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Published by: CRISIL Ltd.
Published: May. 30, 2009 - 124 Pages
Table of Contents
- Sections
- Caustic soda and soda ash realisations to come under pressure
- Executive summary
- 1.0 Industry overview - caustic soda
- Cost structure
- 2.0 Caustic soda - demand and supply
- Demand drivers for caustic soda and chlorine
- Sectoral composition of demand
- Regional supply for caustic soda and chlorine
- Caustic soda demand supply: Review
- Caustic soda demand supply: Outlook
- Global scenario
- 3.0 Caustic soda - prices
- 4.0 Caustic soda - Aggregate costs
- 5.0 Soda ash - Industry overview
- Market size
- Industry structure
- Technology
- Cost structure
- 6.0 Soda ash - demand and supply
- Soda ash demand supply: Review
- Soda ash demand supply: Outlook
- Global scenario
- 7.0 Soda ash - Prices
- 8.0 Soda ash - Aggregate costs
- 9.0 Technology
- Caustic soda global capacity distribution by technology
- Soda ash manufacturing process
- Charts
- 2.0 Caustic soda - demand and supply
- 01 Inter-regional trade in caustic soda (224.5 thousand tonnes)
- 02 Global caustic soda capacity, production and consumption trend
- 9.0 Technology
- 01 Caustic soda - Basic process
- 02 Membrane cell process flow sheet
- 03 Diaphragm cell process flow
- 04 Mercury cell process flow
- 05 Soda ash - Basic process
- 06 Standard solvay process
- 07 Modified solvay process
- 08 Dry liming process
- Figures
- Executive summary
- 01 Caustic soda: Outlook on capacity expansions and operating rates
- 02 Domestic capacity 2,742 thousand tonne 2007-08
- 03 Regional distribution of incremental capacity 576 thousand tonnes
- 04 Trends in domestic ex-factory caustic soda, chlorine and ECU realisations
- 05 Soda ash: Outlook on capacity expansions and operating rates
- 06 Trend in domestic delivered soda ash prices
- 1.0 Industry overview - caustic soda
- 01 Caustic soda - Domestic consumption mix 2007-08 (2.3 million tonnes)
- 02 Caustic soda - Global consumption mix 2007 (59.4 million tonnes)
- 03 Chlorine - Domestic consumption mix 2007-08 (1.9 million tonnes)
- 04 Chlorine - Global consumption mix 2007 (55.4 million tonnes)
- 05 Global caustic soda capacity 2007 (66.8 million tonnes)
- 06 Caustic soda - Company-wise sales market shares (Rs 37.4 billion)
- 07 Variety-wise production of caustic soda 2007-08 (2,160.3 thousand tonnes)
- 08 Variety-wise production of caustic soda 2003-04 (1,741.2 thousand tonnes)
- 09 Caustic soda capacity distribution by region 2007-08 (2,741.8 thousand tonnes)
- 10 Caustic soda capacity distribution by region 2003-04 (2,174.2 thousand tonnes)
- 11 Caustic soda capacity distribution by size 2007-08 (2,741.8 thousand tonnes)
- 12 Caustic soda capacity distribution by size 2003-04 (2,174.2 thousand tonnes)
- 13 Caustic soda capacity mix by technology 2007-08 (2,741.8 thousand tonnes)
- 14 Caustic soda capacity mix by technology 2003-04 (2,174.3 thousand tonnes)
- 15 Caustic soda - Production and consumption trends
- Figures
- 2.0 Caustic soda - demand and supply
- 01 Caustic soda - Domestic consumption mix 2007-08 (2.3 million tonnes)
- 02 Caustic soda - Global consumption mix 2007 (59.4 million tonnes)
- 03 Chlorine - Domestic consumption mix 2007-08 (1.9 million tonnes)
- 04 Chlorine - Global consumption mix 2007 (55.4 million tonnes)
