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Frontier Pharmaceuticals Markets: Underserved And Underappreciated

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Jun. 18, 2009 - 15 Pages


Table of Contents


High Risk, High Return
Iraq
chart: Ravaged By Wars
Iraq Healthcare Market (US$bn)
chart: Mainly Western European
Iraq: Leading Pharmaceutical Import Partners In 2006 (US$mn)
chart: Recovery Risky
Iraq Healthcare Market (IQRbn)
Cuba
chart: Good And Bad Features
Cuba Healthcare Market (US$bn)
chart: Led By Emerging Markets
Cuba: Leading Pharmaceutical Import Partners In 2006 (US$mn)
chart: Will Benefit From Liberalisation
Cuba Healthcare Market (CUPbn)
North Korea
chart: A Bleak Outlook
North Korea Healthcare Market (US$bn)
chart: Dominated By Asian Countries
North Korea: Leading Pharmaceutical Import Partners In 2006 (US$mn)
chart: In Need Of A Regime Change
North Korea Healthcare Market (KPWbn)
Albania
chart: Catching Up With Neighbours
Albania Healthcare Market (US$bn)
chart: Sourced Nearby
Albania: Leading Pharmaceutical Import Partners In 2008 (US$mn)
chart: A Progressive Approach
Albania Healthcare Market (ALLbn)
Ghana
chart: Fuelled By Oil
Ghana Healthcare Market (US$bn)
chart: Mainly Affordable Generic Drugs
Ghana: Leading Pharmaceutical Import Partners In 2007 (US$mn)
chart: The Envy Of Sub-Saharan Africa
Ghana Healthcare Market (GHSbn)
References

Abstract

The pharmaceuticals and healthcare industry was believed to be recession-proof. People still got ill and demanded medicines despite drops in national wealth. The global financial crisis has shifted this paradigm.

Prescription drug sales are down in the US and negative economic growth is projected for many developed states in 2009. Combined with other major challenges such asthe patent cliff, falling research and development (R&D) productivity, pharmacoeconomics and biosimilars, the near-term prospects for Big Pharma are bleak.

One sanctuary is emerging markets. Despite challenging operating environments, pharmaceutical sales growth is high and generally de-coupled from the overall economy.All the big firms have refined and expanded their strategies in these countries in recent years. Not being present is not an option in the current climate.

While there are still opportunities available in emerging markets, the‘low hanging fruit’ has most definitely been taken. To capitalise on the vital first-mover advantage, drugmakers are increasingly looking for underserved countries.

In this special report, BMI gives an overview of the standout ‘frontier markets’. Cases from each region are assessed for future potential against the background of their tumultuous histories. Accurate data on market size is hard to collect and risk is a common theme. From war-ravaged Iraq, we look at socialist Cuba, isolated North Korea, reformatory Albania, and resource-rich Ghana.

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