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How the Economic Crisis is Affecting the Passenger and Light Commercial Vehicle Market in Mexico

Published by: Frost & Sullivan

Published: Jun. 4, 2009 - 39 Pages


Table of Contents


1 MARKET SEGMENTATION


Market Segments and Models


Market Segments and Models


2 MACROECONOMIC OVERVIEW


A brief overview of the Automotive Industry in Mexico in 2008


A brief overview of the Automotive Industry in Mexico in 2008


3 PASSENGER CAR AND LIGHT COMMERCIAL VEHICLE ANALYSIS


Overview of the Commercialization of Light Vehicles in Mexico in 2008


Marketing and commercialization of Passenger and LCV's in Mexico


4 MARKET SHARE


Mexico Passenger and LCV's Market Shares


Passengers and Light Commercial Vehicles Market Shares


5 MARKET DRIVERS


Market Drivers and Impacts in Mexico


Passenger and LCV's Market Drivers 2009 - 2012


6 TAX STRUCTURE


Mexican Automotive Industry Tax Structure


Tax Structure in Mexico


7 MARKET RESTRAINTS


Mexican Automotive Industry Market Restraints


Mexican Market Restraints


8 PASSENGER CAR AND LIGHT COMMERCIAL VEHICLE EXPECTATIONS


Expections on the Passenger and LCV market in Mexico


Passenger and LCV market expectation in Mexico


9 PASSENGER CAR AND LIGHT COMMERCIAL VEHICLE FORECAST


Passenger and LCV Sales Forecast


Vehicles Sales Forecast


10 ABOUT FROST & SULLIVAN


Overview of Frost & Sullivan as a company


Frost & Sullivan overview

Abstract

This Frost & Sullivan research service titled How the Economic Crisis is Affecting the Passenger and Light Commercial Vehicle Market in Mexico provides an overview of the Mexican automotive industry in 2008, its market shares, market drivers, market restraints, and sales forecasts for the next four years. In this research, Frost & Sullivan's expert analysts thoroughly examine the following markets: passenger vehicles: entry cars, small hatchbacks, medium hatchbacks, small sedan, medium sedan, big/large sedan, medium station wagon, big/large station wagon, mono cab and grand cab; light commercial vehicles: small pick up, big pick up, sport utility vehicles, mini vans, and vans.

Market Overview

The Economic Decline Puts the Brakes on the Passenger and Light Commercial Vehicle Market in Mexico

With the economy sloping downwards, the consumer confidence index has taken a plunge. This scenario has caused a dip in the volume sales of passenger and light commercial vehicles compared to the sales levels in 2007. This situation is not likely to ease in the near future due the high interest rates offered by financing institutions, the credit crunch, and the perception that automobiles are long-lasting goods. In 2007, Mexico’s automobile credit fell by 1 percent, while in 2008, it decreased by 12 percent. It is not only the financial institutions that are reluctant to offer credit, but automotive and banking institutions are also placing restrictions on money lending. In 2009, Frost & Sullivan expects vehicle sales of 800,000 to 850,000 units, which represents a fall of 17 percent and 22 percent from 2008.

The Mexican Federal Government has offered the automotive industry a bailout package, so they stay afloat in these trying conditions. "Approximately 60 big companies bonded to the automotive industry are looking to benefit from the Technical Stops Program developed by the Mexican Federal Government, which is designed to help companies by paying a third of the total payroll to avoid dismissals," says the analyst of this research. "However, even with these measures, Frost & Sullivan expects Mexico’s economy to shrink by 3 to 4 percent in 2009."

The Federal Government has also instituted a program to promote the renewal of obsolete public service vehicles by replacing the older vehicles with new or semi-new ones. The government hopes to make its fleets more competitive and productive, as well as promote a better ecology by polluting less and lowering the number of accidents. The program is directed at transport companies that wish to modernize their fleet. "This federal program offers a fiscal stimulus that can be utilized for the down payment or a reduction on the payments while buying a new unit," notes the analyst. Mexico City’s Government also launched a similar program for taxi drivers and passenger bus drivers. The objective is to modernize the fleets by compensating owners for their vehicles, which must at least be 10 years old.

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