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South Africa Insurance Report Q3 2009

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Jul. 2, 2009 - 69 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
The Sector At A Glance
Overview Of South Africa’s Insurance Sector
Key Insights On South Africa’s Insurance Sector
SWOT Analysis
South Africa Insurance Industry SWOT
South Africa Political SWOT
South Africa Economic SWOT
South Africa Business Environment SWOT
Global Overview
Global Review Of Q109
The Global Financial Crisis
Table: Selected European Countries - Budget And Current Account Balances, 2008 (% of GDP)
Projections And Forecasts
Table: Insurance Data And Projections, 2006-2013
Projections And Drivers Of Growth
Table: Growth Drivers, 2006-2013
Country Update
Macroeconomic Outlook
South Africa - Economic Activity, 2006-2013
Political Outlook
Insurance Business Environment Rating
Table: South Africa - Insurance Business Environment Indicators
Middle East & Africa Insurance Business Environment Rankings
Regional Context
Table: Non-Life Premiums In A Regional Context, 2008
Table: Life Premiums In A Regional Context, 2008
Table: Comparison Of Major Lines As % Of Non-Life Premiums, 2006
Major Players In South Africa’s Insurance Sector
Analysis Of Competitive Conditions
Regional Overview
Company Profiles
AIG
Allianz
Cardif
Global Alliance
Guardrisk
HDI-Gerling
Hollard
Liberty Group SA
Metropolitan
Momentum Group
Munich Re
Mutual and Federal
Nedgroup
Old Mutual
OUTsurance
Sanlam
Santam
Zurich SA (formerly SA Eagle)
Country Snapshot: South Africa Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Education, 2002-2005
Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012
Methodology
Basis Of Projections
Insurance Business Environment Rating
Insurance Business Environment Indicators And Rationale
Weighting Of Indicators

Abstract

This report was written in late May. Relative to the Q209 report, the main changes pertain to the profilesof companies, both regional and predominantly local, which have been updated considerably. We havealso included a brief overview of conditions and development of premium income through Q109. This isbased on comments made by major, mainly listed, companies which became available for the most partfrom mid-May. We hope to build on this section in terms of detail.

Q109 was a challenging but far from disastrous quarter for the major protagonists in most markets.Notwithstanding the fact that particular non-life markets suffered as a result of a slump in the number ofcars registered, and correspondingly lower demand for compulsory third party motor (CTPM) insuranceand voluntary motor insurance, global non-life premiums generally held up well in spite of the globaleconomic downturn. In contrast, life premiums were, in most markets, lower in Q1 than they had been inQ108. This was largely the result of the past volatility in global equity markets, although there were alsoother problems. Conditions remain fair in the global reinsurance market.

In terms of the major regions whose insurance markets are covered by BMI’s reports, Latin America andthe Middle East and North Africa (MENA) stood out in terms of growth in premiums (in non-lifeinsurance in particular, but also in life insurance). Conditions were far more mixed in Central & EasternEurope (CEE), particularly in non-life insurance, where the downturn in car registrations hit hard, andAsia Pacific, where various factors caused slippage in life premiums in many markets.

Revision Of Data And Forecasts

We have updated the insurance data for 2008 and our forecasts for the next five years. In many cases,preliminary or final figures for last year have been published by the regulator or the trade association. Insome cases, we have estimated figures for 2008, but on the basis of information that has been published inrelation to a significant portion of the year. In some cases though, we have based our 2008 estimate onresults disclosed by individual companies operating in the market in question.

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