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Construction in Scotland

Published by: AMA Research

Published: Jul. 1, 2009 - 57 Pages


Table of Contents


1. INTRODUCTION

2. SUMMARY AND FUTURE PROSPECTS

2.1 SITUATION ASSESSMENT

2.2 FUTURE PROSPECTS

3. ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT AND DEMOGRAPHICS

3.1 ECONOMIC BACKGROUND

3.1.1 GDP

3.1.2 Inflation and Interest Rates

3.1.3 Unemployment

3.1.4 Household Consumption

3.1.5 Sterling

3.2 SCOTTISH DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE

3.3 CONCLUSIONS

4. SCOTTISH CONSTRUCTION MARKET OVERVIEW

4.1 TOTAL CONSTRUCTION MARKET

4.1.1 Construction - New Work

4.1.2 Construction - Repair and Maintenance

4.2 OUTPUT IN THE CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY BY SECTOR

4.3 CONSTRUCTION EMPLOYMENT LEVELS

5. FACTORS AFFECTING CONSTRUCTION IN SCOTLAND

5.1 THE SCOTTISH INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT PLAN

5.2 INVESTMENT BY SECTOR

5.2.1 The First Minister

5.2.2 Education

5.2.3 Transport

5.2.4 Enterprise, Energy and Tourism

5.2.5 Climate Change and Water Industry

5.2.6 Health

5.2.7 Housing

5.2.8 Sports Facilities

6. CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITY BY SECTOR

6.1 THE RESIDENTIAL SECTOR

6.2 INFRASTRUCTURE

6.3 THE PRIVATE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL SECTORS

6.4 PUBLIC SECTOR NEW WORK

6.5 REPAIR AND MAINTENANCE - NON HOUSING

6.6 FUTURE OUTLOOK

7. THE MAJOR CONSTRUCTION COMPANIES

7.1 STRUCTURE OF THE INDUSTRY

7.2 KEY CONSTRUCTION COMPANIES

7.2.1 Major Contractors

7.2.2 National Housebuilders


List of Charts and Tables

CHART 1: SCOTTISH CONSTRUCTION MARKET CONTRACTORS OUTPUT 2003-2013 (£M)

CHART 2: INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION (CPI) FROM 1992-2013

CHART 3: PDI & SAVINGS RATIO AT CURRENT PRICES 1992-2013

TABLE 4: EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS 2005-2009 - STERLING TO THE DOLLAR, AND THE EURO, SPOT RATES

TABLE 5: POPULATION TRENDS IN SCOTLAND - 1970-2030

TABLE 6: SCOTTISH CONSTRUCTION MARKET - 2003-2013 (£M)

TABLE 7: SCOTTISH CONSTRUCTION MARKET - ALL NEW WORK - 2003-2013 (£M)

TABLE 8: SCOTTISH CONSTRUCTION MARKET RMI - 2003-2013 (£M)

TABLE 9: SCOTTISH CONSTRUCTION MARKET BY SECTOR - 2008 (£M)

CHART 10: SCOTTISH CONSTRUCTION MARKET BY SECTOR - 2002 AND 2008 (%)

TABLE 11: CAPITAL EXPENDITURE SCOTTISH LOCAL GOVERNMENT 2007/08 £000

TABLE 12: CAPITAL EXPENDITURE, ACTUAL GROSS PAYMENTS (£000), 2000/01 TO 2007/08

TABLE 13: FORECAST CAPITAL INVESTMENT EXPENDITURE - HIGHER EDUCATION 2008-2012 (£M)

TABLE 14: FORECAST CAPITAL INVESTMENT EXPENDITURE - TRANSPORT 2008-2012 (£M)

TABLE 15: FORECAST CAPITAL INVESTMENT EXPENDITURE - ENTERPRISE, ENERGY AND TOURISM 2008-2011 (£M)

TABLE 16: FORECAST CAPITAL INVESTMENT EXPENDITURE - CLIMATE CHANGE AND WATER INDUSTRY (£M)

TABLE 17: FORECAST CAPITAL INVESTMENT EXPENDITURE - HEALTH (£M)

TABLE 18: FORECAST CAPITAL INVESTMENT EXPENDITURE - HOUSING 2008-2011 (£M)

