The Survey of Economists: Prospects for European Economic Recovery August 2009 Edition

Published by: Primary Research Group

Published: Aug. 1, 2009

Table of Contents

LIST OF TABLES

SURVEY PARTICIPANTS

SUMMARY OF MAIN FINDINGS

Support for Expansionary European Central Bank Policies (ECB)

Opinions of European Central Bank?s Policies on Purchasing Non-Traditional Assets

View Of The Financial Solvency Of The Financial Sector Of Germany

View of the Relative Role of the USA and Europe in the World Financial Crisis

View of Optimal Policies for European National Governments to Confront the Banking Crisis

Views on Increased EEC Assistance to EEC Countries Hit Particularly Hard by the Financial Crisis

Views on the Advisability of Increased Government Spending in a Range of European Countries

What is the Greater Danger to the EEC economy Over the Next Two Years: Deflation or Inflation?

Views on the Likely Path of the Dollar/Euro Exchange Rate

Views on the Reliability of EEC Commission Economic Forecasts

Views of Economic Prospects for Germany Over the Next Two Years

CHAPTER ONE: VIEW OF EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK (ECB) POLICIES

CHAPTER TWO: ECB POLICIES ON PURCHASING NON-TRADITIONAL ASSETS

CHAPTER THREE: VIEW OF ECB POLICY ON STERILIZING THE IMPACT ON THE MONETARY BASE OF NON-TRADITIONAL ASSET PURCHASES

CHAPTER FOUR: VIEW OF THE SOLVENCY OF GERMAN BANKS

CHAPTER FIVE: VIEW OF THE RELATIVE WEIGHT OF EUROPEAN AND AMERICAN BANKS IN THE WORLD FINANCIAL CRISIS

CHAPTER SIX: VIEW OF ADVISABILITY OF RE-CAPITALIZING THE EUROPEAN BANKING SYSTEM THROUGH STATE BORROWING

CHAPTER SEVEN: VIEW OF THE ADVISABILITY OF PROVIDING GREATER AID THROUGH THE EEC TO EUROPEAN COUNTRIES ESPECIALLY HARD HIT BY THE FINANCIAL CRISIS

CHAPTER EIGHT: VIEW OF THE EFFICACY OF AN EXPANSIONARY FISCAL POLICY FOR THE UK

CHAPTER NINE: VIEW OF THE EFFICACY OF AN EXPANSIONARY FISCAL POLICY FOR SPAIN

CHAPTER TEN: VIEW OF THE ROLE OF AN EXPANSIONARY FISCAL POLICY FOR FRANCE

CHAPTER ELEVEN: VIEW OF THE EFFICACY OF AN EXPANSIONARY FISCAL POLICY FOR IRELAND

CHAPTER TWELVE: VIEW OF THE EFFICACY OF AN EXPANSIONARY FISCAL POLICY FOR GERMANY

CHAPTER THIRTEEN: VIEW OF THE EFFICACY OF AN EXPANSIONARY FISCAL POLICY FOR ITALY

CHAPTER FOURTEEN: VIEW OF THE EFFICACY OF AN EXPANSIONARY FISCAL POLICY FOR POLAND

CHAPTER FIFTEEN: WHICH IS THE GREATER THREAT TO EEC ECONOMIES OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS, DEFLATION OR INFLATION?

CHAPTER SIXTEEN: PREDICTED ALTERATIONS IN THE EURO/DOLLAR/EURO EXCHANGE RATE

CHAPTER SEVENTEEN: PREDICTED DOLLAR/EURO EXCHANGE RATE JUNE 2010

CHAPTER EIGHTEEN: PREDICTED DOLLAR/EURO EXCHANGE RATE JUNE 2011

CHAPTER NINETEEN: VIEW OF THE RELIABILITY OF EEC COMMISSION ECONOMIC FORECASTS

CHAPTER TWENTY: VIEW OF THE PROSPECTS FOR GERMAN ECONOMIC RECOVERY OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS

LIST OF TABLES

TABLE 1.1: VIEW OF THE ECB?S POLICIES OVER THE PAST SIX MONTHS: ?

