Which Network to Deliver HDTV? 2008-2013

Published by: IDATE

Published: May. 1, 2009 - 100 Pages

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

1.1. Average 23% annual increase in the number of TV channels, up to 2013

1.2. Varying levels of HD compatibility, depending on the distribution network

1.3. Digital network coverage levels: the decisive factor in household eligibility for

HDTV services

1.4. Benchmark - Germany, Spain, France, Italy, Poland and the UK

2. Methodology

Glossary - indicators

3. The HDTV market

3.1. HDTV (720p, 1080i, 1080p50), Ultra HD and 3D

3.1.1. HDTV formats

3.1.2. Ultra HD

3.1.3. 3D

3.2. Compression and quality of service

3.3. HD broadcasting

3.4. Current status of HD rollouts in Europe

3.4.1. State of HD channel broadcasts in Europe

3.4.2. Forecasts: up to 240 HD channels in 2013 in Europe’s “Big 6” markets

Germany

Spain

France

Italy

Poland

The United Kingdom

4. HD compatibility, by network

4.1. Satellite, chief purveyor of HDTV

4.1.1. Restrictions remain

Scarcity of available orbital positions

Premium transponder fill rate nearing saturation

4.1.2. Changing capacity market

4.2. Digital terrestrial television, the free-to-air HDTV network

4.2.1. Little room currently available for HDTV on the terrestrial network

Scarcity of available frequencies

DTT multiplexes are "full"

Currently minimal use of MPEG-4 AVC for DTT

4.2.2. HDTV should eventually benefit from additional capacity

Extinction of analogue broadcasting…

… raises questions

Progress still possible in increasing UHF-band capacity

4.3. Cable networks: necessary decisions

4.3.1. European cable networks distributing HD, under pressure

New services affecting capacity requirements

4.3.2. A host of developments in the works

1 GHz networks

New generation standards

Optical fibre and segmentation

Increased use of IP for video

The switch-off and digital converters

4.4. IPTV: from ADSL to fibre

4.4.1. ADSL 2+ is compatible with HDTV…

… but there are still some constraints

4.4.2. VDSL solves only part of the problem

4.4.3. Optical fibre offers multiple stream and next generation television solutions

4.5. The Internet providing widespread access to a low-quality HD offer

4.5.1. Low quality HD offer available on the Web

4.5.2. High definition expected to have a considerable impact on the Internet

5. HD coverage vs. eligibility in 2008, by country

5.1. Germany

5.2. Spain

5.3. France

5.4. Italy

5.5. Poland

5.6. The United Kingdom

6. Benchmark - Germany, Spain, France, Italy, Poland and the UK

6.1. HDTV broadcasting costs, 2008 - 2013

6.2. HD eligibility, addressability - Big 6 European markets, 2008 - 2013

6.3. HD capacity by network in Europe’s Big 6 markets, 2008-2013

6.3.1. Satellite: the HD network

6.3.2. DTT and cable: upcoming increase in capacity

DTT

Cable

6.3.3. IPTV: HD market developments likely to spur the transition to fibre

7. Data book

8. Guidelines

By network

By country

For a TV channel

Tables and figures

Table 1: Satellite, HDTV compatibility in MPEG-4 AVC per 36 MHz frequency

Table 2: Satellite capacity hypotheses

Table 3: Switch-off schedule in the main European countries

Table 4: DTTV, HDTV compatibility in MPEG-4 AVC per 8 MHz frequency

Table 5: DVB-C2 gains

Table 6: Cable: HDTV compatibility in MPEG-4 AVC per 8 MHz frequency

***

Figure 1: Number of HDTV channels in Europe’s "Big 6" markets, 2008-2013

Figure 2: Technical coverage comparison in Germany, in 2008

Figure 3: Spain, HDTV cost per HD "addressable HH"

Figure 4: HDTV network maximum take-up rate in France and Germany, 2008-2013

Figure 5: SDTV, HDTV, 2K (cinema) formats

Figure 6: Illustration: HDTV compression trend constant bitrate in MPEG-4 AVC

Figure 7: ITU bitrate recommendation to ensure "quality of video service"