TABLE 19: TOTAL NEW HOUSING IN SCOTLAND - 2003-2013 (£M)

TABLE 20: PRIVATE NEW HOUSING IN SCOTLAND - 2003-2013 (£M)

TABLE 21: HOUSING COMPLETIONS IN SCOTLAND - 2002-2008 (UNITS)

TABLE 22: HOUSING RMI IN SCOTLAND - 2003-2013 (£M)

CHART 23: TOTAL HOUSING ACTIVITY IN SCOTLAND - 2003-2013 (£M)

TABLE 24: INFRASTRUCTURE ACTIVITY IN SCOTLAND - 2003-2013 (£M)

TABLE 25: PRIVATE NEW COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL CONSTRUCTION IN SCOTLAND - 2003-2013 (£M)

TABLE 26: PUBLIC NEW CONSTRUCTION WORK IN SCOTLAND - 2003-2013 (£M)

TABLE 27: RMI - NON HOUSING ACTIVITY IN SCOTLAND - 2003-2013 (£M)

CHART 28: SCOTTISH CONSTRUCTION MARKET BY SECTOR - 2008 AND 2013 (%)



Abstract

AMA Research have published the first edition of a review of the Construction Industry in Scotland, focusing on the structure of the industry, change in the industry and the key drivers behind that change.

Key areas in the report:

An overall review of construction output in Scotland.
Analysis of output in Scotland by individual end-use sector.
Review of investment programmes for each sector.
Detailed analysis of the Scottish Infrastructure Investment plan.
The report contains 58 pages and 26 tables & charts of detail and observations on the Scottish construction market, an invaluable aid to those companies operating or interested in the country.

Areas of particular interest:

Review of the alternative funding mechanisms in Scotland.
Analysis of the forecast capital expenditure programmes to support education, health, transport, energy, housing, enterprise & tourism and climate change & water.
Breakdown of capital expenditure in Scottish Local Government.
Forecasts of the construction output through to 2013 for each of the key sectors in the Scottish economy.

Contractors included:

A & J Stephen (Holdings) Ltd, Arup, AWG Property, Balfour Beatty, Bam Construction, Barratt Developments plc, Bellway plc, Bovis Lend Lease, CALA Group Ltd, Crest Nicholson plc, Davis Langdon, Galliford Try, Gladedale Holdings Ltd, Interserve Project Services, Kier Group plc, Laing O’Rourke, Mace, McTaggart & Mickel, Morrison Construction, Persimmon plc, Redrow Group Ltd, Robertson Dawn Health, Scotia Homes, Sir Robert McAlpine, Stewart Milne, Strathclyde Homes, Taylor Wimpey plc, The Miller Group Ltd, Tullock Homes.

Key areas of coverage in the report include:-

CONSTRUCTION MARKET IN SCOTLAND

Overall construction output - recent history and forecasts through to 2013.
New construction output in Scotland - recent history and forecasts through to 2013.
Repair, Maintenance and Improvement output in Scotland - recent history and forecasts through to 2013.
Mix by key sector. Comparison with 2002.
Construction employment levels, reasons for change.

FACTORS AFFECTING CONSTRUCTION IN SCOTLAND

Scottish Infrastructure Investment plan - main funding mechanisms, role of local authorities.
Investment by sector - First Minister, Education, Universities, Transport, Enterprise, Energy& Tourism, Health, Climate Change & Water, Sports, Housing.
Funding issues, key projects, expected levels of investment etc.

CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT BY SECTOR

Value of new housing in Scotland, split by public and private sector, with forecasts through to 2013 and completion data to 2008.  Also, RMI data in the residential sector.
Analysis of the Infrastructure sector and forecasts through to 2013.
Analysis of the private new commercial sector and forecasts through to 2013.
Analysis of the private new industrial sector and forecasts through to 2013.
Assessment of public sector new work with history back to 2003 and forecasts through to 2013.
Analysis of RMI in the non-residential sector.
Future Outlook - key factors influencing the short term 2009-2010, key factors influencing the medium term future covering 2010-2013. Overall structural mix changes in the Scottish construction industry.

CONTRACTOR PROFILES

Key construction companies and contractors.
Key housebuilding companies and contractors.

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