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Poland Agribusiness Report Q2 2009

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Apr. 27, 2009 - 65 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Poland Agricultural SWOT
Industry Business Environment Overview
Market Overview
Key Outputs
Support
Economic Outlook
Global Outlook
Table: Global Assumptions
Developed States
Developed States, Real GDP Growth Forecast
Emerging Markets
Table: Emerging Markets, Real GDP Growth Forecast
Sub-sector Supply & Demand Analysis
Poland Livestock Outlook
Table: Poland Poultry Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Pork Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Beef & Veal Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Poultry Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Pork Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Beef & Veal Production, Consumption & Trade
Risk to Outlook
Poland Dairy Outlook
Table: Poland Milk Production & Consumption
Table: Poland Butter Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Cheese Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Milk Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Butter Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Cheese Production, Consumption & Trade
Risk to Outlook
Poland Grain Outlook
Table: Poland Wheat Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Corn Production
Table: Poland Barley Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Wheat Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Corn Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Barley Production, Consumption & Trade
Risk to Outlook
Poland Sugar Outlook
Table: Poland Sugar Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Sugar Production, Consumption & Trade
Risk to Outlook
Poland Rice Outlook
Table: Poland Rice Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Rice Production, Consumption & Trade
Risk to Outlook
Commodity Price Forecasts
Sugar
Wheat
Corn
Milk
Competitive Landscape
Table: Agricultural Commodity Producers & Traders
Table: Agribusiness Suppliers
Table: Integrated Agricultural Producers
Special Focus
Dramatic Conclusion To CAP Negotiations
CAP Reform Implications For EU Farmers
CAP Reform: Implications For Developing Economies
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts

Abstract

This report analyses supply and demand in Poland's changing grain, rice, sugar and livestock sectors. Itconsiders recent developments and looks at how production levels and consumption are likely to play outto the end of the forecast period in 2013.

Poland is one of the EU's most important agricultural product providers. It is a significant producer ofwheat, sugar beet, pork and milk, and, although only touched upon by this report, it is one of the leadingEU suppliers of rye, oats, rape, potatoes, carrots, onions, apples and cherries. It is generally a net exporterof meat and dairy products. About 77% of the agricultural land is arable, 2% is covered by orchards andabout 20% is permanent pasture.

Since joining the EU Poland's agriculture industry has been, and is still being, forced into significantchange in order to be competitive. In an effort to encourage consolidation of the fragmented farmingsystem; to help bring farms and processing units up to EU production, health and safety standards, and tohelp give impetus to the food industry, the EU, in conjunction with the national government, has handedover billions of euros in subsidies and other types of financial support. Additional support is provided bythe World Bank.

Slowly this seems to be working and despite inevitable fluctuations in market conditions for certainproducts (the pig industry has suffered in the recent EU pig crisis), farms are generally becoming moreproductive, farmers are generally becoming richer and the food industry is developing well.

All this has helped expand the larger Polish economy, which in recent years has seen a significantimprovement in GDP and consumer spending power (although the recession is now taking a toll).

The westernisation of consumer food preferences is providing further opportunities for agriculturalproducers and processors and the winners will be those who can adapt best. Poland's encouragement offoreign investment in the food industry is helping to meet shifting consumer demands and drive theindustry forward.

Significant opportunities still remain in some sectors such as organic production, which could particularlysuit many of Poland's small farms. Conversely, a greater acceptance of genetically modified (GM)organisms could help crop and livestock producers.

In response to the EU Renewable Energy Directive which stipulates that by 2020 at least 10% of fuelused in transport will be from biofuel or electric power, there is some excitement about the possiblebenefits of domestic biofuel production for crop and sugar beet growers. However, it remains to be seenhow this plays out.

The current economic downturn is of course a threat to Poland's agricultural sector, as it is to most othersaround the world.

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