- 05 Region-wise capacity and production 2007-08 (2,741.8 thousand tonnes)
- 06 Region wise capacity (per cent) 2007-08 (2,741.8 thousand tonnes)
- 07 Trend in caustic soda capacity, production and utilisation rates
- 3.0 Caustic soda - prices
- 01 Caustic soda and chlorine inverse price relationship
- 02 Caustic soda and chlorine price change trends
- 03 International EDC and domestic chlorine price trends
- 04 International EDC price trends
- 05 Trend in caustic soda lye delivered price
- 06 Trends in ECU Realisations
- 4.0 Caustic soda - Aggregate costs
- 01 Trend in caustic soda volumes and realisations
- 02 Trend in chlorine realisations
- 03 Trend in net ECU realisations
- 04 Caustic soda industry cost structure
- 05 Trend in unit cost of salt for aggregate companies
- 06 Region wise trend in salt prices
- 07 Trend in power cost for aggregate companies
- 08 Region-wise trend in power costs
- 09 Trend in operating margins for aggregate companies
- 5.0 Soda ash - Industry overview
- 01 Soda ash - Domestic consumption mix 2007-08 (2.3 million tonnes)
- 02 Soda ash - Global consumption mix 2007 (global production 44.8 million tonnes)
- 03 Soda ash - Global production 2007 (44.8 million tonnes)
- 04 Country-wise natural soda ash production 2007 (11.7 million tonnes)
- 05 Company-wise sales market share 2007-08 (Rs 28.8 billion)
- 06 Regional capacity distribution 2007-08 (2,878.7 thousand tonnes)
- 07 Regional capacity distribution 2003-04 (2,626 thousand tonnes)
- 08 Soda ash capacity mix by size 2007-08 (2,878.7 thousand tonnes)
- 09 Soda ash capacity mix by size 2003-04 (2,626 thousand tonnes)
- 10 Technology usage in India 2007-08 (2,878.7 thousand tonnes)
- 11 Soda ash - production and consumption trends
- Figures
- 6.0 Soda ash - demand and supply
- 01 Soda ash - Domestic consumption mix 2007-08 (2.3 million tonnes)
- 02 Soda ash - Global consumption mix (2007) (Total production 44.8 million tonnes)
- 03 Soda ash - Capacity utilisation review
- 04 Soda ash - Capacity utilisation outlook
- 05 Global capacity distribution 52.1 million tonnes (2007)
- 06 Global soda ash production 2007 (44.8 million tonnes)
- 07 Country-wise soda ash production 2007 (44.8 million tonnes)
- 08 Country-wise soda ash production 2003 (37.1 million tonnes)
- 7.0 Soda ash - Prices
- 01 Domestic prices follow international prices
- 02 Reduction in customs duty encouraged greater imports
- 03 Trend in delivered soda ash prices
- 04 Domestic delivered soda ash price trends in 2008-09
- 05 Trend in Domestic delivered soda ash prices
- 8.0 Soda ash - Aggregate costs
- 01 Trend in soda ash volumes and realisations
- 02 Soda ash aggregate cost structure
- 03 Trend in unit cost of salt for aggregate companies
- 04 Trend in unit cost of limestone for aggregate companies
- 05 Trend in unit cost of coke for aggregate companies
- 06 Trends in operating margins of aggregate companies
- 9.0 Technology
- 01 CS - Domestic technology mix 2007-08 (capacity 2,741.8 thousand tonnes)
- 02 CS - Domestic technology mix 1997-98 (capacity 2,028.6 thousand tonnes)
- 03 CS - Regional technology distribution 2007-08 (capacity 2,741.8 thousand tpa)
- 04 CS - Regional capacity distribution 2007-08 (capacity 2,741.8 thousand tpa)
- 05 CS - Global technology mix 2007 (capacity: 66.8 million tpa)