TABLE 1.2: VIEW OF THE ECB?S POLICIES OVER THE PAST SIX MONTHS: ... BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING

TABLE 1.3: VIEW OF THE ECB?S POLICIES OVER THE PAST SIX MONTHS: ... BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS

TABLE 1.4: VIEW OF THE ECB?S POLICIES OVER THE PAST SIX MONTHS: ... BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION

TABLE 2.1: VIEW OF THE ECB?S POLICIES TO PURCHASE NON-TRADITIONAL ASSETS: ...

TABLE 2.2: VIEW OF THE ECB?S POLICIES TO PURCHASE NON-TRADITIONAL ASSETS: ..., BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING

TABLE 2.3: VIEW OF THE ECB?S POLICIES TO PURCHASE NON-TRADITIONAL ASSETS: ..., BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS

TABLE 2.4: VIEW OF THE ECB?S POLICIES TO PURCHASE NON-TRADITIONAL ASSETS: ..., BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION

TABLE 3.1: WHAT DO YOU THINK OF THE ECB?S POLICY OF OFFSETTING OR STERILIZING THE IMPACT ON THE MONETARY BASE OF ITS PURCHASES OF NON-TRADITIONAL ASSETS?

TABLE 3.2: WHAT DO YOU THINK OF THE ECB?S POLICY OF OFFSETTING OR STERILIZING THE IMPACT ON THE MONETARY BASE OF ITS PURCHASES OF NON-TRADITIONAL ASSETS? BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING

TABLE 3.3: WHAT DO YOU THINK OF THE ECB?S POLICY OF OFFSETTING OR STERILIZING THE IMPACT ON THE MONETARY BASE OF ITS PURCHASES OF NON-TRADITIONAL ASSETS? BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS

TABLE 3.4: WHAT DO YOU THINK OF THE ECB?S POLICY OF OFFSETTING OR STERILIZING THE IMPACT ON THE MONETARY BASE OF ITS PURCHASES OF NON-TRADITIONAL ASSETS? BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION

TABLE 4.1: WHICH PHRASE BEST DESCRIBES YOUR VIEWS ON THE FINANCIAL SOLVENCY OF BANKS IN THE GERMANY?

TABLE 4.2: WHICH PHRASE BEST DESCRIBES YOUR VIEWS ON THE FINANCIAL SOLVENCY OF BANKS IN GERMANY? BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING

TABLE 4.3: WHICH PHRASE BEST DESCRIBES YOUR VIEWS ON THE FINANCIAL SOLVENCY OF BANKS IN GERMANY? BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS

TABLE 4.4: WHICH PHRASE BEST DESCRIBES YOUR VIEWS ON THE FINANCIAL SOLVENCY OF BANKS IN GERMANY? BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION

TABLE 5.1: YOUR VIEW OF THE RELATIVE AMERICAN AND EUROPEAN ROLES IN THE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL CRISIS IS BEST DESCRIBED BY WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING PHRASES.

TABLE 5.2: YOUR VIEW OF THE RELATIVE AMERICAN AND EUROPEAN ROLES IN THE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL CRISIS IS BEST DESCRIBED BY WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING PHRASES. BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING

TABLE 5.3: YOUR VIEW OF THE RELATIVE AMERICAN AND EUROPEAN ROLES IN THE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL CRISIS IS BEST DESCRIBED BY WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING PHRASES. BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS

TABLE 5.4: YOUR VIEW OF THE RELATIVE AMERICAN AND EUROPEAN ROLES IN THE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL CRISIS IS BEST DESCRIBED BY WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING PHRASES. BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION

