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El Salvador Textiles and Clothing Report Q4 2009

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Oct. 14, 2009 - 40 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
El Salvador Textile SWOT
El Salvador Clothing SWOT
Market Overview
Industry Trends And Developments
General
General: Past Headlines
Textiles: Past Headlines
Clothing: Past Headlines
El Salvador Market Outlook
Textile And Clothing Market Outlook
Textiles
Clothing
Table: Textiles And Clothing Production And International Trade, 2006-2013
Long-Term Outlook
Table: Textiles And Clothing Production And International Trade Long-Term Forecasts, 2011-2018
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: El Salvador Economic Activity 2007-2010
Global Textiles And Clothing Market Overview
Background: International Trade In Textiles
Output And Trends
Global Fibres Market Outlook
Cotton
Wool
Table: Global Fibre Prices
Synthetic Fibres
Company Profiles
Fast Retailing
Gap
Table: Gap Key Financial Data
Table: Gap Income Statement (US$mn)
Inditex
Hanesbrands
Table: Hanesbrands Key Ratios
Global Assumptions
Table: BMI’s Global Assumptions, 2007-2013
Table: Global And Regional Real GDP Growth, 2008-2011
Table: Developed Market Exchange Rates, 2008-2011 (average)
Table: Key Emerging Market Exchange Rates, 2008-2011 (average against US$)
Country Snapshot: El Salvador Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2002-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2009 (US$)
Table: Average Annual Manufacturing Wages, 2000-2009
Methodology

Abstract

El Salvador is a small textile and clothing (T&C) producer, which expanded its output rapidly after apeace agreement that ended a civil war in 1992. Growth has been based on the expansion of free tradezones (FTZs), which use competitively priced labour to make garments mainly for US buyers and retailbrands. BMI ranks it as number 55 in the world in terms of T&C manufacturing value added. In nominalterms we estimate that to have been worth US$2.18bn in 2008. Because of its reliance on US demand, theindustry is having a hard time through the recession of 2009 and 2010. However, local companies arevery entrepreneurial and can be expected to make the best of the available opportunities.

Overall El Salvador T&C value added will fall by 11.1% in 2009, and again by 2.9% in 2010, reflectingvery difficult international economic conditions. We see a strong recovery setting in from 2011, withgrowth of 5.4%. The industry’s trade performance will also reflect the especially difficult internationaleconomic situation. T&C exports will slump by 22.0% this year to US$1.72bn, remaining flat in 2010 butrecovering in 2011 with growth of 5.0%. While the next two years will be painful, we believe the localindustry will remain well positioned and focused for the eventual upturn.

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