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Published by: Pike Research
Published: Jun. 10, 2009 - 99 Pages
Table of Contents
- 1. Executive Summary
- 1.1 Market Overview
- 1.2 Biofuels Market Drivers
- 1.3 Key Takeaways
- 1.3.1 Strategic Recommendations
- 1.4 Technology Advancements
- 1.5 Market Forecast Highlights
- 2. Market Issues
- 2.1 The Role of Biofuels in Energy Markets
- 2.2 Biofuels to be Addressed
- 2.2.1 Uses
- 2.3 Biofuels’ Inherent Advantages
- 2.3.1 Availability
- 2.3.2 Easily Substituted for Petroleum Fuels
- 2.3.3 Traditional Agricultural Supply Chain
- 2.4 Biofuels’ Inherent Disadvantages
- 2.4.1 Price
- 2.4.1.1 Comparative Energy Content and Cost per BTU
- 2.4.1.2 Comparative Price per Gallon
- 2.5 Evolution of Biofuels
- 2.6 Market Opportunities
- 2.6.1 Growing Demand for Energy Globally
- 2.6.2 Energy Security
- 2.6.3 Climate Change
- 2.6.4 Carbon Markets
- 2.6.5 Cap and Trade
- 2.6.6 The Need for Sustainable Technologies
- 2.6.6.1 Food vs. Fuel
- 2.6.6.2 Primary and Secondary Land Use
- 2.6.7 Mandates, Subsidies, and Incentives
- 2.6.7.1 Mandates
- 2.6.7.1.1 Renewable Fuel Standard
- 2.6.7.1.2 Renewable Energy Directive
- 2.6.7.1.3 Subsidies and Incentives
- 2.6.7.1.4 Stimulus Spending
- 2.6.8 Big Oil Investments
- 2.7 Industry Growth Drivers
- 2.7.1 Legislative, Regulatory, Incentives, and Subsidies
- 2.7.2 Growing Acceptance in the Marketplace
- 2.7.3 Improvements to Biofuels Technologies
- 2.7.4 Emergence of New Feedstocks
- 2.7.5 Economics Overview
- 2.7.5.1 Ethanol
- 2.7.5.2 Biodiesel
- 2.7.5.3 Cost of Conventional Energy Source Trends
- 2.7.5.4 Cost Structures of Biofuels
- 2.7.5.5 Co-Products as Cost or Profit Centers
- 2.8 Market Challenges
- 2.8.1 Supply Side
- 2.8.1.1 Market Volatility
- 2.8.1.2 Contention for Biofuels Feedstock Resources
- 2.8.1.3 Sustainability and Public Perception
- 2.8.1.4 Production Capacity and Utilization
- 2.8.1.5 Cost and Availability of Capital
- 2.8.1.6 Infrastructure
- 2.8.2 Demand Side
- 2.8.2.1 Volatility of Energy and Commodity Markets
- 2.8.2.2 Trade Duties and Tariffs
- 2.8.2.3 Global Recession
- 2.8.2.4 Sustainability Concerns
- 2.8.2.5 Blend Standards and Walls
- 2.8.2.6 Equipment and Weather Compatibility
- 3. Technology Issues
- 3.1 First Generation - Incremental Improvements
- 3.1.1 Planting, Growing, and Harvesting
- 3.1.1.1 Increasing Feedstock Crop Yields
- 3.1.1.2 Lowering Fertilizer Costs
- 3.1.1.3 Evolving the Business Model to Embrace Sustainability
- 3.1.2 Production Processes
- 3.1.2.1 Profit Margin Risk Management
- 3.1.2.2 Upgrades for Biorefining
- 3.1.2.3 Supervisory Controls Systems
- 3.1.2.4 Retrofitting with Renewable Energy
- 3.1.2.5 Biodiesel Process Technology
- 3.2 Second Generation
- 3.2.1 Cellulosic
- 3.2.1.1 Strengths and Weaknesses
- 3.2.1.2 Commercialization Time Horizon and Locations
- 3.2.1.3 Cost
- 3.2.2 Biodiesel Second- and Third-Generation Technologies
- 3.2.2.1 Trap Grease Technology
- 3.2.2.2 Jatropha
- 3.2.2.3 Algae Oil
- 3.2.3 Advanced Biofuels from Biomass
- 4. Key Industry Players
- 4.1 Cellulosic Ethanol
- 4.1.1 Verenenium
- 4.1.2 POET
- 4.1.3 Mascoma
- 4.1.4 BioGasol
- 4.1.5 Range Fuels
- 4.1.6 Coskata
- 4.1.7 Radian Bioenergy
- 4.2 Advanced Biofuels
- 4.2.1 Amyris
- 4.3 Second Generation
- 4.3.1 SG Biofuels
- 4.3.2 D1 Oils
- 4.4 Third Generation
- 4.4.1 Aurora Biofuels
- 4.4.2 Sapphire Energy
- 4.5 Services
- 4.5.1 IVG Energy
- 4.5.2 Kingsman
- 4.5.3 Piedmont Biofuels
- 5. Market Forecasts
- 5.1 World Transportation Fuels Demand and Prices for the U.S. Market
- 5.2 World Biofuels Demand
- 5.3 North America
- 5.3.1 Ethanol
- 5.3.2 Biodiesel
- 5.4 Europe
- 5.4.1 Ethanol
- 5.4.2 Biodiesel
- 5.5 Asia Pacific
- 5.5.1 Ethanol
- 5.5.2 Biodiesel
- 5.6 Latin America
- 5.6.1 Ethanol
- 5.6.2 Biodiesel
- 6. Company Directory
- 7. Acronym and Abbreviation List
- 8. Table of Contents
- 9. Table of Figures
- 10. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, References and Sources, Notes
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- List of Charts & Figures
