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Netherlands Food and Drink Report Q4 2009

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Oct. 7, 2009 - 66 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Netherlands Food Industry SWOT
Netherlands Drink Industry SWOT
Netherlands Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Business Environment
BMI’s Core Global Industry Views
BMI's Core Views For The Food & Drink Industry
Western Europe Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Western Europe Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings Q4 2009
The Netherlands’ Food & Drink Business Environment Rating
Economic Outlook
Netherlands - Economic Activity, 2006-2013
Food
Industry Forecast Scenario
Total Food Consumption
Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2004-2013
Confectionery
Confectionery Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2004-2013
Trade
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Food
Dairy
Drink
Industry Forecast Scenario
Soft Drinks and Bottled Water
Soft Drink Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2004-2013
Alcoholic Drinks
Alcoholic Drink Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2004-2013
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Soft Drinks and Bottled Water
Alcoholic Drinks
Alcoholic Drinks Data
Mass Grocery Retail
Industry Forecast Scenario
Mass Grocery Retail Market - Sales by Format - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2004-2013
Food Sales by Format - Historical Data and Forecasts
Alcohol and Tobacco Sales by Format - Historical Data and Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Structure of Mass Grocery Retail Market by Estimated Number of Outlets, 2002-2008
Structure of Mass Grocery Retail Market by Value (EURmn), 2002-2008
Annual Average Sales per Outlet by Format (EURmn)
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Key Players in Dutch Food Sector
Key Players in Dutch Drink Sector
Key Players in Dutch Mass Grocery Retail Sector
Company Analysis
Food
Unilever
FrieslandCampina
Drink
Heineken International
Mass Grocery Retail
Ahold
Appendix
Country Snapshot: Netherlands Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education and Healthcare
Table: Education, 2002-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market and Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 2000-2005
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012
BMI Food & Drink Methodology
Food And Drink Business Environment Ratings
Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Indicators
Limits Of Potential Returns
Risks To Realisation Of Potential Returns
Weighting
Weighting
BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
BMI Food & Drink Forecasting & Sourcing
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Sourcing

Abstract

Despite the Netherlands falling in an attractive second place in BMI’s Business Environment Ratings forthe region, the impact of the global economic downturn on the Dutch economy appears to have deterredinvestors at least in the short term, and as such Q309 saw little industry activity within the country’s foodand drink sector. With private consumption turning negative for the first time in four years it is notsurprising that food and drink producers are remaining cautious.

The Dutch mass grocery retail (MGR) sector, given its essential nature, had been holding up fairly well inlight of the economic conditions. However, results released this quarter from a number of the country’sleading retailers suggest that the grocery segment may just now be starting to feel the full effects of thedownturn. Netherlands-based supermarket chain Sligro Food Group announced that for H109 profit fell6% to EUR27mn while sales for the period fell 0.7% to EUR1.08bn. While at first glance, Ahold’sresults for Q209 look relatively strong; sales rose 11.5% and operating profit increased an impressive26%, this was largely due to the integration of 56 former Schuitema stores and identical sales at AlbertHeijn supermarkets actually increased by only 0.4% year-on-year (y-o-y) representing a significantslowdown on Q109 sales. This slowdown implies that things may get tougher for retailers in the secondhalf of the year as rising unemployment continues to impact on consumer spending. Unsurprisingly,discount stores will be the main beneficiary of declining consumer confidence and BMI is forecastingthat sales from such stores will increase 16% to reach EUR2.88bn in 2013.

Meanwhile in the food and drink sector, this quarter has seen mixed financial results from a number of thecountry’s producers. Anglo-Dutch consumer goods giant Unilever announced a 4.1% increase inunderlying sales for Q209, however, despite the rise in sales net profit fell 4% for the period. The dip inprofit is attributed to price cuts and increased marketing as the company attempts to maintain salesgrowth to the detriment of its margins during this period of recession. Elsewhere, Dutch brewer Heinekenposted better than expected financial results for the first half of the financial year. For the period net profitclimbed 20% y-o-y to EUR489mn while net sales rose 11% to EUR7bn.

Results released this quarter serve to highlight the pressures food and drink manufacturers as well asretailers are under in the current financial climate, and the environment is likely to remain tough untilwell into 2010.

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