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Position Paper - UK Energy Policy Implications to 2020

Published by: Datamonitor

Published: Jun. 17, 2009 - 9 Pages


Table of Contents


DATAMONITOR VIEW
CATALYST
SUMMARY
Methodology
ANALYSIS
Existing nuclear power assets in the UK are fraught with performance failures and new nuclear is unlikely before 2020
Much needed new coal build is politically and environmentally unpopular and challenged by environmental regulations (1/2)
Much needed new coal build is politically and environmentally unpopular and challenged by environmental regulations (2/2)
UK renewables ambitions will be very costly, will not be met, will not alleviate climate change and may reduce security of supply
The UK will grow dependant on gas, gas and more gas as it fills the energy gap and backs up intermittent wind to 2020 (1/2)
The UK will grow dependant on gas, gas and more gas as it fills the energy gap and backs up intermittent wind to 2020 (2/2)
The recession will ease power demand and carbon emissions, but will also delay investment in Britain's energy infrastructure
APPENDIX
Ask the analyst
Datamonitor consulting
Disclaimer
List of Figures
Figure 1: The trend line for nuclear power generation in the UK is downwards
Figure 2: LCPD - The single largest impact on coal generators - is redrawing the UK generation landscape
Figure 3: LCPD places significant constraints on coal burn emissions and has lead to the fitting of FGD to circa 21GW of plant
Figure 4: The UK faces another dash for gas

Abstract

Introduction

In the UK, times of record economic growth, cheap oil and excess energy supplies are over. The energy policy model originally established in the 1980s is no longer fit for purpose and is being replaced by the incremental intrusion of ad hoc policy interventions. Energy policy must successfully address the overlapping challenges of energy import dependency, security of supply and climate change.

Scope
  • Generation data demonstrating that the trend line for nuclear power generation in the UK is downwards.
  • A review of the Large Combustion Plant Directive and reasons why it will have the single most detrimental effect on the coal-fired generation fleet.
  • Reason why the UK's dependence on Russian gas supplies will grow, in practice, even if gas supply sources are varied and numerous in principle.
  • An explanation of why Britain's energy network infrastructure will continue to be poorly adapted to 21st century decarbonization needs.
Highlights

Existing nuclear power assets in the UK are fraught with performance failures and new nuclear is unlikely before 2020. At the same time, much needed new coal build is politically and environmentally unpopular and challenged by environmental regulations and therefore unlikely to happen to the extent required.

UK renewables ambitions will be very costly, will not be met, will not alleviate climate change and may reduce security of supply. The UK will therefore grow dependant on gas, gas and more gas to fill the energy gap and back up intermittent wind to 2020.

Britain's energy network infrastructure will continue to be poorly adapted to 21st century decarbonization needs as the recession eases power demand and carbon emissions, but also delays investment in Britain's inadequate energy infrastructure.

Reasons to Purchase
  • Determine and assimilate the most critical developments and issues that challenge and promote the development of the UK power generation landscape.
  • Benchmark the relative appeal of thermal and renewable generation technologies in the context of the UK's dynamic energy landscape, pre and post 2020.
  • Understand the limitations of the current policy model and the implications for energy import dependency, security of supply, and climate change.
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