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Published by: Key Note Publications Ltd
Published: May. 1, 2009 - 290 Pages
Table of Contents
- Executive Summary
- 1. Introduction
- THE TOPIC
- OBJECTIVES
- METHODOLOGY
- ORIGINAL RESEARCH
- PROBLEMS IN THE RESEARCH PROCESS
- DEFINITION
- 2. Strategic Overview
- MARKET DYNAMICS
- A Pattern of Decline
- Socio-Economic Classification
- Table 2.1: The UK Government’s Former and Current Occupational Categories
- Table 2.2: Estimated Numbers of Male and Female Employees in the UK by Job Category (000), 2008
- Figure 2.1: Estimated Numbers of Male and Female Employees in the UK by Job Category (000), 2008
- Table 2.3: Typical Pay of B, C1 and C2 Occupational Groups in the UK (Full-Time and Part-Time Workers) by Sex — Median Gross Weekly Pay, Estimated Number of Jobs and Pay Gap (£, 000 and %), 2008
- Table 2.4: Typical Pay of B, C1 and C2 Occupational Groups in the UK (Full-Time Workers Only) by Sex — Median Gross Weekly Pay, Estimated Number of Jobs and Pay Gap (£, 000 and %), 2008
- Figure 2.2: Men in Full-Time Work in the UK in B, C1 and C2 Occupations — Median Gross Weekly Pay and Estimated Number of Jobs (£ and 000), 2008
- Figure 2.3: Women in Full-Time Work in the UK in B, C1 and C2 Occupations — Median Gross Weekly Pay and Estimated Number of Jobs (£ and 000), 2008
- Market Status and Values
- Table 2.5: Net Wealth of the Household Sector in the UK (£bn), 1991, 2001 and 2006
- DISTRIBUTION
- COMPETITIVE STRUCTURE
- Leading Companies
- Banks
- Insurers
- Building Societies
- Foreign Presence
- ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION
- CONSUMER TRENDS
- MARKET OUTLOOK
- Wanted: Stability and Security
- Heavy Responsibilities
- Transparency
- KEY POINTS
- 3. Making the Most of Moderate Incomes
- MODERATELY MEAGRE
- Table 3.1: Income and Expenditure by Gross Income Decile in the UK — Fifth to Eighth Deciles (£ per week, gross), 2007
- Table 3.2: Expenditure on Package Holidays Abroad, Holiday Spending and Meals and Alcoholic Drinks Away From Home by Household Income Decile in the UK — Fifth to Eighth Deciles (£ per week), 2007
- WOMEN LOSE OUT
- ‘EGGS IN ONE BASKET’ — A PREOCCUPATION WITH HOUSING WEALTH
- Table 3.3: Household Spending on Financial Services by Category — Fifth, Sixth, Seventh and Eighth Deciles and Average (Mean) For All Deciles (£ per week), 2007
- SAVING LACKS APPEAL
- Table 3.4: UK Households’ Savings Profile (% of households), 2002/2003, 2004/2005 and 2006/2007
- SAVINGS AND PENSIONS
- Table 3.5: All UK Benefit Units, and Those With Savings of at Least £20,000, by Type of Benefit Unit (number and %), 2006/2007
- Figure 3.1: All UK Benefit Units, and Those With Savings of at Least £20,000, by Type of Benefit Unit (% of all benefit units), 2006/2007
- PROBLEMS OF LOW RETURNS
- Table 3.6: FTSE 100 Trend (index level), 1984-2009
- Figure 3.2: FTSE 100 Trend (index level), 1984-2009
- Table 3.7: FTSE 100 Movement (index level), April 2008-April 2009
- Figure 3.3: FTSE 100 Movement (index level), April 2008-April 2009
- ‘SOLID’ INVESTMENTS
- KEY POINTS
- 4. Coping With Debt
- DEFLATION VERSUS QUANTITATIVE EASING
- Table 4.1: UK Households’ Disposable Income and Spending (£m and ratio), 1997-2008
- Figure 4.1: UK Households’ Disposable Income and Spending (£m), 1997-2008
- DEBT LEVELLING OFF
- Table 4.2: Monthly Amounts Outstanding of Sterling Net Lending to Individuals and Housing Associations in the UK — Secured Lending and Consumer Credit (£m), as at 31st December 2004-2008 and as at 31st January 2009 and 28th February 2009