- 06 CS - Capacity-wise break-up of mercury technology 2007-08 (242.1 thousand tpa)
- 07 CS - Capacity-wise break-up of membrane technology 2007-08 (2,499.6 thousand tonnes)
- 08 Soda ash - Domestic technology mix 2007-08 (2,878.7 thousand tonnes)
- 09 Soda ash - Regional capacity distribution 2007-08 (2,878.7 thousand tonnes)
- Tables
- Executive summary
- 01 Caustic soda production and consumption trends
- 02 Aggregate unit cost structure of caustic soda and chlorine
- 03 Soda ash consumption trends
- 04 Trend in realisations and costs
- 1.0 Industry overview - caustic soda
- 01 Cost snapshot
- 2.0 Caustic soda - demand and supply
- 01 Caustic soda - Indicative consumption norms
- 02 Chlorine - Indicative consumption norms
- 03 Inter-regional sales 2007-08
- 04 Caustic soda - Demand-supply
- 05 Caustic soda - End user industry demand
- 06 Caustic soda - Demand-supply forecast
- 07 Caustic soda - End-user industry demand forecast
- 08 Global caustic soda capacity 2007
- 09 Global demand-supply (2007)
- 4.0 Caustic soda - Aggregate costs
- 01 Aggregate unit cost structure of caustic soda and chlorine
- 02 Share of caustic soda and chlorine in gross revenues (2007-08)
- 03 Caustic soda - Financial aggregate
- 5.0 Soda ash - Industry overview
- 01 Company-wise technology usage
- 02 Soda ash: Salient features
- 6.0 Soda ash - demand and supply
- 01 Input-output norms of soda ash
- 02 Soda ash - Demand-supply
- 03 Soda ash - End-user industry consumption
- 04 Soda ash - Demand-supply forecast
- 05 Soda ash - End-user industry demand forecast
- 8.0 Soda ash - Aggregate costs
- 01 Aggregate unit cost structure of soda ash
- 02 Share of soda ash in gross revenues (2007-08)
- 03 Usage norms of raw materials
- 04 Soda ash - Financial aggregate
- Tables
- 9.0 Technology
- 01 Caustic soda - Comparison of technologies
- 02 Caustic soda - Unit-wise installed capacity and production of caustic soda
- 03 Soda ash - Domestic companies (2007-08)
- 04 Soda ash - Technology comparison
- Sections
- 1.0 Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals Ltd
- 2.0 Aditya Birla Chemicals Ltd
- 3.0 Punjab Alkalies and Chemicals Ltd
- 4.0 Chemfab Alkalis Ltd
- 5.0 Jayshree Chemicals Ltd
- 6.0 Tata Chemicals Ltd
- 7.0 Gujarat Heavy Chemicals Ltd
- Box
- 6.0 Tata Chemicals Ltd
- 01 Key developments
- Figures
- 1.0 Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals Ltd
- 01 GACL - Gross sales mix in 2007-08 (standalone Rs 13,224 million)
- 02 GACL - Trend in gross sales product mix
- 03 GACL - Caustic soda capacity utilisation
- 04 GACL - Realisations and volumes
- 05 GACL - Trends in unit costs
- 06 GACL - Cost structure
- 2.0 Aditya Birla Chemicals Ltd
- 01 ABCL - Product mix 2007-08 (standalone gross revenue Rs 2,034.0 million)
- 02 ABCL - Trend in gross sales product mix
- 03 ABCL - Caustic soda capacity utilisation
- 04 ABCL - Realisations and volumes
- 05 Trends in unit cost
- 06 ABCL - Cost structure
- 3.0 Punjab Alkalies and Chemicals Ltd
- 01 PACL - Gross sale mix-2007-08 (standalone Rs 2,334 million)
- 02 PACL - Trend in gross sales product mix
- 03 PACL - Caustic soda capacity utilisation
- 04 PACL - Realisations and volumes
- 05 Trends in unit costs
- 06 PACL - Cost structure
- 4.0 Chemfab Alkalis Ltd
- 01 CAL - Gross sales mix-2007-08 (standalone Rs 1,152.1 million)
- 02 CAL - Trend in gross sales product mix
