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Brazil Textiles and Clothing Report Q4 2009

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Oct. 15, 2009 - 45 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Brazil Political SWOT
Brazil Economic SWOT
Brazil Business Environment SWOT
Market Overview
Industry Trends And Developments
General
General: Past Headlines
Cotton
Cotton: Past Headlines
Textiles
Textiles: Past Headlines
Clothing
Clothing: Past Headlines
Brazil Market Outlook
Textile And Clothing Market Outlook
Textiles
Clothing
Table: Textiles And Clothing Production And International Trade, 2006-2013
Table: Textiles And Clothing Production And International Trade - Long-Term Forecasts, 2011-2018
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Brazil Economic Activity, 2006-2013
Global Textiles And Clothing Market Overview
Background: International Trade In Textiles
Output And Trends
Global Fibres Market Outlook
Cotton
Wool
Table: Global Fibre Prices
Synthetic Fibres
Company Profiles
Fast Retailing
Gap
Table: Gap Key Financial Data
Table: Gap Income Statement (US$mn)
Inditex
Coteminas
Vicunha Têxtil
Global Assumptions
Table: BMI’s Global Assumptions, 2007-2013
Table: Global And Regional Real GDP Growth, 2008-2011
Table: Developed Market Exchange Rates, 2008-2011 (average)
Table: Key Emerging Market Exchange Rates, 2008-2011 (average against US$)
Country Snapshot: Brazil Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2000-2003
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 1999-2004
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
Table: Average Annual Wages, 1996-2002
Methodology

Abstract

Brazil is a major textile and clothing (T&C) producer, with a large and dynamic domestic market,indigenous raw material supplies (including cotton and synthetic fibres) and significant future potential,as exports are still small compared to total output. BMI ranks it as number 15 in the world in terms ofT&C manufacturing value added. In nominal terms we estimate that to have been worth US$11.1bn in2008. Like the rest of the global industry, Brazil faces two difficult years in 2009 and 2010, marked bythe global recession. However, we believe the local market will prove quite resilient and a number ofcompanies will experience the comparative luxury of slower growth, rather than an absolute contractionin sales.

Overall, Brazil’s T&C value added will fall by 1.0% in 2009, but return to positive growth withexpansion of 6.5% in 2010. This will reflect difficult international economic conditions, but also Brazil’srelative resilience. We see the recovery gathering pace from 2011, with growth of 7.1%. The industry’strade performance will also reflect the especially difficult international economic situation. In 2009, totalT&C exports will fall by 17.4% to US$1.76bn, while imports will fall by 16.7% to US$3.46bn. As aresult the T&C trade deficit will be US$1.70bn.

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