Worldwide Hard Disk Drive 2009-2013 Forecast and Analysis: A Postcrisis Fundamental Shift : Market Research Report

Worldwide Hard Disk Drive 2009-2013 Forecast and Analysis: A Postcrisis Fundamental Shift

Published by: IDC

Published: May. 17, 2009 - 48 Pages

Table of Contents
IDC Opinion

In This Study
Methodology
Historical Market Values and Exchange Rates
Situation Overview
Hard Disk Drive Industry Dynamics
The Cost of HDD Storage: Continuously Cheaper on a Price-per-Gigabyte Basis
A Smaller HDD Industry
2008 in Review
Future Outlook
Forecast and Assumptions
Assumptions
Worldwide Hard Disk Drive Forecast
Risks to Forecast
HDD Capacity Satiation
Multiterabyte HDDs Poised to "Tear-a-Bite" Out of HDD Unit Demand
Hard Disk Drive ASP Erosion
Competing Storage Technologies to Hard Disk Drives
HDD Market Overview
Enterprise Applications: The Migration to Capacity-Optimized Storage
PC Market: A Changing Landscape for PCs and PC Storage
Personal Storage Remains a Solid Opportunity for HDD Vendors
Consumer Electronics: Video Remains a Key Growth Driver for HDDs
HDD Form Factor Outlook
Market Context
Essential Guidance
Learn More
Related Research
Definitions
Areal Density
Average Sales Price or Average Unit Price
Hard Disk Drives
Disks/Platters
Hard Disk Drive Gigabytes and Terabytes
Performance-Optimized HDDs
Capacity-Optimized HDDs
Server Blades
Solid State Disk Drives
Unit Shipments
Value of Shipments
IDC System Classifications
Traditional Computing Applications
Enterprise Storage Systems
Portable PCs
Desktop PCs
Personal Storage Devices
Traditional Workstations
Industrial/Commercial Applications
Consumer Electronics
Digital Video Applications
Automotive Applications
Digital Camcorders
Portable Media Players
Synopsis
Table: Worldwide HDD Shipments by Vendor, 2007 and 2008: All HDD Form Factors
Table: Worldwide HDD Revenue by Vendor, 2007 and 2008: All HDD Form Factors
Table: Key Forecast Assumptions for the Worldwide Hard Disk Drive Market, 2009–2013
Table: Worldwide HDD Shipments by Major Application, 2005–2013 (M)
Table: Worldwide HDD Revenue by Major Application, 2005–2013 ($M)
Table: Worldwide HDD Enterprise Applications Shipments by Form Factor, 2008–2013
Table: Worldwide HDD Shipments and Revenue for PC Applications, 2008–2013
Table: Worldwide HDD Shipments of Portable PCs by Form Factor, 2008–2013 (M)
Table: Worldwide HDD Shipments of Desktop PCs by Form Factor, 2008–2013
Table: Worldwide HDD Shipments of Personal Storage Devices by Form Factor, 2008–2013 (M)
Table: Worldwide HDD Shipments of Consumer Electronics Applications by Form Factor, 2008–2013 (M)
Table: Worldwide HDD Shipments by Form Factor and Consumption Category, 2008–2013 (000)
Table: Worldwide HDD Revenue by Form Factor and Consumption Category, 2008–2013 ($M)
Table: Worldwide HDD Shipments and Revenue, 2004–2013: Comparison of December 2008 and May 2009 Forecasts
Figure: Worldwide Average Price per Gigabyte of HDD Storage, 2008–2013
Figure: Worldwide HDD Form Factors ASPs, 2008–2013
Figure: Worldwide Mininotebook PC Shipments Share by Segment, 1Q08–4Q08
Figure: Worldwide Mininotebook PC Shipments Share by Segment, 2008–2013
Figure: Worldwide HDD Shipments and Revenue, 2004–2013: Comparison of December 2008 and May 2009 Forecasts

Abstract

This IDC study details hard disk drive industry shipments and revenue over the forecast period of 2009-2013. Trends in end markets affecting HDD demand are assessed while HDD technology advancements are factored into expected average HDD capacities and unit prices.

"The economic crisis is having a profound impact on HDD demand and revenue. Near term, contracting IT spending budgets are causing storage system customers to pursue more efficient storage solutions that optimize storage utilization rates and reduce energy costs. At the same time, end-device manufacturers are seeking to lower the cost of manufacturing PCs and CE (consumer electronics) devices to reach lower price points. These are fundamental shifts that are unlikely to be reversed," says John Rydning, IDC's research director for hard disk drives. "Meanwhile, the volume of digital information keeps growing, and end users continue to demand higher-capacity HDDs. Caught between these forces is an HDD industry under pressure to develop next-generation HDD technology while trying to find a path to profitability — all within the context of a lower to flat revenue outlook."

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