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Russian Insurance Industry Forecast to 2012

Published by: RNCOS

Published: Aug. 1, 2009 - 70 Pages


Table of Contents


1. Analyst View

2. Russia Insurance Market - An Overview

3. Russia - A Lucrative Insurance Market

3.1 Living Standard

3.2 Natural Catastrophes

3.3 Market Penetration

3.4 Market Consolidation

3.5 Economic Growth

3.6 Government Initiatives

4. Market Performance

4.1 By Product

4.1.1 Life

4.1.2 Non-life

4.1.2.1 Motor

4.1.2.2 Medical

4.1.2.3 CAR and EAR

4.1.2.4 Aviation and Space

4.1.2.5 Marine

4.1.2.6 Cargo

4.1.2.7 Energy

4.1.2.8 Liability

4.2 By Insurance Class

4.2.1 Compulsory

4.2.2 Voluntary

4.3 By Distribution Network

4.3.1 Tied Agents

4.3.2 Brokers

4.3.3 Bancassurance

4.4 By Reinsurance

4.4.1 Overview

4.4.2 Performance

5. Growth Prospects

5.1 Motor Hull Insurance

5.2 Household Insurance

5.3 Pension Market

5.4 CAR and EAR Insurance

6. Growth Blockers

6.1 Public Distrust

6.2 Population

6.3 Information Technology

6.4 Qualified Professionals

7. Regulatory Developments

7.1 Business Lines Separation

7.2 Separate License for Reinsurance

7.3 Capitalization

7.4 Reserve Requirement

7.5 Asset Allocation

8. Key Players Analysis

8.1 Rosgosstrakh

8.2 Ingosstrakh

8.3 Sogaz

8.4 Reso-Garantia

8.5 Rosno

8.6 MAKS

8.7 KAPITAL STRAKHOVANIE

8.8 URALSIB

8.9 VSK

8.10 SPASSKIE VOROTA


List of Figures:


Figure 2-1: Insurance Premium (Billion RUB), 2005-2009

Figure 2-2: CIS - Insurance Premium by Country (%), 2006

Figure 3-1: Per Head Disposable Income (US$), 2005-2009

Figure 3-2: Forecast for Per Head Disposable Income (US$), 2010-2012

Figure 3-3: Per Capita Consumer Spending on Insurance (US$), 2005-2009

Figure 3-4: Natural Catastrophes by Region (%), 2005

Figure 3-5: BRIC - Insurance Premium Spending as % of GDP (2008)

Figure 3-6: Number of Insurance Companies (2006-2009)

Figure 3-7: Forecast for Number of Insurance Companies (2010-2012)

Figure 3-8: GDP per Head (US$), 2005-2009

Figure 3-9: Forecast for GDP per Head (US$), 2010-2012

Figure 4-1: Share of Life and Non-life Insurance Premium (2008)

