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South Korea Food and Drink Report Q4 2009

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Oct. 7, 2009 - 63 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
South Korea Food Industry SWOT
South Korea Drink Industry SWOT
South Korea Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Business Environment
BMI’s Core Global Industry Views
Table: BMI's Core Views For The Food & Drink Industry
Asia Pacific Business Environment Ratings
Table: Asia Pacific Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
South Korea Food & Drink Business Environment Rating
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: South Korea - Economic Activity, 2006-2013
Food
Industry Forecast Scenario
Food Consumption
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2005-2013
Canned Food
Table: Value/Volume Sales of Selected Food Subsectors - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2005-2013
Confectionery
Trade
Table: South Korea Food & Drink Trade Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2005-2013
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Agriculture
Organics
Food-Processing
Drink
Industry Forecast Scenario
Hot Drinks
Alcoholic Drinks
Soft Drinks
Table: South Korea Beverage Subsectors - Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2005-2013
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Alcoholic Drinks
Soft Drinks
Retail
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: South Korea MGR Indicators - Sales Value by Format - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2006-2013
Table: Grocery Retail Sales by Format - Historical Data & Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Table: Structure of South Korea's Mass Grocery Retail Market by Estimated Number of Outlets
Table: Structure of South Korea's Mass Grocery Retail Market - Sales Value by Format (US$bn)
Table: Average Sales per Outlet by Format (US$mn)
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Food and Drink
Table: Key Players in South Korea's Food & Drink Sector
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Key Players in South Korea's Mass Grocery Retail Sector
Company Analysis
Food
Maeil Dairy Industry
Nong Shim Co Ltd
Drink
Hite Brewery
Oriental Brewery
Mass Grocery Retail
Lotte Shopping
Samsung Tesco HomePlus
Appendix
Country Snapshot: South Korea Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education and Healthcare
Table: Education, 2002-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market and Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012
BMI Food & Drink Methodology
Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Ratings System
Indicators
Limits Of Potential Returns
Risks To Realisation Of Potential Returns
Weighting
Weighting
BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
BMI Food & Drink Forecasting & Sourcing
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Sourcing

Abstract

The South Korean economy has shown a number of signs that the worst of the downturn may now beover and as such we have revised up our 2009 real GDP forecast for the country from -3.3% to a moremodest contraction of 1.9%. However, the recovery is likely to be a slow one and this may go some wayto explaining the limited amount of merger, acquisition and expansion activity witnessed in the food andbeverage industry this quarter.

Despite the lack of significant industry activity there have been some interesting developments in themass grocery retail (MGR) sector. Following last quarter’s announcement by Tesco Samsung confirmingits ambitious expansion plans, the retailer faced a hurdle in July over the planned opening of a HomeplusExpress Convenience store in the Seoul suburb of Incheon resulting in a suspension of the store opening.

The South Korean retail industry is fairly unregulated with few restrictions placed on store openinglocations, hours or sizes, which has led to a heavy influx of investment in the sector. Smaller independentretailers have become increasingly frustrated by the expansion plans of modern retailers causing thegovernment to consider sending a bill to the National Assembly to introduce regulations to govern smallstoreopenings.

In response to the concerns of smaller retailers the country’s Small and Medium Business Administration(SMBA) announced this quarter that it is considering uniting its members under a single franchise inorder to improve their competitiveness. This greater competition is likely to be far more favourable to thelikes of Tesco Samsung than prohibitive planning regulations as it could stimulate further dynamism in amarket that is increasingly mature.

Moving to the drinks sector, rumours are circulating that the new owner of Oriental Brewery, KohlbergKravis Roberts (KKR) is seeking to offload a 50% stake in the company to early bidding rival AffinityEquity Partners. The purchase of OB was KKR’s first Korean investment and so should the deal goahead it would give KKR access to a partner with a successful track record in the country.

Elsewhere in the drinks industry Starbucks Coffee Korea opened its 300th store in the country in Q309.

Coffee sales are expected to climb 14.6% to reach KRW102.92bn in 2013 and Starbucks Coffee Koreawants to ensure it is well placed to take advantage of this, even if the current downturn has temporarilydented interest in café culture.

Although the South Korean economy has shown signs of picking up, in the immediate term theenvironment for the country’s food and drink producers is likely to remain tough, with consolidation,rather than rapid expansion, the key.

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