- Mandated Biodiesel Demand, World Markets: 2009-2022
- Mandated Ethanol Demand, World Markets: 2009-2022
- CAGR by Type and Region, World Markets: 2009-2022
- Projected Biofuels Market Value, World Markets: 2010, 2015, 2020, and 2022
- Market Share of Ethanol Production by Country, World Markets: 2008
- Market Share of Biodiesel Production by Geography, World Markets: 2008
- Snapshot Comparison of Cost per BTU (Based on Spot Rack Prices, March 20, 2009)
- Snapshot Comparison of Price per Gallon, United States: January 2009
- EU’s Fuel Quality Directive on GHG Reduction: 2011-2020
- Renewable Fuel Standard Mandates, United States: 2009-2022
- Future Blends Biofuels by Percentage Volume, European Union: 2011-2020
- Spot Ethanol and Gasoline Prices, Midwest: 1986-2008
- Transportation Sector Energy Use Projection by Type: 2008-2030
- Conventional Vehicle Projections: 2006-2030
- Alternative Fuel Vehicle Projections: 2006-2030
- Ethanol profits for Ethanol Producers and Corn Farmers: January 2005 to November 2008
- Spot Profit Margin Trend for Ethanol Producers by Location: February 2009
- Cost per Gallon Biodiesel at $4.50 per Gallon: April 2008
- Estimated Production of Ethanol Feed Co-Products, United States: 1990-2009
- Year-over-year Change in Average Price of Petro-Fuels, United States: 2007-2010
- Biodiesel Monthly Production, United States: 2008-2009
- Breakeven Analysis for Ethanol vs. Biomass Feedstock Costs
- Historical and Projected Enzymatic Cellulosic Ethanol Costs: 2001, 2007, and 2012
- Price Comparison of Biodiesel Feedstocks with Year of Commercial Availability
- Estimated Transportation Fuel Demand, World Mkts: 2005-30
- Estimated Price of Transportation Fuels: 2006-2030
- Biofuels Demand Projection, World Mkts: 2010, 2015, 2020
- EIA Estimates of CAGR for Biofuels Demand by 5-Year Periods, World Markets: 2005-2030
- CAGR by Type and Region, World Markets: 2009-2022
- Renewable Energy Demand by Transportation Sector, United States: 2006-2030
- Ethanol Demand Projection, United States: 2009-2022
- Biodiesel Demand Projection, United States: 2009-2022
- Renewable Fuel Standard Mandates, United States: 2009-22
- Projected Ethanol Demand, China, India, and Thailand
- Projected Biodiesel Demand, China, India, and Thailand
- Projected Ethanol Demand, European Union: 2009-2022
- Projected Biodiesel Demand, European Union: 2009-2022
- Projected Ethanol Domestic Demand, Argentina and Brazil: 2008-2022
- Projected Biodiesel Domestic Demand, Argentina and Brazil: 2008-2022
- E85 Refueling Stations by State: 2008
- Biodiesel Refueling Locations by State: 2008
- Absolute Biodiesel Production Potential
- Dry Mill Starch Ethanol Process
- Wet Mill Starch Ethanol Process
- Steps in Biological Approach to Making Cellulosic Ethanol
- Steps in Gasification Approach to Making Cellulosic Ethanol
- Cellulosic Ethanol Projects under Development and Construction, United States
- Enzymatic Cellulosic Ethanol
- Top Net Importers of Oil, World Markets: 2006
- Biofuels Incentives, Subsidies, and Tariffs, United States
- Biofuels Investments by Big Oil
- Feedstocks of the Future
- Ethanol Imports by Country, World Markets: 2005-2008
- Biodiesel Exports and Imports, United States: 2003-2008
- Biofuels Production Capacity and Utilization by Type, United States: 2005-2008
- Commercial- and Development-Scale Cellulosic Ethanol Plants, United States
- Sampling of Jatropha Plantation Projects
- List of Tables
- Mandated Biodiesel Demand, World Markets: 2009-2022
- Mandated Ethanol Demand, World Markets: 2009-2022
- CAGR by Type and Region, World Markets: 2009-2022
- Projected Biofuels Market Value, World Markets: 2010, 2015, 2020, and 2022
- Market Share of Ethanol Production by Country, World Markets: 2008
- Market Share of Biodiesel Production by Geography, World Markets: 2008
- Snapshot Comparison of Cost per BTU (Based on Spot Rack Prices, March 20, 2009)
- Snapshot Comparison of Price per Gallon, United States: January 2009