- Figure 4.2: Monthly Amounts Outstanding of Sterling Net Lending to Individuals and Housing Associations in the UK — Secured Lending and Consumer Credit (£m), as at 31st December 2004-2008
- Table 4.3: Gross National Income of the UK at Current Prices and Annual Change in All-Items Retail Price Index (£m, % and percentage-point difference), 2004-2008
- Figure 4.3: Gross National Income of the UK at Current Prices (£m), 2004-2008
- EXAGGERATED INCOMES
- LIMITED OPPORTUNITIES FOR FINANCIAL IMPROVEMENT
- KEY POINTS
- 5. Sourcing Financial Advice
- GLOBALISED MASKS
- RETAIL DISTRIBUTION REVIEW
- PROMOTING ADVICE
- CONSOLIDATION IN ADVICE
- KEY POINTS
- 6. Promotion
- FALLING BACK
- Table 6.1: Total Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Financial Services (£000), Years Ending December 2005-2008
- CHANGING PROFILES
- Table 6.2: Top 15 Most Heavily Advertised Financial Products by Main Media Advertising Expenditure (£000), Year Ending December 2005
- Table 6.3: Top 15 Most Heavily Advertised Financial Products by Main Media Advertising Expenditure (£000), Year Ending December 2006
- Table 6.4: Top 15 Most Heavily Advertised Financial Products by Main Media Advertising Expenditure (£000), Year Ending December 2007
- Table 6.5: Top 15 Most Heavily Advertised Financial Products by Main Media Advertising Expenditure (£000), Year Ending December 2008
- Table 6.6: Top 15 Most Heavily Advertised Financial Brands by Main Media Advertising Expenditure (£000), Year Ending December 2008
- AGENCIES IN THE UK
- MEDIA CHOICE
- NEW MEDIA AND DIRECT MAIL
- SPONSORSHIP
- GEO-DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILING
- CACI
- EuroDirect
- Experian
- Use of Data For Customer Retention
- KEY POINTS
- 7. An International Perspective
- DUBIOUS LEADERSHIP
- STATE-LED FINANCIAL PROTECTION
- MASSIVE SUMS AT RISK IN DERIVATIVES CONTRACTS
- STATE AID AT A HIGH PRICE
- SOCIALISATION OF LOSSES
- KEY POINTS
- 8. PEST Analysis
- POLITICAL FACTORS
- ECONOMIC FACTORS
- Table 8.1: Additions to National Debt (£bn), June 2007-February 2009
- Table 8.2 The UK’s Gross Domestic Product and All-Items Retail Price Index (£m, % and percentage-point difference), Fourth Quarter of 2005 to Fourth Quarter of 2008
- Table 8.3: Central Government Receipts and Outlays (£m), January-December 2008 and January and February 2009
- SOCIAL FACTORS
- TECHNOLOGICAL FACTORS
- KEY POINTS
- 9. Consumer Dynamics
- OVERVIEW
- Table 9.1: Summary of Survey Findings Regarding Financial Services (% of all respondents and % of respondents in social grades B, C1 and C2), December 2008
- Savings, Debts and Property
- PENSIONS
- Pension Ownership Response Suggests Confusion
- Pensions Gap
- Table 9.2: Ownership of Defined-Benefit Pensions and Defined-Contribution Pensions (% of respondents), December 2008
- Property Loses Lustre as an Investment For Bs, But C1s and C2s Are More Inclined to See Investment Value in Their Home
- Almost Four in Ten Worry About Shortfall in Retirement Income
- Table 9.3: Belief That Property Is the Best Investment For a Pension, and Concerns About Insufficient Retirement Income (% of respondents), December 2008
- SAVINGS
- Bs and C1s Focus on Building Up Savings
- Running Down Savings More Widespread Than Adding to Them
- Table 9.4: Changes in Levels of Savings Over the Past Year (% of respondents), December 2008
- C1s and C2s Typical in Lack of Savings, But Bs Buck the Trend
- Table 9.5: Those With No Savings At All (% of respondents), December 2008
- DEBT
- More C2s Add to Debts Than Cut Them
- C1s More Successful Than Bs and C2s in Reducing Debts
- Table 9.6: Changes in Levels of Debt Over the Past Year (% of respondents), December 2008