TABLE 6.1: IN CONFRONTING THE PROBLEMS OF THE EUROPEAN BANKING SYSTEM, IN YOUR VIEW MAJOR EUROPEAN GOVERNMENTS IN COUNTRIES WITH BANKING INDUSTRIES THAT FACE VERY HIGH LOSSES SHOULD DO WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING: (CHOOSE THE ALTERNATIVE THAT BEST DESCRIBES YOUR POLICY POSITION)

TABLE 6.2: IN CONFRONTING THE PROBLEMS OF THE EUROPEAN BANKING SYSTEM, IN YOUR VIEW MAJOR EUROPEAN GOVERNMENTS IN COUNTRIES WITH BANKING INDUSTRIES THAT FACE VERY HIGH LOSSES SHOULD DO WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING: (CHOOSE THE ALTERNATIVE THAT BEST DESCRIBES YOUR POLICY POSITION). BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING

TABLE 6.3: IN CONFRONTING THE PROBLEMS OF THE EUROPEAN BANKING SYSTEM, IN YOUR VIEW MAJOR EUROPEAN GOVERNMENTS IN COUNTRIES WITH BANKING INDUSTRIES THAT FACE VERY HIGH LOSSES SHOULD DO WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING: (CHOOSE THE ALTERNATIVE THAT BEST DESCRIBES YOUR POLICY POSITION). BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS

TABLE 6.4: IN CONFRONTING THE PROBLEMS OF THE EUROPEAN BANKING SYSTEM, IN YOUR VIEW MAJOR EUROPEAN GOVERNMENTS IN COUNTRIES WITH BANKING INDUSTRIES THAT FACE VERY HIGH LOSSES SHOULD DO WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING: (CHOOSE THE ALTERNATIVE THAT BEST DESCRIBES YOUR POLICY POSITION). BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION

TABLE 7.1: SHOULD THE EUROPEAN COMMISSIN BE DOING MUCH MORE TO HELP THOSE EEC COUNTRIES STRUCK MOST SEVERELY BY THE BANKING CRISIS SUCH AS SPAIN, BELGIUM, IRELAND AND GREECE?

TABLE 7.2: SHOULD THE EUROPEAN COMMISSIN BE DOING MUCH MORE TO HELP THOSE EEC COUNTRIES STRUCK MOST SEVERELY BY THE BANKING CRISIS SUCH AS SPAIN, BELGIUM, IRELAND AND GREECE? BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING

TABLE 7.3: SHOULD THE EUROPEAN COMMISSIN BE DOING MUCH MORE TO HELP THOSE EEC COUNTRIES STRUCK MOST SEVERELY BY THE BANKING CRISIS SUCH AS SPAIN, BELGIUM, IRELAND AND GREECE? BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS

TABLE 7.4: SHOULD THE EUROPEAN COMMISSIN BE DOING MUCH MORE TO HELP THOSE EEC COUNTRIES STRUCK MOST SEVERELY BY THE BANKING CRISIS SUCH AS SPAIN, BELGIUM, IRELAND AND GREECE? BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION

TABLE 8.1: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE THE UNITED KINGDOM TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT.

TABLE 8.2: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE THE UNITED KINGDOM TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT.NOTE BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING

TABLE 8.3: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE THE UNITED KINGDOM TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS

TABLE 8.4: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE THE UNITED KINGDOM TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT.NOTE BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION

TABLE 9.1: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE SPAIN TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT.

TABLE 9.2: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE SPAIN TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. NOTE BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING

TABLE 9.3: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE SPAIN TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS

TABLE 9.4: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE SPAIN TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. NOTE BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION

TABLE 10.1: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE FRANCE TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT.

TABLE 10.2: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE FRANCE TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. NOTE BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING

TABLE 10.3: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE FRANCE TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS

TABLE 10.4: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE FRANCE TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. NOTE BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION

TABLE 11.1: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE IRELAND TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT.

TABLE 11.2: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE IRELAND TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. NOTE BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING

TABLE 11.3: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE IRELAND TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS

TABLE 11.4: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE IRELAND TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. NOTE BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION

TABLE 12.1: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE GERMANY TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT.

