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A Global Recession Drives New Business Strategies and Evolving Business Models in the Biopharma Industry

Published by: Decision Resources

Published: Sep. 15, 2009 - 36 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary

Strategic Considerations

Stakeholder Implications

Stretched to the Breaking Point

Clear and Present Dangers to Biotech and Pharma

Biotech’s Depleting Cash Reserves and Demands for Cash-Outs

Liquidation

Layoffs

Cash-Outs

Pharma’s Changing Sources of Growth

Specter of Comparative Effectiveness

Threat of Biosimilars

Biotech’s Dream of the Past Three Decades Has Eroded

Staying Alive—Biotech’s Short-Term Imperative

Life-Saving Cash Injections

RDOs and PIPES

Corporate Venture Funds

Life Blood from Collaborations

Virtualization

Hibernation

Consolidation

Big Pharma Turns to Other Big Pharma for Strength

Recent Collaborations Between Big Pharma

GlaxoSmithKline Collaborates with Pfi zer on HIV

Joint-Venture Strategies

Gilead’s Strategies

Takeover Possibilities

Future Merger?

Trend?

Emerging-Markets Lifeline

Emerging Markets

Combined Brand and Generics Push

No Overnight Miracles

Mid-Tier Pharma—The Law of Unintended Consequences

Mega-Mergers

Eli Lilly: I Am Biotech

Bayer Schering: Don’t Put All Your Eggs in One Basket

Takeda Pharmaceutical: A Balanced Global Presence

Strategies for Moving Forward

On the Horizon—A More Unifi ed Biopharmaceutical Industry

Tables

1. Biotechs Out of Business, 2009

2. Biotech Job Losses, January Through June 2009

3. Several Biotech Financings, First Half of 2009

4. Select Pharma-Biotech Collaborations, First Half of 2009

5. Select Biotech-Biotech Collaborations, First Half of 2009

6. Select Mergers and Acquisitions of Biotech Companies, 2008 and 2009

7. Collaborations Between Big Pharma

8. HIV Drug Portfolios: Pfi zer and GlaxoSmithKline Compared with Gilead Sciences

9. Gilead Sciences’ Drug Development Pipeline, July 2009

10. Top 20 Worldwide Pharmaceutical Markets, 2003, 2008, and 2013

11. Companies That Disappeared After a Merger

Figures

1. U.S. Venture Capital Investing: Number of Deals, 1995-Q2 2009

2. The New Virtualized Biopharma Business Model

3. Top 25 Pharmaceutical Companies Based on 2008 Worldwide Sales

Abstract

The biotechnology and pharmaceutical sectors as we know them will soon cease to exist. Companies in these sectors have come face-to-face with the harrowing ordeals of a global recession. Four stresses on the industry are rapidly depleting cash reserves, changing sources of growth, the specter of comparative effectiveness, and the threat posed by biosimilars. Staying alive in the short term and creating a more viable way of doing business are serious concerns. Many biotech companies have put themselves on ice with skeleton staffs in an attempt to ride out the recession, but they may never recover their scientifi c momentum. Mid-tier pharmaceutical companies are scrambling and fear for their independence. A new world order is on the horizon that will be a more unifi ed biopharmaceutical industry. This report addresses the issues underlying the evolving nature of the biotech and mid-tier pharmaceutical sectors and identifi es strategies and opportunities for moving forward.

Questions Answered in This Report
  • According to the founder of Excalibur, a medical sciences investment house, biotech is facing “the most serious,
  • dire situation that the sector has ever been in.” What strategies are companies using to survive? What strategies will have better chances of success?
  • Burrill & Co.’s CEO has said, “The technology we’ve developed over the last 40 years is great at keeping us
  • alive, but it’s not economically viable.” What are the alternative strategies? Is cost-effectiveness research the answer?
  • Sanofi -Aventis’s CEO has said, “If you can partner, why acquire?” How has the nature of biotech-pharma
  • collaborations changed? What is the prime directive of cash-strapped biotechs?
  • Eli Lilly’s and GlaxoSmithKline’s CEOs do not believe that mega-mergers bring the added value that they
  • should. What strategies does GlaxoSmithKline favor? What recent deals has the company executed? Why is Lilly confi dent of its ability to remain independent, and how will it do so?
  • Mid-tier pharma is struggling to survive and remain independent. What approaches are Bayer Schering,
  • Takeda, and Lilly pursuing? What could be the unintended consequences?
Scope
  • Biotech industry: Bankruptcy, venture capital investing, bailout, cash reserves, comparative effectiveness,
  • biosimilars, liquidation, job losses, white knights, IPOs, culling, registered direct offerings (RDOs), private investment in public equity (PIPE), corporate venture funds, number of venture deals 1995-2009.
  • Pharmaceutical industry: Changing growth sources, mature markets, bioinvestment, biosimilars
  • regulatory pathway, NICE’s July 2009 rejection of Merck-Serono’s Erbitux (cetuximab), E7 countries, top 25 pharma companies, top 20 pharma markets, midsize pharma, unintended consequences, survival strategies, animal health businesses, specialty medicines, biologics, consumer health.
  • Strategies and business models: A ranking of 11 survival strategies in play in the pharmaceutical
  • industry, cash-outs, FIPCOs, virtualization, hibernation, consolidation, reverse merger, emerging markets, selectively integrated business model, codevelopment, co-commercialization, Big Pharma collaboration, mega-mergers, joint ventures, takeovers, M&As, inlicensing, combined brand/generics model, proof-of-concept trials, spin-offs, diversifi cation, divestments, evolve or die, geographic expansion, alliances.


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