- Fewer Than Three in Ten Bs, C1s and C2s Are Without Debt
- Table 9.7: Those Who Are Completely Debt Free and Have No Mortgage (% of respondents), December 2008
- ONLINE BANKING
- Bs, C1s and C2s Are Above Average in Use of Online Banking
- Bs, C1s and C2s More Likely Than Average to Have Full Confidence in Online Banking
- Table 9.8: Those Who Bank Online, and Those Who Have Full Confidence in Online Banking (% of respondents), December 2008
- INDEPENDENT FINANCIAL ADVICE
- Doubts About the Value of Independent Financial Advice
- Only One in Four Bs But More Than a Third of C1s and C2s Say That Independent Financial Advice Is Too Costly
- Table 9.9: Those Who Believe That Financial Advice Is Worth Paying For, and Those For Whom Financial Advice Is Unaffordable (% of respondents), December 2008
- TAX AVOIDANCE
- Six in Ten Oppose Ease of Tax Avoidance For the Wealthy
- Table 9.10: Those Who Think That It Is Too Easy For Wealthy Individuals to Avoid Paying Taxes (% of respondents), December 2008
- MEANS TESTING
- Means-Testing Barrier Is a Significant But Minority Issue
- Table 9.11: Those Who Believe That Means Testing For State Welfare Benefits Discourages Saving (% of respondents), December 2008
- KEY POINTS
- 10. Company Profiles
- THE ARTS OF ACCOUNTANCY
- ALL CHANGE
- BANKS THAT THE UK GOVERNMENT DOES NOT CONTROL
- Barclays
- Corporate Strategy, Advertising and Distribution
- Profitability
- Table 10.1: Financial Results for Barclays PLC (£m, number, % and £), Years Ending 31st December 2005-2007
- Future Company Developments
- HSBC
- Corporate Strategy, Advertising and Distribution
- Profitability
- Table 10.2: Financial Results for HSBC Holdings PLC ($m, number, % and $), Years Ending 31st December 2006-2008
- Future Company Developments
- Grupo Santander (Spain)
- Abbey
- Corporate Strategy, Advertising and Distribution
- Profitability
- Table 10.3: Financial Results for Abbey National PLC (£m, number, % and £), Years Ending 31st December 2005-2007
- Alliance & Leicester
- Corporate Strategy, Advertising and Distribution
- Profitability
- Table 10.4: Financial Results for Alliance & Leicester PLC (£m, number, % and £), Years Ending 31st December 2005-2007
- Future Company Developments
- BANKS THAT ARE OWNED OR CONTROLLED BY THE UK GOVERNMENT
- HBOS (Merged With Lloyds TSB in January 2009 to Form Lloyds Banking Group)
- Corporate Strategy, Advertising and Distribution
- Profitability
- Table 10.5: Financial Results for HBOS PLC
- (£m, number, % and £), Years Ending 31st December 2005-2007
- Future Company Developments
- Lloyds TSB (Merged With HBOS in January 2009 to Form Lloyds Banking Group)
- Corporate Strategy, Advertising and Distribution
- Profitability
- Table 10.6: Financial Results for Lloyds TSB Group PLC (£m, number, % and £), Years Ending 31st December 2005-2007
- Future Company Developments
- National Savings & Investments
- Corporate Strategy, Advertising and Distribution
- Profitability
- Future Company Developments
- Northern Rock
- Corporate Strategy, Advertising and Distribution
- Profitability
- Table 10.7: Financial Results for Northern Rock PLC (£m, number, % and £), Years Ending 31st December 2005-2007
- Future Company Developments
- The Post Office (Royal Mail Holdings)
- Corporate Strategy, Advertising and Distribution
- Profitability
- Table 10.8: Financial Results for Post Office Ltd (£m, number, % and £), Years Ending 26th March 2006 and 2007, and 53 Weeks Ending 30th March 2008
- Future Company Developments
- The Royal Bank of Scotland Group
- Corporate Strategy, Advertising and Distribution
- Profitability