- Renewable Fuel Standard Mandates, United States: 2009-2022
- Transportation Sector Energy Use Projection by Type: 2008-2030
- Conventional Vehicle Projections: 2006-2030
- Alternative Fuel Vehicle Projections: 2006-2030
- Spot Profit Margin Trend for Ethanol Producers by Location: February 2009
- Year-over-year Change in Average Price of Petro-Fuels, United States: 2007-2010
- Price Comparison of Biodiesel Feedstocks with Year of Commercial Availability
- Estimated Transportation Fuel Demand, World Markets: 2005-2030
- Estimated Price of Transportation Fuels: 2006-2030
- Biofuels Demand Projection, World Markets: 2010, 2015, and 2020
- EIA Estimates of CAGR for Biofuels Demand by 5-Year Periods, World Markets: 2005-2030
- Renewable Energy Demand by Transportation Sector, United States: 2006-2030
- Ethanol Demand Projection, United States: 2009-2022
- Biodiesel Demand Projection, United States: 2009-2022
- Renewable Fuel Standard Mandates, United States: 2009-2022
- Projected Ethanol Demand, European Union: 2009-2022
- Projected Biodiesel Demand, European Union: 2009-2022
- Projected Ethanol Demand, China, India, and Thailand: 2009-2022
- Projected Biodiesel Demand, China, India, and Thailand: 2009-2022
- Projected Ethanol Domestic Demand, Argentina and Brazil: 2008-2022
- Projected Biodiesel Domestic Demand, Argentina and Brazil: 2008-2022
AbstractBiofuels Markets and Technologies
Ethanol and Biodiesel Demand Drivers, Policy Issues, Emerging Technologies, Key Players, and Forecasts
Driven by a quest for energy security, environmental quality, and economic development, a handful of nations are following the lead of Brazil in developing domestic biofuels markets. National governments are mandating the tremendous scope of the biofuels market opportunity — at $100 billion-plus per year — but it is still in its infancy. The United States, Brazil, and the European Union are the big three biofuels markets in terms of volume. Biofuels now provide more than 42% of the energy for Brazil’s transportation needs. While currently only a small fraction of the U.S. and EU total transportation fuels markets, these regions dominate Brazil in absolute numbers in their respective biodiesel and ethanol markets.
However, the excitement of the biofuels market potential is tempered somewhat by its many challenges, which include limited availability of inexpensive feedstocks, ethical questions of food vs. fuel, price volatility and low price of petroleum oil, sustainability issues of water, secondary land use effects, and biodiversity, infrastructure incompatibilities, credit availability and global recession, and overcapacity of production.
This Pike Research report explores many of the complexities and paradoxes of biofuels markets. It examines current trends and possible futures for the industry, policies and market conditions that have shaped the industry to this point, and game changing events, mechanisms, players, and technologies. The report covers key technologies that will drive the future of the industry to include second and third generation feedstocks and advanced technologies. Companies that are playing significant roles in the evolution of global biofuels markets are also profiled. Comprehensive forecasts quantify the market potential for biodiesel and ethanol by country and region.
Key questions addressed:
- What are the game-changing technologies and trends for Biofuels markets?
- How are the economics of Biofuels production being changed by market mechanisms and technologies?
- What are the key drivers shaping the future of the industry?
- Where is the industry going over the next 5-10 years?
- Who are some of the players involved in the various Biofuels market segments and what are their strategies?
This report is for:
- Investors and financial institutions
- Biofuels technologists and technology providers
- Policy and decision makers
- Biofuels producers
- Biomass feedstock growers and suppliers
Please note: this is delivered as a Zip file.
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