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India Infrastructure Report Q4 2009Published by: Business Monitor International Published: Aug. 27, 2009 - 85 Pages Table of Contents
AbstractIndia’s Infrastructure Output Index, a measure of output growth from six industries related toinfrastructure production, has shown resilience thus far in 2009 and according to the latest available datafrom June 2009, production increased by 6.5% year-on-year (y-o-y), the strongest month yet. Ourforecasts are more bullish this quarter for 2009. Three factors influence the upward revision:- The latest infrastructure data - The re-election of the United Progressive Alliance party, which assures a level of policycontinuity in infrastructure investment policy - The 2009/2010 budget announcements In BMI’s Q409 India Infrastructure Report, we forecast that India’s construction sector will grow, in realterms, at a rate of 2.6% y-o-y in 2009. This still remains a historically low figure for India, but growth isforecast to resume strongly in 2010, when we forecast real growth of 9.4%. Infrastructure was the focal point of the new budget. A combination of higher government funding andpublic private partnerships (PPPs) will drive new investments in infrastructure projects. The main goalbehind the provisions for infrastructure is increasing liquidity in the market, which in turn will sustainmega-projects in power, gas, highways and railways. For the transport sector, funding earmarked for thenational highways development program increased by 23% compared with the previous budget, whilefunding for railways increased by close to 45%. In the power sector, allocations for the powerdevelopment program increased by 160%. Finally, the project to create a national system of natural gaspipeline corridors will see a blueprint developed within the new fiscal year. Even though infrastructuregot the lion’s share of attention in the budget, Reuters reports that domestic infrastructure players soughtmore clarity over the allocation of earmarked funds. India ranks 10th out of the 14 countries rated in our Project Finance Ratings for the Asia Pacific region. The country’s particularly low score in contract enforceability and market orientation drags its totalproject finance score down. In addition, finds itself in fifth place this quarter owing to South Korea’s fallfrom the top of the table; India’s score remains the same this quarter. The country's weak points lie in thelimited expertise of the domestic sector which, with the possible exception of companies such asGammon, GMR Infrastructure and Larsen & Tourbo, cannot meet the demands of the mega-projectsthe government is seeking to implement in the transport and energy sectors. Get Full Details About This Report >> |
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