- 03 CAL - Caustic soda capacity utilisation
- 04 CAL - Trends in realisations and volumes
- 05 Trends in unit costs
- 06 CAL - Cost structure
- 5.0 Jayshree Chemicals Ltd
- 01 JCL - Gross sale mix 2007-08 (standalone Rs. 585.96 million)
- 02 JCL - Trends in gross sales product mix
- 03 JCL - Caustic soda capacity utilisation
- 04 JCL - Realisations and volumes
- 05 JCL - Trends in unit costs
- 06 JCL - Cost structure
- 6.0 Tata Chemicals Ltd
- 01 TCL - Gross sale mix in 2007-08 (standalone Rs 42,012.0 million)
- 02 Trend in gross sales product mix
- 03 TCL - Soda ash capacity utilisation
- 04 Realisation and volume
- 05 Trends in unit costs
- 06 Tata Chemicals - Cost structure
- 7.0 Gujarat Heavy Chemicals Ltd
- 01 GHCL - Gross sale mix 2007-08 (standalone Rs 11,459.1 million)
- 02 GHCL - Trend in gross sales product mix
- 03 GHCL - Soda ash capacity utilisation
- 04 GHCL - Realisations and volumes
- 05 Trends in unit costs
- 06 GHCL - Cost structure
- Tables
- 1.0 Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals Ltd
- 01 GACL - Standalone company financials
- 2.0 Aditya Birla Chemicals Ltd
- 01 ABCL - Standalone company financials
- 3.0 Punjab Alkalies and Chemicals Ltd
- 01 PACL - Standalone company financials
- 4.0 Chemfab Alkalis Ltd
- 01 CAL - Standalone company financials
- 5.0 Jayshree Chemicals Ltd
- 01 JCL - Consolidated company financials
- 6.0 Tata Chemicals Ltd
- 01 Inorganic chemicals - segmental view
- 02 TCL: Consolidated company financials
- 7.0 Gujarat Heavy Chemicals Ltd
- 01 GHCL - Standalone company financials
- Tables
- 01 Caustic soda: Export and import
- 02 Soda ash: Export and import
- 03 Caustic soda: Capacity utilisation
- 04 Soda ash: Capacity utilisation
- 05 Soda ash: Estimated world production by country
- 06 Salt: Month-wise industrial production of salt in India
- 07 Salt: State-wise/ year-wise production
- 08 Salt: Country-wise world production
- 09 Salt: Utilisation rate of salt in production of alkali
- 10 VAT rates: Per cent rate of VAT applicable to the products and inputs relating to the Chlor alkali industry in various states Industry statistics
AbstractDomestic caustic soda consumption expected to remain strong.
Caustic soda demand is expected to grow by 4.9 per cent (CAGR) from 2007-08 to 2012-13, with consumption likely to touch 2,890.7 thousand tonnes in 2012-13. This compares favourably with the historical 5-year CAGR of 6.0 per cent achieved during 2003-04 to 2007-08. We expect the alumina and pharmaceutical sectors to be the key drivers of caustic soda demand going forward. Alumina production is likely to double from 2,904 thousand tonnes in 2007-08 to 5,984 thousand tonnes in 2012-13, whereas demand for caustic soda from the pharmaceutical industry is forecast to increase by 9.2 per cent (CAGR) to 208.4 thousand tonnes during the same period on the back of better export potential. CRISIL Research expects the industry utilisation rates to drop between 2008-09 and 2010-11, rising thereafter to reflect the estimated rise in consumption from the end user sectors. Historically, the domestic caustic soda industry utilisation rate has ranged between 80-85 per cent. In 2012-13, domestic caustic soda capacity is forecast to increase by 575.5 thousand tonnes to 3,317.3 thousand tonnes.
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