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Saudi Arabia Retail Report Q2 2009

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: May. 14, 2009 - 43 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Saudi Arabia Business Environment SWOT
Saudi Arabia Political SWOT
Saudi Arabia Economic SWOT
Market Overview
Current Trends
Key Players
Industry Forecast Scenario
Retail Growth Outlook
Table: Key Retail Indicators
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Saudi Arabia - Economic Activity
Regional Retail Outlook
Table: Regional Retail Trends
Table: Regional Retail Sales by % Share
Current Trends
Mass Grocery Retails
Saudi Arabia Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Market Overview
Table: Structure Of Saudi Arabia's Mass Grocery Retail Sector By Estimated Number Of Outlets
Table: Structure Of Saudi Arabia's Mass Grocery Retail Sector - Estimated Sales Value By Format (US$bn)
Table: Structure Of Saudi Arabia's Mass Grocery Retail Sector - Average Sales Value Per Retail Outlet (US$mn)
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Retail indicators (US$bn)
Table: Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data And Forecasts
Industry Developments
Consumer Electronics
Saudi Arabia Consumer Electronics Market SWOT
Market Overview
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Consumer Electronics Overview
Automotives
Saudi Arabia Autos Industry SWOT
Market Overview
Dealerships
Table: Key Players Saudi Arabian Auto Sector
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Saudi Arabia - Automotive Industry - Historical Data And Forecasts
Country Snapshot: Saudi Arabia Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2003-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 1999-2006
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
BMI Retail Forecasting & Sourcing
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Sourcing

Abstract

This new BMI Saudi Arabia Retail report predicts that the country’s retail sales will grow from around US$63bn in 2007 to US$89bn by 2013. Key factors behind the forecast growth in Saudi Arabia’s retail sales are the following: strong economic growth, rising disposable incomes, increasing acceptance of the concept of modern retailing, a youthful population, and an enlarged consumer base created by the improved position of women in society.

Saudi Arabia’s nominal gross domestic product (GDP) was US$382bn in 2007. Average annual GDP growth of 3.4% is predicted by BMI until 2013. With the population increasing from 24.2mn in 2007 to an estimated 26.5mn by 2013, GDP per capita is predicted to rise by more than 22% by the end of the forecast period, reaching US$19,286. We believe consumer spending per capita will increase from US$3,921 in 2007 to US$5,241 by 2013.

The retail sector benefits from the large number of Muslim tourists visiting the country to take part in the Haj and Umrah festivals every year. Sales of gifts and souvenirs in 2008 were estimated to have risen by at least SAR4bn ($1.1bn) due to shopping by Haj pilgrims, according to a Gulf News report.

Increasing urbanisation is also driving retail sales. In 2005, nearly 86% of the population was classified by the United Nations (UN) as urban, and this is forecasted to increase to more than 90% by 2010. The UN described more than 57% of the population as economically active in 2005, with this proportion forecast to exceed 59% by 2010 and 66% by 2015. Some 38% of the population was in the critical (for retail sales) 20-44 age range in 2005, and the UN forecasts that this will rise to almost 46% by 2015.

San Francisco-based Gap is among the latest international retailers to enter the market. It plans to open 44 Gap stores (and Gap concept variations) and 10 Banana Republic stores in Saudi Arabia by 2012.

Retail sales for our universe of MEA countries in 2007 amounted to an estimated US$344bn, based on the varying national definitions. Total consumer spending for the region, based on BMI’s macroeconomic database, amounts to US$467bn. Saudi Arabia, South Africa and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) together in 2007 accounted for an estimated 61.1% of regional retail sales, and their combined share is expected to remain around this level to 2013. For Saudi Arabia, the estimated 2007 market share of 18.3% is expected to ease to 14.9% by 2013.

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