- Table 10.9: Financial Results for The Royal Bank of Scotland Group PLC (£m, number, % and £), Years Ending 31st December 2005-2007
- Future Company Developments
- INSURANCE GROUPS (PUBLICLY QUOTED)
- Aviva
- Corporate Strategy, Advertising and Distribution
- Profitability
- Table 10.10: Financial Results for Aviva PLC (£m, number, % and £), Years Ending 31st December 2005-2007
- Future Company Developments
- AXA (France)
- Corporate Strategy, Advertising and Distribution
- Profitability
- Table 10.11: Financial Results for AXA Insurance UK PLC (£m, number, % and £), Years Ending 31st December 2005-2007
- Future Company Developments
- Legal & General
- Corporate Strategy, Advertising and Distribution
- Profitability
- Table 10.12: Financial Results for Legal & General Group PLC (£m, number, % and £), Years Ending 31st December 2005-2007
- Future Company Developments
- Prudential
- Corporate Strategy, Advertising and Distribution
- Profitability
- Table 10.13: Financial Results for Prudential PLC (£m, number, % and £), Years Ending 31st December 2005-2007
- Future Company Developments
- RSA Insurance
- Corporate Strategy, Advertising and Distribution
- Profitability
- Table 10.14: Financial Results for RSA Insurance Group PLC (£m, number, % and £), Years Ending 31st December 2005-2007
- Future Company Developments
- Standard Life
- Corporate Strategy, Advertising and Distribution
- Profitability
- Table 10.15: Financial Results for Standard Life PLC (£m, number, % and £), Years Ending 31st December 2005-2007
- Future Company Developments
- Zurich Financial Services (Switzerland)
- Corporate Strategy, Advertising and Distribution
- Profitability
- Future Company Developments
- MUTUAL FINANCIAL SERVICES GROUPS
- Co-operative Financial Services
- Corporate Strategy, Advertising and Distribution
- Profitability
- Future Company Developments
- Nationwide Building Society
- Corporate Strategy, Advertising and Distribution
- Profitability
- Future Company Developments
- SPECIALIST EXAMPLES
- Paragon
- Table 10.16: Financial Results for The Paragon Group of Companies PLC (£m, number, % and £), Years Ending 30th September 2006-2008
- Zopa
- Table 10.17: Financial Results for Zopa Ltd (£m, number, % and £), 74 Weeks Ending 31st December 2005 and Years Ending 31st December 2006 and 2007
- KEY POINTS
- 11. The Future
- EMERGING MEGA ECONOMIES: BRAZIL, RUSSIA, INDIA AND CHINA
- ENVIRONMENTAL CONSTRAINTS
- REPAIRING THE ECONOMY
- FINANCIAL SERVICES COMPENSATION SCHEME: CONTRIBUTIONS SYSTEM CONSIDERED UNFAIR
- THE TURNER REVIEW
- INDIVIDUAL RESPONSES
- EARNINGS SPREAD TOO WIDE
- Table 11.1: Average Remuneration of Board Directors and Other Staff in Leading Banks and Insurers in the UK, Ranked by the Size of the Multiple (£ and multiple), 2007/2008
- PENSIONS: THE GREAT UNKNOWN
- PROSPECTS FOR MIDDLE BRITAIN
- Bs — Those in Moderately Paid Professional, Managerial and Technical Roles
- C1s — Skilled Non-Manual Workers
- C2s — Skilled Manual Workers
- RISK AVERSION
- INDICATIONS FROM THE BUDGET 2009
- KEY POINTS
- 12. Glossary
- 13. Further Sources
- Associations
- Companies — Financial
- Companies — Marketing
- Publications and Information
- General Sources
- Government and Official Sources
- Other Sources
- Key Note Sources
- Key Note Research
- The Key Note Range of Reports
AbstractThe Bs, C1s and C2s who make up ‘Middle Britain’ do not have a broad base
of affluence. Most of their wealth is in residential property, supported by
(beleaguered) pension funds. The apparent affluence of the 1990s and early
2000s was funded mainly on credit and property equity withdrawal.