TABLE 12.2: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE GERMANY TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. NOTE BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING

TABLE 12.3: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE GERMANY TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS

TABLE 12.4: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE GERMANY TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. NOTE BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION

TABLE 13.1: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE ITALY TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT.

TABLE 13.2: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE ITALY TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. NOTE BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING

TABLE 13.3: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE ITALY TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS

TABLE 13.4: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE ITALY TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT.NOTE BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION

TABLE 14.1: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE POLAND TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT.

TABLE 14.2: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE POLAND TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. NOTE BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING

TABLE 14.3: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE POLAND TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS

TABLE 14.4: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE POLAND TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. NOTE BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION

TABLE 15.1: IN YOUR VIEW THE GREATER THREAT TO THE EEC ECONOMY OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS IS DEFLATION OR INFLATION?

TABLE 15.2: IN YOUR VIEW THE GREATER THREAT TO THE EEC ECONOMY OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS IS DEFLATION OR INFLATION? BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING

TABLE 15.3: IN YOUR VIEW THE GREATER THREAT TO THE EEC ECONOMY OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS IS DEFLATION OR INFLATION? BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS

TABLE 15.4: IN YOUR VIEW THE GREATER THREAT TO THE EEC ECONOMY OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS IS DEFLATION OR INFLATION? BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION

TABLE 16.1: OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS, THE EURO VIS A VIS THE DOLLAR WILL ?

TABLE 16.2: OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS, THE EURO VIS A VIS THE DOLLAR WILL ?, BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING

TABLE 16.3: OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS, THE EURO VIS A VIS THE DOLLAR WILL ?, BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS

TABLE 16.4: OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS, THE EURO VIS A VIS THE DOLLAR WILL ?, BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION

TABLE 17.1: APPROXIMATELY WHAT DO YOU GUESS WILL BE THE DOLLAR/EURO EXCHANGE RATE IN JUNE 2010?

TABLE 17.2: APPROXIMATELY WHAT DO YOU GUESS WILL BE THE DOLLAR/EURO EXCHANGE RATE IN JUNE 2010? BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING

TABLE 17.3: APPROXIMATELY WHAT DO YOU GUESS WILL BE THE DOLLAR/EURO EXCHANGE RATE IN JUNE 2010? BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS

TABLE 18.1: APPROXIMATELY WHAT DO YOU GUESS WILL BE THE DOLLAR/EURO EXCHANGE RATE IN JUNE 2011?

TABLE 18.2: APPROXIMATELY WHAT DO YOU GUESS WILL BE THE DOLLAR/EURO EXCHANGE RATE IN JUNE 2011? BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING

TABLE 18.3: APPROXIMATELY WHAT DO YOU GUESS WILL BE THE DOLLAR/EURO EXCHANGE RATE IN JUNE 2011? BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS

TABLE 18.4: APPROXIMATELY WHAT DO YOU GUESS WILL BE THE DOLLAR/EURO EXCHANGE RATE IN JUNE 2011? BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION

TABLE 20.1: AS A PERSONAL SUBJECTIVE ESTIMATE, HOW DO YOU FEEL ABOUT THE PROSPECTS FOR THE RECOVERY OF THE GERMAN ECONOMY OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS?

TABLE 20.2: AS A PERSONAL SUBJECTIVE ESTIMATE, HOW DO YOU FEEL ABOUT THE PROSPECTS FOR THE RECOVERY OF THE GERMAN ECONOMY OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS? BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING

TABLE 20.3: AS A PERSONAL SUBJECTIVE ESTIMATE, HOW DO YOU FEEL ABOUT THE PROSPECTS FOR THE RECOVERY OF THE GERMAN ECONOMY OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS? BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS

TABLE 20.4: AS A PERSONAL SUBJECTIVE ESTIMATE, HOW DO YOU FEEL ABOUT THE PROSPECTS FOR THE RECOVERY OF THE GERMAN ECONOMY OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS? BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION

Abstract

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