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Brazil Retail Report Q2 2009

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: May. 14, 2009 - 47 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Brazil Retail Business Environment SWOT
Brazil Political SWOT
Brazil Economic SWOT
Market Overview
Current Trends
Key Players
Industry Forecast Scenario
Retail Growth Outlook
Table: Key Retail Indicators, 2006-2013
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Brazil - Economic Activity, 2006-2013
Regional Retail Outlook
Table: Regional Retail Trends, 2006-2013
Table: Regional Retail Sales, 2006-2013 (% share)
Current Trends
Organised Retail
Mass Grocery Retail
Brazil Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Market Overview
Table: Structure Of Brazil's Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number Of Outlets, 2002-2007
Table: Structure Of Brazil's Mass Grocery Retail Market, Sales Value By Format (US$bn)
Table: Average Annual Sales Value By Format, 2007 (US$mn)
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Mass Grocery Retail, Value Sales By Format (US$bn)
Table: Sales Breakdown By Retail Format Type, 2007 And 2017 (%)
Industry Developments
Consumer Electronics
Brazil Consumer Electronics Market SWOT
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Consumer Electronics Overview, 2006-2013 (US$mn)
Automotives
Market Overview
Table: Passenger Car Production, Jan-Nov 2007/08
Table: Passenger Car Sales, January-November 2007 and 2008
Table: Usage Of Sugar And Ethanol, 2005 And 2015
Industry Forecast Scenario
Trade
Table: Brazil’s Autos Trade,, 2006-2013
Economic Contribution
Table: Brazil Autos Sector - Historical Data And Forecasts
Country Snapshot: Brazil Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2000-2003
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 1999-2004
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
Table: Average Annual Wages, 1996-2002
BMI Retail Forecasting And Sourcing
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Sourcing

Abstract

In 2005, 67.8% of the Brazilian population was described by the United Nations (UN) as active, with 40.3% in the critical 20-44 age range. More than 84% of the population was classified by the UN as urban. By 2015, the urban population is forecast to have exceeded 88%, with 39.5% in the 20-44 age band. At this point, 66.9% of the population is expected to be active.

The non-grocery sector is outperforming the food sector as consumers increase their spending on household items and durable goods, such as furniture, domestic appliances, cars, clothes, etc. Easier access to credit is also proving good news for the retail sector. Brazil had 73mn credit cards in the first half of 2006, up 20% from H105, according to ABECS, Brazil’s credit card trade group. This figure was projected to exceed 80mn in 2007.

Retail sales for our universe of Latin American countries in 2007 amounted to an estimated US$1.01trn, based on the varying national definitions. Total consumer spending for the region, based on BMI’s macroeconomic database, amounts to US$2,56trn. Argentina, Brazil and Mexico together in 2007 accounted for an estimated 79.0% of regional retail sales, with their combined share expected to slip below 77.0% by 2013. For Brazil, the estimated 2007 market share of 30.5% is expected to ease to 26.7% by 2013.

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