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Hungary Chemicals Report 2009

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Jul. 13, 2009 - 32 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Hungary Chemicals Industry SWOT
Hungary Political SWOT
Hungary Economic SWOT
Hungary Business Environment SWOT
Market Overview
Table: Industrial Production
Table: Domestic Sales
Market Structure
Basic Chemicals
Fine And Speciality Chemicals
Sales
Import And Exports
Table: Export Sales Of Industry
Investments And FDI
Table: FDI Flows To Hungary By Economic Activity (Excl. SPEs), 2007 (EURmn)
Business Environment
Implications Of EU Membership
REACH: The New EU Chemicals Legislation
Projects And Expansions
Earlier Developments
Acquisitions And Finance
Company Developments
Earlier Developments
Concerns Over Energy Security
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Hungary Chemical Industry Forecast, 2005-2012 (EURmn)
Macroeconomic Forecast
Table: Hungary - Economic Activity, 2006-2013
Company Profiles
BorsodChem (BC)
Tiszai Vegyi Kombinat Nyilvanosan Mukodo Rt
Pannonplast Muanyagipari
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Petrochemicals Industry
Cross Checks

Abstract

Industry Overview

After a promising start to 2008, the chemicals sector has been badly hit by the financial crisis, withexports being particularly impacted. According to Hungary’s Central Statistics Office the sale ofindustrial exports fell by 29% in January 2009. Higher than average drops were witnessed in thechemicals sector, with exports contracting by 35% year-on-year. Domestic sales of industrial productswere 5% lower in January 2009. Again the chemicals industry was disproportionately impacted withcertain segments experiencing a contraction of more than 30%. On a positive note, 5% volume growthwas recorded for the manufacture of basic pharmaceutical products, while the production of coke andrefined petroleum products increased by 44%

Business Environment

The global financial crisis has had particularly dire consequences for the Hungarian chemicals industry,due to the fall in demand from the construction and automobile industries. However, according toindustry association Mavesz, the chemicals industry is not seeking a bailout from the government, eventhough some sources fear that domestic producers could see a 15-20% decline in turnover in 2009.Mavesz is calling for the government to take action to streamline the economy and reduce bureaucracy.

Trends And Developments

In December 2008, as reported by Portfolio.hu, the government pledged to pump HUF10bn (US$45.7mn)into the country’s only fertiliser plant, Népszabadság, in order to keep it afloat. The assistance will takethe form of a state guaranteed loan, which will be added to a HUF14bn package (US$64.03mn) that thecompany has already received. The government is keen to the save the company in order to keep stabilityin the domestic agriculture sector. It is also thought that the authorities are not keen on letting thecompany fall into foreign hands.

Industry Forecast

In the short-term the chemicals sector is facing real difficulties. Hungarian industrial productioncontracted by a staggering 23.3% y-o-y in December, by far the worst production growth figure recordedby the Hungarian Central Statistical Office, which dates back to January 2002. Slowing domestic demand,coupled with reduced export demand from the EU will depress demand for chemicals products.Meanwhile, core export markets, such a Russia and the US are set to experience recessions in 2009.

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