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Pakistan Agribusiness Report Q4 2009

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Aug. 11, 2009 - 57 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Pakistan Agricultural SWOT
Industry Business Environment Overview
Supply Demand Analysis
Pakistan Livestock Outlook
Table: Pakistan Poultry Production & Consumption
Table: Pakistan Beef & Veal Production & Consumption
Table: Pakistan Poultry Production & Consumption
Table: Pakistan Beef & Veal Production & Consumption
Pakistan Dairy Outlook
Table: Pakistan Milk Production & Consumption
Table: Pakistan Butter Production & Consumption
Table: Pakistan Milk Production & Consumption
Table: Pakistan Butter Production & Consumption
Pakistan Rice Outlook
Table: Pakistan Rice Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Pakistan Rice Production, Consumption & Trade
Pakistan Sugar Outlook
Pakistan Sugar Outlook
Table: Pakistan Sugar Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Pakistan Sugar Production, Consumption & Trade
Pakistan Grain Outlook
Table: Pakistan Wheat Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Pakistan Corn Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Pakistan Barley Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Pakistan Sorghum Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Pakistan Wheat Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Pakistan Corn Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Pakistan Barley Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Pakistan Sorghum Production, Consumption & Trade
Competitive Landscape
Table: Agricultural Commodity Producers & Traders
Table: Agribusiness Suppliers
Table: Integrated Agricultural Producers
Commodity Price Analysis
Corn
Table: Corn
Rice
Table: Rice
Soy
Table: Soybean
Wheat
Table: Wheat
Softs Update
Cocoa
Table: Cocoa
Coffee
Table: Coffee
Milk
Table: Milk
Sugar
Table: Sugar
Downstream Supply Chain Analysis
Industry Forecast Scenario - Food
Table: Pakistan Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts
Canned Food
Table: Pakistan Food Categories -- Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts
Trade
Table: Pakistan Food & Drink Trade Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Pakistan MGR Value Sales By Format -- Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Grocery Retail Sales By Format -- Historical Data & Forecasts
Macroeconomic Forecast
Table: Pakistan - Economic Activity
Special Focus
Industry Trend Analysis - Pakistan's Mangoes Ripe For Export
Industry Trend Analysis - Pakistan Increases Farm Acreage Available For Foreign Investment
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts

Abstract

Pakistan has been attracting interest in its large but underdeveloped agricultural sector from across theglobe in recent months. This comes as part of the increasing trend of rich food deficit countries investingin agriculture in poorer countries with more plentiful land resources.

In June, news agency Reuters reported that the government of Pakistan had offered 404,700 hectares (ha)of farmland for sale or lease to foreign investors. It is the usual suspects of the Gulf states and SouthKorea who are the likely targets of the government's drive for investment. Oil rich, food poor states fromthe Middle East and food deficit prone South Korea have been spurred by the high food prices of 2007and 2008 to increase their food security by investing in agricultural land abroad.

In July, the Pakistani minister for investment said that the country would be happy to provide land forKorean companies to build food and dairy processing facilities. Also in July, the chief minister of thePunjab said that there was a large amount of interest in investing in the province's agriculture from Qatar.

A month earlier, in June 2009, Tetra Pak announced the signing of an memorandum of understandingwith local company Engro Foods to create a dairy hub in the Sahiwal district of the Punjab. The hub willserve 15 villages in the district and aims to promote more efficient production and bring smallholders intothe formal dairy market chain.

Foreign investment has a vital role to play in improving productivity in Pakistan's agricultural sector.

Investment in training farmers to improve their production methods will be beneficial for both theproducers themselves and the companies seeking to buy their products. Investments such as the one byTetra Pak are to be welcomed wholeheartedly.

The sale or lease of land to foreign companies is a more complex issue. While no firm deals have beenannounced as yet, the government's apparent willingness to sell large swathes of land could be a source offriction with local farmers if they feel they are not benefiting from increased production. Land andagriculture are emotive issues, particularly in such a rural country as Pakistan.

This is not to say that any deal to lease land to foreign investors would always produce negative results,but the government needs to be sure that those who will be impacted by any deals are fully consulted andnot just focus on the valuable source of foreign currency being offered. Such deals have already fallenapart in other parts of the world owing to local resistance, most notably Madagascar where a plan to leasea huge tract of agricultural land to a Korean company likely contributed to the downfall of the presidentin March.

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