Figure 4-2: Life Insurance Premium (Billion RUB), 2005-2009

Figure 4-3: Forecast for Life Insurance Premium (Billion RUB), 2010-2012

Figure 4-4: Europe - Life Insurance Market by Country (%), 2007

Figure 4-5: Life Insurance Premium by Segment (%), Q1 2006

Figure 4-6: Ratio of Life Insurance Premium and Claims Paid (%), 2008

Figure 4-7: Europe - Non-life Insurance Market by Country (%), 2007

Figure 4-8: Non-life Insurance Premium (Billion RUB), 2005-2009

Figure 4-9: Forecast for Non-life Insurance Premium (Billion RUB), 2010-2012

Figure 4-10: Passenger Car Sales (‘000 Units), 2005-2009

Figure 4-11: CMTPL Insurance Premium (Billion RUB), 2005-2009

Figure 4-12: Ratio of CMTPL Insurance Premium & Claims Paid (%), 2008

Figure 4-13: Compulsory Medical Insurance Premium (Billion RUB), 2005-2009

Figure 4-14: Property Insurance Penetration (%), 2008

Figure 4-15: Property Insurance Premium (Billion RUB), 2005-2009

Figure 4-16: Ratio of Property Insurance Premium and Claims Paid (%), 2008

Figure 4-17: Aviation Insurance Premium (Billion RUB), 2006 & 2007

Figure 4-18: Marine Liability Insurance Premium (Million RUB), 2006 & 2007

Figure 4-19: Cargo Insurance Premium (Billion RUB), 2005-2007

Figure 4-20: Liability Insurance Premium (Billion RUB), 2005-2009

Figure 4-21: Liability Insurance Claims Paid (Billion RUB), 2005-2009

Figure 4-22: Voluntary and Compulsory Insurance Premium (Billion RUB), 2006-2008

Figure 4-23: Compulsory Insurance Premium by Segment (%), 2007

Figure 4-24: Voluntary Insurance Premium by Segment (%), 2007

Figure 4-25: Reinsurance Premium by Segment (%), 2007

Figure 4-26: Reinsurance Premium (Billion RUB), 2005-2009

Figure 4-27: Ratio of Reinsurance Premium and Claims Paid (%) 2007

Figure 4-28: Forecast for Reinsurance Premium (Billion RUB), 2010-2012

Figure 5-1: Forecast for Passenger Car Sales (‘000 Units), 2010-2012

Figure 5-2: CAR and EAR Insurance Premium (Billion RUB), 2007 & 2012

Figure 6-1: Population (Million), 2005-2009

Figure 6-2: Forecast for Population (Million), 2010-2012

Figure 8-1: Rosgosstrakh - Insurance Premium by Segment (%), 2007

Figure 8-2: Ingosstrakh - Insurance Premium by Segment (%), 2007

Figure 8-3: Sogaz - Insurance Premium by Segment (%), 2007

Figure 8-4: Reso-Garantia - Insurance Premium by Segment (%), 2007

Figure 8-5: Rosno - Insurance Premium by Segment (%), 2007

Figure 8-6: MAKS - Insurance Premium by Segment (%), 2007

Figure 8-7: KAPITAL STRAKHOVANIE - Insurance Premium by Segment (%), 2007

Figure 8-8: URALSIB - Insurance Premium by Segment (%), 2007

Figure 8-9: VSK - Insurance Premium by Segment (%), 2007

Figure 8-10: SPASSKIE VOROTA - Insurance Premium by Segment (%), 2007


List of Tables:


Table 5-1: Breakup of Ageing Population by Age Group (Million), 2004-2009

Table 5-2: Forecast for Breakup of Ageing Population by Age Group (Million), 2010-2012

Abstract

Russian insurance market is one of the fastest growing markets in the world. It has been rapidly expanding over the past few years on the back of regulatory developments, government support, economic growth and rising income level, says our new research report, “Russian Insurance Industry Forecast to 2012”. The Russian insurance market will continue to maintain its growth pace in coming years.

According to our report, there will be a limited demand for insurance products in the short term because of global economic crisis, but the market holds strong growth potential for the medium term as real income begins to recover. As the penetration rate of insurance is still low as compared to more developed economies, the market represents enormous growth opportunities for insurance players. Moreover, the financial crisis will have some positive impact on the sector as unqualified and undercapitalized players will fail, leaving those that remain more transparent and customer friendly.

The total amount of premiums collected grew at a CAGR of around 24.5% between 2005 and 2008. It is expected that the introduction of laws on compulsory property insurance will boost the overall insurance market in future.

Anticipating the upward movement in future, we have done a comprehensive analysis of the Russian insurance market. The report covers various segments of the insurance market and gives detailed information of them, such as life-insurance, non-life insurance, premiums collected, premiums paid, voluntary insurance, compulsory insurance, distribution network and reinsurance.

Our research also highlights the factors which are responsible for growth in the Russian insurance market. It says that the rising real income of the Russian population is the main driver behind the growth. This trend, coupled with the government’s initiatives, is playing a critical role in promoting reforms and competitiveness.

With immense growth potential, our research foresees enormous opportunities for various market players like Rosgosstrakh, Ingosstrakh and Reso-Garantia. Moreover, the overall prospects for foreign investors are good. Foreign insurance companies have a number of advantages compared with local insurers, including higher credibility with customers, solvency supported by larger capital resources, and experience with best international practices.

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