Figure 8: HDTV compression hypothesis, MPEG-4 AVC, 2008-2013

Figure 9: Number of HD channels in Europe, in 2008

Figure 10: Number of HD channels on each network in Europe in 2008, incl. pan-European channels

Figure 11: Number of HD channels on each network in Europe’s “Big 6” markets in 2008, incl. pan-European channels

Figure 12: Number of HDTV channels in Europe’ Big 6, 2008-2013

Figure 13: HD channel forecasts for Germany, excluding pan-European channels, 2008-2013

Figure 14: HD channel forecasts for Spain, excluding pan-European channels, 2008-2013

Figure 15: HD channel forecasts for France, excluding pan-European channels, 2008-2013

Figure 16: HD channel forecasts for Italy, excluding pan-European channels, 2008-2013

Figure 17: HD channel forecasts for Poland, excluding pan-European channels, 2008-2013

Figure 18: HD channel forecasts for the UK, excluding pan-European channels, 2008-2013

Figure 19: Sky+ HD discount

Figure 20: Dual reception in 9.0°E and 13.0°E positions

Figure 21: UHF band breakdown in Europe1

Figure 22: Multiplex 1 (PSB1/BBC A) in the United Kingdom

Figure 23: Example of a possible configuration for the UHF sub-band in Western Europe

Figure 24: DVB-T and DVB-T2

Figure 25: Typical bandwidth allocation in an 860 MHz cable system

Figure 26: Estimated rise in traffic on cable networks using existing technologies

Figure 27: Cable operators' CAPEX

Figure 28: Measures for network upgrades: assessment by European operators

Figure 29: Outlook for 1 GHz cable networks

Figure 30: 64 vs. 256 QAM in downstream - Europe

Figure 31: Deep Fibre Access Architecture

Figure 32: EuroDOCSIS 3.0 gains

Figure 33: Switched Digital Video architecture

Figure 34: Evolution of IPTV HDTV compatibility, 2008-2013

Figure 35: xDSL performances

Figure 36: Examples of HD video on the Web

Figure 37: Internet HD streaming bitrate, hypotheses

Figure 38: Internet video provisioning

Figure 39: Progress in HD streaming eligibility on the Web, 2008-2013

Figure 40: HD dramatically impacts Internet traffic

Figure 41: Digital TV in Germany in 2008

Figure 42: Technical coverage comparison for Germany, in 2008

Figure 43: Digital TV in Spain in 2008

Figure 44: Technical coverage comparison for Spain, in 2008

Figure 45: Digital TV in France in 2008

Figure 46: Technical coverage comparison for France, in 2008

Figure 47: TV channels and multiplex composition in France, as of November 2008

Figure 48: HDTV coverage on the DTT network in France, end of 2008

Figure 49: Digital TV in Italy in 2008

Figure 50: Technical coverage comparison for Italy, in 2008

Figure 51: Digital TV in Poland in 2008

Figure 52: Technical coverage comparison for Poland, in 2008

Figure 53: Digital TV in the United Kingdom in 2008

Figure 54: Technical coverage comparison for the United Kingdom, in 2008

Figure 55: HDTV per-channel cost estimates (Big 6 in Europe), 2008-2013

Figure 56: HDTV channel cost estimates per "HD-network addressable household", 2008-2013

Figure 57: HDTV technical coverage by network (Big 6 in Europe), 2008-2013

Figure 58: HDTV network maximum take-up rate (Big 6 in Europe), 2008-2013

Figure 59: HDTV services maximum penetration per network (Big 6 in Europe), 2008-2013

Figure 60: Evolution of satellite’s HDTV capacities in terms of HDTV streams broadcast, 2008-2013

Figure 61: Evolution of capacity on cable and DTT, in number of HDTV channels broadcast, 2008-2013

Abstract

• What is the status of high-definition TV (HDTV) rollouts in
Europe?
• Will satellite remain the main purveyor of HDTV?
• Under what conditions will DTT take hold as the free-to-air HDTV network?
• What choices are cable networks going to have to make?
• How will IPTV handle the transition from ADSL to fibre?
• Is it inevitable that the Internet can only offer a lower quality HD service?

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