The number of independent retail banks in the UK shrank in 2008 and
the collapse has continued in 2009. The building societies helped to shore up
UK financial services, and would have formed an even stronger foundation if
most of the leading societies had not demutualised in the 1990s.
Middle Britain’s preoccupation with borrowing to build up housing wealth
has reduced the sums available for pensions, savings and investments, on
which many households have spent very little in recent years. Furthermore,
real interest rates fell below zero on many instant-access accounts in 2009.
The hardest hit among B, C1 and C2 savers include the many over-65s who do
not use the Internet and thus cannot access online accounts, which generally
offer higher rates than branch or postal accounts. One option for individuals
with capital, who want to earn a better return on it, is direct lending via
schemes such as the online social lender Zopa, although social lending
schemes on this model are not covered by the Financial Services
Compensation Scheme (FSCS).
In 2007, UK households collectively spent around £19.69bn more than
their income. Many mortgage borrowers overstated their incomes to get the
loans they wanted. Falling house prices and declining pension funds, as well
as the near-zero interest rates on savings, rising unemployment and stagnant
incomes mean lower consumption, which in the absence of rising exports
results in a decline in gross domestic product (GDP). Taxation revenues fall,
making it harder for the Government to balance public spending and reduce
the inflating National Debt. Despite high debt levels among individuals,
the amounts are small compared with the uncertain but vast sums at risk in
financial derivatives.
Paid-for advice is often too expensive for people on moderate incomes.
Key Note’s consumer research showed that one person in three believed they
could not afford independent financial advice — but more importantly,
only one in three people agreed that financial advice was worth paying for.
During 2008, the Financial Services Authority (FSA) conducted a Retail
Distribution Review, which recommended much clearer differentiation
between independent advice and sales information.
Bank profits were privatised but losses have been socialised; thus, taxpayers
are getting the worst possible deal. People on middle incomes, who are
generally without the capacity to set up tax-avoidance schemes, can expect to
pay more tax, yet their pension savings have shrunk. The bill for future
public-sector pensions looks unaffordable. For the typical middle-income UK
household in 2008 and into 2009, the financial options have narrowed, and,
as a result, lifestyle options have narrowed too.
According to Key Note’s consumer research, the view that property was the
best investment for a pension was less common in 2008 than in 2006.
Among the Bs, only one in five thought that property was the best
investment for a pension, compared with more than half who thought this
in 2006. Of the various socio-economic groups, the Bs were the most likely to
have increased their savings in 2008, closely followed by the C1s. However,
more people had reduced their savings in 2008 than had increased them.
One person in eight said they had no savings at all — although the Bs were by
far the least likely socio-economic group to be without savings. Confidence in
online banking soared between 2002 and 2006 but advanced only slowly
between 2006 and 2008. In 2008, more than half of the Bs and just under
half of the C1s and C2s said they had full confidence in online banking.
Nearly six in ten Bs used online banking services, well above the overall
average of four in ten.
The published accounts of banks, insurers and other financial enterprises
often fail to give investors, customers and analysts a clear understanding of
the financial strengths and weaknesses of each business. There is no single
global standard for financial reporting, which adds to the confusion.
The structure of banking in the UK was dismantled in 2008. As at the start of
May 2009, only two large groups, HSBC and Barclays, remained outside
UK State control.
The individuals who make up Middle Britain have to decide whether
to trust the State to look after them in the future, or whether to plan for a
future in which welfare benefits will be lower than in 2009. There is an
ethical issue of whether those who could but do not insure or save should,
in the future, receive more from public funds than those who save as much as
they can afford.
Falling property prices do not help existing mortgagees who plunge into
negative equity, and no matter how cheap property becomes, unless solutions
to negative equity are found, the property market will not
operate efficiently.
The abandonment of private-sector defined-benefit pensions means that
today’s middle earners are likely to face financial hardship in retirement.
The many Bs and C1s who work in the public sector are likely to be hit in
coming years by a phasing out of defined-benefit public-sector pensions.
For Middle Britain, participation in financial services (apart from
current accounts, savings, mortgages, loans and credit cards) is likely to be
dominated by obligatory products such as motor insurance and home
insurance for mortgagees, as well as by protection products such as life,
income-protection, critical-illness and payment-protection insurances,
and by compensation products, notably personal injury compensation.
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