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Spain Food and Drink Report Q4 2009

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Oct. 7, 2009 - 71 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Spain Food Industry SWOT
Spain Drink Industry SWOT
Spain Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Business Environment
BMI’s Core Global Industry Views
BMI's Core Views For The Food & Drink Industry
Western Europe Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings Q4 2009
Spain’s Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Macroeconomic Outlook
Food
Industry Forecast Scenario
Total Food Consumption
Spain Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2005-2013
Canned Food/Prepared Food
Canned Food Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2005-2013
Confectionery
Confectionery Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2005-2013
Private-Label Products
Trade
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Overview of Food Sector
Prepared Food
Organic
Table: Spain Organic Agricultural Data, 2001-2006
Meat and Fish
Eggs and Dairy
Drink
Industry Forecast Scenario
Hot Drinks
Coffee Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2005-2013
Soft Drinks
Soft Drink Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2005-2013
Alcoholic Drinks
Alcoholic Drink Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2005-2013
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Soft Drinks
Alcoholic Drinks
Mass Grocery Retail
Industry Forecast Scenario
Mass Grocery Retail Market - Sales by Format (US$bn) - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2005-2013
Grocery Retail Sales By Format, 2008 and 2018 (%)
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Structure Of Spain's Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number of Outlets, 2002-2008
Structure Of Spain's Mass Grocery Retail Market By Value, 2002-2008 (US$mn)
Estimated Annual Average Sales Per Outlet By Format, 2008 (US$mn)
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Food
Key Players in Spain's Food Sector
Drink
Key Players in Spain's Drink Sector
Mass Grocery Retail
Key Players in Spain's Mass Grocery Retail Sector
Company Analysis
Food
Grupo Ebro Puleva
Grupo Leche Pascual Alimentación
Campofrio Alimentación SA
Drink
Heineken España SA
Mass Grocery Retail
Auchan
Centros Comerciales Carrefour
Eroski Group (Including Caprabo)
Appendix
Country Snapshot: Spain Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2002-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
Table: Average Annual Manufacturing Wages, 2000-2012
BMI Food & Drink Methodology
Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Ratings System
Indicators
Limits Of Potential Returns
Risks To Realisation Of Potential Returns
Weighting
Weighting
BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
BMI Food & Drink Forecasting & Sourcing
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Sourcing

Abstract

There were several indicators over the last quarter of the impact of the ongoing recession on some of themajor players in Spain’s food, drink and mass grocery retail (MGR) sector.

Firstly, in mid-July 2009, food and drink giant Sara Lee agreed to sell three bakeries in Spain to localfood producer Grupo Siro. Following the completion of the transaction, Sara Lee's Spanish bakerybusiness will consist of eight plants employing 2,500 people, while Siro will operate 14 productionfacilities with 3,100 employees. Sara Lee has attributed the decision to the country's weak economicclimate. Sara Lee International Beverage and Bakery's CEO has said that sale will improve the company's'production economics' and that the firm will continue to supply Spanish consumers with the 'productsthey know and love'.

The move can be seen as an attempt to cut costs at a time when Spanish consumers are increasingly pricesensitive. The market will therefore continue to be a very difficult place to do business for major brandbuilders such as Sara Lee, and BMI expects such firms to continue to look for ways to cut costs andcreate efficiencies so as to maximise their chances of maintaining sales in what is now a highly pricesensitiveenvironment.

Additionally, there were reports in July that French retail group Les Mousquetaires, which owns theIntermarché supermarket network, is planning to exit the Spanish market. The report, which has not yetbeen confirmed, suggests that local operator Bon Preu has been lined up as a buyer for the firm's 53outlets. The move would be indicative of the current difficulties surrounding the Spanish retail marketwhich, up until recently, was among the most dynamic in Western Europe. If Bon Preu does go on toacquire Les Mousquetaires' Spanish operations it could be seen as significant that none of the leadingoperators were prepared to take a punt on the business. The Spanish MGR market was once seen as oneof the most attractive in Western Europe and was a hotbed of merger and acquisition activity in 2006 and2007. The reluctance of the big three operators (Carrefour, El Corte Ingles and Mercadona) to use thecurrent market weakness to broaden their networks is perhaps indicative of the current pessimismconcerning the length and depth of the downturn.

In more encouraging news, Spanish food group Ebro Puleva benefitted from lower commodity prices toreport a jump in earnings for the first half of 2009. In the six months to June the firm's earnings beforeinterest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) were up by 21.5% to EUR144mn (US$205.4mn)(for continuing businesses). However, there were also signs that it may not escape unscathed from theeconomic downturn, with the company reporting that revenues declined by 1.8% over the period. This isin contrast to 2008, when it managed to successfully grow sales by 18.8% against a gloomy economicbackdrop and can be primarily attributed to a 15.5% drop in sales at the company's dairy unit.

While Ebro Puleva's ability to grow earnings against a difficult economic backdrop is a positive, it isunlikely that this will remain the case if sales continue to stagnate or decline. Given BMI’s gloomyeconomic outlook for Spain, with GDP expected to contract by 3.9% in 2009 and by 0.9% in 2010, EbroPuleva, along with other major players, may be facing a difficult couple of years.

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