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Malaysia Agribusiness Report Q4 2009

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Sep. 4, 2009 - 56 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Malaysia Agricultural SWOT
Industry Business Environment Overview
Supply Demand Analysis
Malaysia Cocoa Outlook
Table: Malaysia Cocoa Production & Consumption
Table: Malaysia Cocoa Production & Consumption
Malaysia Grain Outlook
Table: Malaysia Corn Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Malaysia Corn Production, Consumption & Trade
Malaysia Sugar Outlook
Table: Malaysia Sugar Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Malaysia Sugar Production, Consumption & Trade
Malaysia Rice Outlook
Malaysia Rice Outlook
Table: Malaysia Rice Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Malaysia Rice Production, Consumption & Trade
Malaysia Dairy Outlook
Table: Malaysia Milk Production & Consumption
Table: Malaysia Butter Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Malaysia Cheese Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Malaysia Whole Milk Powder Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Malaysia Milk Production & Consumption
Table: Malaysia Butter Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Malaysia Cheese Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Malaysia Whole Milk Powder Production, Consumption & Trade
Malaysia Livestock Outlook
Table: Malaysia Poultry Production & Consumption
Table: Malaysia Pork Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Malaysia Beef & Veal Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Malaysia Poultry Production, Consumption & Trade
Malaysia Pork Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Malaysia Beef & Veal Production, Consumption & Trade
Competitive Landscape
Table: Agricultural Commodity Producers & Traders
Table: Agribusiness Suppliers
Table: Integrated Agricultural Producers
Commodity Price Analysis
Corn
Table: Corn
Rice
Table: Rice
Soy
Table: Soybean
Wheat
Table: Wheat
Softs Update
Cocoa
Table: Cocoa
Coffee
Table: Coffee
Milk
Table: Milk
Sugar
Table: Sugar
Downstream Supply Chain Analysis
Industry Forecast Scenario - Food
Food Consumption
Table: Food Consumption Indicators -- Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2013
Confectionery
Value/Volume Sales of Confectionery Subsector -- Historical Data & Forecasts, 2006-2013
Trade
Malaysia Food & Drink Trade Indicators -- Historical Data & Forecasts, 2006-2013
Industry Forecast Scenario - Retail
Table: Malaysia Mass Grocery Retail Sales - Sales Value by Format - Historical Data & Forecasts
Grocery Retail Sales by Format - Historical Data & Forecasts
Macroeconomic Forecast
Malaysia - Economic Activity
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts

Abstract

Malaysia is in the midst of a recession. BMI is forecasting GDP growth to come in at -3.4% in 2009 asdemand for the country's exports fall. Despite the poor state of the overall economy, prices for many keyfood items have stayed stubbornly high. This has begun to cause friction between producers, traders,consumers and the government.

Consumers have been particularly sensitive to the high price of meat. Prices for chicken and pork rosesharply through the first half of the year and at the time of writing were back up around the level seen atthe height of the 'food crisis' of 2008. Both consumer groups and the government have blamed producersfor the high prices, complaining that they have continued to go up even after the price of feed hadstabilised. Producers have blamed the rises on high demand and continued low profitability in thelivestock production sector following the rapid rise in input costs in 2007 and 2008.

The Malaysian government, keen to avoid stoking public anger at a time of heightened political tension,is threatening to get tough on livestock producers if meat prices remain high. The Ministry of DomesticTrade, Co-operatives and Consumerism first attempted to bring together producers and traders in aCommittee on Chicken Pricing, but received no interest from producers. The ministry is now threateningto issue import permits for both pork and chicken meat if prices do not come down. This would exposedomestic producers to cheaper imports from northern neighbour Thailand as well as further afield.

The trade off between guaranteeing good profits for agricultural producers and keeping food prices lowfor consumers is one that has to be given careful consideration when decisions on food security are made.Malaysia is now aiming to increase its self-sufficiency in food production following the food scares oflast year. The disbursal of funds and levels of protection given to the agricultural sector will remain highon the agenda over the coming year.

The recession has also impacted the rice market, with the government struggling to deal with a surge indemand for subsidised low-cost rice. The government has been providing millers with subsidies toproduce low-grade 15% broken Super Tempatan (ST15) rice. The cheap rice has, however, provedincreasingly popular with regular consumers as the recession has hit pockets. This has left the intendedlow-income recipients often unable to find supplies. As the economy returns to growth next year,consumers are likely to switch back to higher grade rice.

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