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Oil Change Retail - US

Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.

Published: Aug. 1, 2009 - 84 Pages


Table of Contents


Scope and Themes

What you need to know

Definition

Data sources

Consumer survey data

Advertising creative

Abbreviations and terms

Abbreviations

Terms



Executive Summary

Oil change market affected by U.S. recession, U.S. automotive market

Oil change-plus operators control 69% of market; fast lube chains 30%

Oil change retail threatened by dealership transitioning to service centers

Fewer miles traveled may create less reliance on oil changes, maintenance

Industry doubling suggested miles driven requiring oil changes, check-ups

Car sales plummet as consumers maintain older cars, benefiting oil change

Consumer survey results

Youngest respondent households earning least are likely to own car

Most respondents pay for oil changes than participate in self-service

About half of respondents change oil every three months as recommended

Those aged 35-44 are most invested in changing oil every three months

Higher earning households uniform in changing oil more consistently

Jiffy Lube most preferred among respondents; Walmart is second

Routine, quality of work equally responsible for bringing consumers back

Belt-tightening resulting in respondents preferring basic service the most

Aftermarket items a tough sell in recessionary times; 60% not interested

Consumers spending between $30-50 in total at oil change outlets



Market Size and Forecast

Key points

Oil change retail market falls hardest in 2010 but picks up past recession

Figure 1: Total oil change retail revenues, at current prices, 2004-14

Figure 2: Total oil change retail revenues, at inflation-adjusted prices, 2004-14



Competitive Context

Dealerships strengthen service component, threatening oil change revenue

Figure 3: U.S. new car dealerships, 1987-2008

Fewer miles traveled may create less reliance on oil changes, maintenance

Figure 4: Consumer vehicle miles traveled, all U.S. roads and streets, 1998-2008

Industry doubling suggested miles driven requiring oil changes, check-ups

Figure 5: Factory recommended miles for oil changes, per vehicle brand, December 2007



Market Drivers

Car sales plummet as consumers maintain older cars, benefiting oil change

Figure 6: Total sales at new car dealerships, at current prices, 2003-09

New vehicle sales dominate, but losing slight market share to used

Figure 7: U.S. sales at new car dealerships, by segment, 2005 and 2007

Right to Repair Act poised to give oil change operators repair advantage



Segment Performance

Key points

Oil Change-Plus operators control 69% of market; fast lube chains 30%

Figure 8: Top U.S. oil change retailers, by store units, March 2009

Figure 9: Top U.S. oil change retailers, by store units, March 2009



Segment Performance—Oil Change-Plus Shops

Key points

Overview

Walmart Tire & Lube Express

Goodyear Gemini Automotive Care

Firestone Complete Auto Care

Focus on recycled motor oil changes; EcoPower launch on both coasts

Midas Auto Service

Midas experimenting with co-branding SpeeDee shops, 25 due by 2010

Figure 10: Top 50 U.S. oil change-plus chains, by store units, March 2009



Segment Performance—Fast Lube Chains

Key points

Overview

Jiffy Lube transitions from speed, convenience to preventive maintenance

Figure 11: Top U.S. fast lube chains, by store units, March 2009



Segment Performance—Associated Chains

Key points

Overview

Figure 12: Top U.S. associated chains, by store units, March 2009



Innovation and Innovators

Firestone launches inaugural “greener” oil change service in Oregon

Technology company markets “green” oil filter to make oil changes last

Jiffy Lube launches program that evaluates, encourages fuel efficiency



Advertising and Promotion

Mobile phone applications, promotions direct consumers to lube outlets

Figure 13: Online advertising by the U.S. automotive industry, 2007-12

Loyalty cards allows convenience, speed for individual and fleet customers

Analysis of commercial television spots

Using environmental messages to drive home value of regular oil changes

Figure 14: Lube Stop ad, 2009

Figure 15: Jiffy Lube ad, 2009

Preventative maintenance message used to offset gas prices, recession

Figure 16: Jiffy Lube Signature Service ad, 2009

Engine warranty promoted as incentive for regular oil changes

Figure 17: Valvoline ad, 2009



Oil Change Retail—Preference

Key points

Youngest respondent households earning are least likely to own car

Figure 18: Automotive ownership, by gender, age, and household income, April 1-14, 2009

