn in 2008. Marked by an unusually deepUS recession and relentless competition from Asia, 2009 and 2010 will be hard for the Mexican T&Cindustry. However, this may cause companies to focus on niche markets where closeness to US customerscan be made to count in their favour.

Overall, Mexico’s T&C value added will fall by 16.6% in 2009 and by 2.3% in 2010, reflecting verydifficult international economic conditions. We see a moderate recovery setting in from 2011, withgrowth of 2.8%. The industry’s trade performance will also reflect the especially difficult internationaleconomic situation. Total T&C exports will contract by 24.4% to US$5.97bn, while imports will fall by29.0% to US$6.32bn. The country will have a T&C trade deficit of US$356mn, narrower than in 2008.

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