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Published by: Business Monitor International
Published: Sep. 1, 2009 - 45 Pages
Table of Contents
- Executive Summary
- SWOT Analysis
- Indonesia Textiles SWOT
- Indonesia Apparel SWOT
- Indonesia Political SWOT
- Indonesia Economic SWOT
- Indonesia Business Environment SWOT
- Market Overview
- Industry Trends And Developments
- General
- General : Past Headlines
- Synthetics
- Synthetics: Past Headlines
- Textiles
- Textiles: Past Headlines
- Clothing
- Clothing: Past Headlines
- Indonesia Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: Textiles And Clothing Production And International Trade, 2006-2013
- Long-Term Outlook
- Table: Textiles And Clothing Production And International Trade, Long-Term Forecasts, 2011-2018
- Macroeconomic Outlook
- Table: Indonesia - Economic Activity, 2006-2013
- Global Textiles And Clothing Market Overview
- Background: International Trade In Textiles
- Output And Trends
- Global Fibres Market Outlook
- Cotton
- Wool
- Table: Global Fibre Prices
- Synthetic Fibres
- Company Profiles
- Fast Retailing
- Gap
- Table: Gap Key Financial Data
- Table: Gap Income Statement (US$mn)
- Inditex
- PT Teijin Indonesia Fiber
- Polysindo Eka Perkasa
- Country Snapshot: Indonesia Demographic Data
- Section 1: Population
- Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
- Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
- Section 2: Education And Healthcare
- Table: Education, 2000-2005
- Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
- Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
- Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
- Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2010 (US$)
- Table: Average Annual Manufacturing Wages, 2000-2012 (IDR)
- Global Assumptions
- Table: BMI’s Global Assumptions, 2007-2013
- Table: Global And Regional Real GDP Growth, 2008-2011
- Table: Developed Market Exchange Rates, 2008-2011 (average)
- Table: Key Emerging Market Exchange Rates, 2008-2011 (average against US dollar)
- Methodology
AbstractIndonesia, which BMI estimates to be ranked 14th in the world by textiles and clothing (T&C)manufacturing value added, faces some significant challenges, made more acute by the global economicgrowth downturn. The main issue for the country is that it is facing a double competitive squeeze, with itsexport markets under threat, and its domestic markets seeing an increasing inflow of imports. Animportant issue in the textiles sector is whether local companies, facing tough market conditions, can finda way of investing in modernising plant and technology, an essential step to maintaining a competitiveedge. BMI thinks this will be a difficult task.
Indonesian T&C manufacturing value added slowed a little to 5.5% growth in 2008, and we estimate thatit will have a bad year in 2009, with an outright contraction of 5.0%. Thereafter, it will begin a weakrecovery with predicted growth of 3.1% in 2010. In the five years to 2008, BMI estimates that averageannual growth of T&C manufacturing value added was 7.6%, ahead of GDP at 5.7%. In the next fiveyears, we see the pace off T&C growth falling to an average of 2.3%, falling behind an annual GDPexpansion of 4.7%. BMI expects T&C exports to contract year-on-year (y-o-y) by 10.7% in 2009 toUS$9.37bn, with imports contracting y-o-y by 11.9% to US$1.10bn. Export growth, which averaged8.6% in the five years to 2008, should increase to 14.4% in the five years to 2013. Although theInternational Labour Organization (ILO) does not provide detailed data series of employment inIndonesia’s T&C industry, official estimates are that, in 2005, employment stood at about 1.8mn people.
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