Brazil Agribusiness Report Q3 2009 : Market Research Report

Brazil Agribusiness Report Q3 2009

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Jun. 29, 2009 - 64 Pages

Executive Summary: SWOT Analysis; Brazil Agricultural SWOT; Industry Business Environment Overview; Market Overview; Supply Demand Analysis; Brazil Cocoa Outlook
Table: Brazil Cocoa Production & Consumption
Table: Brazil Cocoa Production & Consumption: Industry Forecast - Brazil Coffee Outlook; Industry Forecast - Brazil Coffee Outlook
Table: Brazil Coffee Production & Consumption
Table: Brazil Coffee Production & Consumption: Industry Forecast - Brazil Sugar Outlook; Industry Forecast - Brazil Sugar Outlook
Table: Brazil Sugar Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Brazil Sugar Production, Consumption & Trade: Industry Forecast - Brazil Dairy Outlook
Table: Brazil Milk Production & Consumption
Table: Brazil Butter Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Brazil Cheese Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Brazil Whole Milk Powder Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Brazil Milk Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Brazil Butter Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Brazil Cheese Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Brazil Whole Milk Powder Production, Consumption & Trade: Industry Forecast - Brazil Livestock Outlook; Industry Forecast - Brazil Livestock Outlook
Table; Brazil Poultry Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Brazil Pork Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Brazil Beef & Veal Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Brazil Poultry Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Brazil Pork Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Brazil Beef & Veal Production, Consumption & Trade: Industry Forecast - Brazil Rice Outlook
Table: Brazil Rice Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Brazil Rice Production, Consumption & Trade: Industry Forecast - Brazil Rice Outlook
Table: Brazil Wheat Production, Consumption & Trade
Table; Brazil Corn Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Brazil Barley Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Brazil Wheat Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Brazil Corn Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Brazil Barley Production, Consumption & Trade: Industry Forecast - Brazil Soybean Outlook
Table: Brazil Soybean Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Brazil Soybean Production, Consumption & Trade: Competitive Landscape
Table: Agricultural Commodity Producers & Traders
Table: Agribusiness Suppliers
Table: Integrated Agricultural Producers: Market Strategy - Grains Update; Corn
Table: Corn: Soybean
Table: Soybean: Rice
Table: Rice: Wheat
Table: Wheat: Market Strategy Softs Update; Cocoa
Table: Cocoa: Coffee
Table Coffee: Milk
Table: Milk: Sugar
Table: Sugar: Downstream Supply Chain Analysis; Industry Forecast Scenario - Food
Table: Brazil Food Consumption Indicators -- Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Brazil Food & Drink Trade Balance (US$mn) -- Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Brazil Canned Food Value/Volume Sales -- Historical Data & Forecasts: Confectionery
Table: Brazil Confectionery Value/Volume Sales (US$mn, unless otherwise stated)-- Historical Data & Forecasts: Industry Forecast Scenario - Retail
Table: Brazil Mass Grocery Retail Value Sales by Format (US$bn) -- Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Sales Breakdown By Retail Format Type (%): Economic Activity; Company News Alert - Marfrig Continues To Diversify; BMI Forecast Modelling; How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts

Abstract

In BMI's new Brazil Agribusiness Report for Q3 2009 we introduce the new Soybean Outlook. The riseof soybean production in Brazil has been rapid over the past couple of decades. Production has grownthree fold since the beginning of the 1990s and the area harvested has more than doubled. Brazil is nowthe world's second largest producer after the US and production is continuing to expand.

In the coming years, much of the expansion of soybean production will be driven by increasing demandfor the crop from China. Soybean consumption in China has grown more than 100% this decade and wesee demand continuing to rise as per capita incomes grow and demand for meat and edible oils increases.Brazil will be key in supplying this demand.

There are, however, problems that must be overcome for the long-term success of Brazil's soybeanproduction. Infrastructure in some of the main producing regions is woefully lacking and farmers facehuge expense in getting their crops to market relative to their competitors in North America. Port capacityis also inadequate causing major bottlenecks for exports.

The rapid increase in soybean production has worried environmentalists with the industry often comingunder fire for allegedly contributing to the deforestation of the Amazon rainforest. The Brazilian OilseedProcessors Association (Abiove) in 2006 agreed to stop trading soybean produced on newly deforestedareas. While the agreement will no doubt be very hard to enforce, a report jointly produced byGreenpeace showed that cattle ranchers were a far larger contributor to deforestation than soybeanproducers. Even without pushing further into the rainforest, there is still plenty of room for increasing thearea planted to soybean in Brazil assuming demand remains strong.

Brazilian agriculture is seeing mixed fortunes through the current economic slowdown. Tightening creditconditions have put a halt to many projects conceived in the commodity price boom of 2007 and 2008.Sugar and ethanol refineries have been hit particularly hard. Prices for some important commodities,however, including soybeans and sugar, have held up well on supply constraints.

Livestock producers are also feeling the pressure as demand for meat slows and input costs remain high.The government has stepped in to help producers with a BRL10bn (US$4.90bn) fund to provide loans tostruggling firms at favourable interest rates. The difficulties have also spurred a wave of consolidationmoves as companies aim to cut costs by increasing economies of scale. By far the biggest move is themerger of Perdigão and Sadia, Brazil's two largest poultry producers, to form Brasil Foods. The newcompany will be the world's largest poultry producer. We would not be surprised if there were moremergers and acquisitions in the Brazilian livestock sector in the coming months - JBS, the world's biggestbeef producer, has been on the hunt for acquisitions with a recent move to takeover the US' NationalBeef blocked on competition concerns.

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Brazil Agribusiness Report Q3 2009

Table of Contents

Abstract