Most respondents pay for oil changes than participate in self-service

Figure 19: Oil change preference, by gender, April 1-14, 2009

Younger respondents more than oldest least likely to pay for oil changes

Figure 20: Oil change preference, by age, April 1-14, 2009

Divide in household income not as relevant in determining pay, self-service

Figure 21: Oil change preference, by household income, April 1-14, 2009



Oil Change Retail—Frequency

Key points

About half of respondents change oil every three months as recommended

Figure 22: Oil change frequency, by gender, April 1-14, 2009

Those aged 35-44 are most invested in changing oil every three months

Figure 23: Oil change frequency, by age, April 1-14, 2009

Higher earning households uniform in changing oil more consistently

Figure 24: Oil change frequency, by household income, April 1-14, 2009



Oil Change Retail—Segment Preference

Key points

Oil change outlets, car dealerships equally preferred by respondents

Figure 25: Oil change segment preference, by gender, April 1-14, 2009

As respondents turn 55, they shift from oil change outlets to dealerships

Figure 26: Oil change segment preference, by age, April 1-14, 2009

Wealthiest respondents more likely to use dealerships, less use mechanics

Figure 27: Oil change segment preference, by household income, April 1-14, 2009



Oil Change Retail—Brand Preference

Key points

Jiffy Lube most preferred among respondents; Walmart is second

Figure 28: Oil change brand preference, by gender, April 1-14, 2009

Walmart most heavily patronized by those aged 18-24; those 65+ the least

Figure 29: Oil change brand preference, by age, April 1-14, 2009

Wealthiest least loyal to Walmart; most likely than others to go to Jiffy Lube

Figure 30: Oil change brand preference, by household income, April 1-14, 2009



Oil Change Retail—Reason for Choice

Key points

Routine, quality of work equally responsible for bringing consumers back

Figure 31: Oil change reason for choice, by gender, April 1-14, 2009

Older respondents motivated most by quality, routine than youngest

Figure 32: Oil change reason for choice, by age, April 1-14, 2009



Oil Change Retail—Service Choice

Key points

Belt-tightening resulting in respondents preferring basic service the most

Figure 33: Oil change service choice, by gender, April 1-14, 2009

Gap between oil change services narrow as respondents age

Figure 34: Oil change service choice, by age, April 1-14, 2009

Wealthy more inclined to get basic service than more expensive full

Figure 35: Oil change service choice, by household income, April 1-14, 2009



Oil Change Retail—Aftermarket Activity

Key points

Aftermarket items a tough sell in recessionary times; 60% not interested

Figure 36: Oil change aftermarket, by gender, April 1-14, 2009

Least wealthy households most likely to purchase aftermarket items

Figure 37: Oil change aftermarket, by household income, April 1-14, 2009



Oil Change Retail—Consumer Spend

Key points

Consumers spending between $30-50 in total at oil change outlets

Figure 38: Oil change consumer spend, by gender, April 1-14, 2009

Those aged 18-24 are spending the most at oil change outlets

Figure 39: Oil change consumer spend, by age, April 1-14, 2009



Race and Hispanic Origin

Key points

Hispanics show potential growth for marketing oil change service, repair

Figure 40: Oil change preference, by race or Hispanic origin, April 1-14, 2009

Blacks most active in changing oil every three months; Hispanics more so

Figure 41: Oil change frequency, by race or Hispanic origin, April 1-14, 2009

Hispanics most prefer oil change outlets; blacks prefer dealers most

Figure 42: Oil change segment preference, by race or Hispanic origin, April 1-14, 2009

Hispanics value personal recommendations more than blacks, whites

Figure 43: Oil change reason for choice, by race and Hispanic origin, April 1-14, 2009

Hispanics spending more than peers on aftermarket parts, fluids

Figure 44: Oil change aftermarket, by race and Hispanic origin, April 1-14, 2009

Hispanic respondents most likely to spend the most, whites the least

Figure 45: Oil change consumer spend, by race and Hispanic origin, April 1-14, 2009



APPENDIX: OTHER USEFUL CONSUMER TABLES

Reason for choice and household income

Figure 46: Oil change reason for choice, by household income, April 1-14, 2009

Aftermarket purchasing and respondent age

Figure 47: Oil change aftermarket, by age, April 1-14, 2009

Consumer spend and household income

Figure 48: Oil change consumer spend, by household income, April 1-14, 2009

Brand preference and race and Hispanic origin

Figure 49: Oil change brand preference, by race or Hispanic origin, April 1-14, 2009

Oil change service choice and race and Hispanic origin

Figure 50: Oil change service choice, by race and Hispanic origin, April 1-14, 2009



APPENDIX: TRADE ASSOCIATIONS

Abstract

Trends driving the oil change and fast lube industry

In almost every market, convenience ranks as one of the most important factors consumers value. Gridlock and increased family and work commitments often mean that consumers have less time to attend to simple but necessary tasks, such as getting their oil changed on a regular basis.

Like door-to-door grocery, laundry, and video services, oil changes are a natural next step in providing consumers an at-home service they are likely to pay more for rather than make the time.



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