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Opportunities and Threats in the Central and Eastern European Banking (Strategic Focus)

Published by: Datamonitor

Published: May. 29, 2009 - 264 Pages


Table of Contents


Overview
Catalyst
Summary
Key Messages
Despite the downturn, structural and economic fundamentals remain strong for long-term growth
The financial crisis has hit the region stronger that many had foreseen
Decreasing profitability is driving a shift to cost-cutting strategies
The financial crisis has polarized 2009 IT growth plans
Focus on branch development, driven by need for deposits, is a top IT priority
IT vendors' landscape remains largely unconsolidated across the CEE banking market
Vendors need to investigate relationship between headquarters and centers of excellence
Table of Contents
Table of figures
Market Opportunity
CEE and CIS markets need to be distinguished
Western European banks have increased their operations significantly in CEE
Foreign banks' entry has significantly influenced the economic environment in CEE
Positive effects of foreign banks' entry for the local market:
Negative effects of foreign banks' entry for the local market:
CEE countries are on the road to maturity of their banking sectors
Macroeconomic factors in the CEE region shape strong long-term growth potential
Low inflation rates a necessity to join the eurozone
The credit market is still far from saturation
Euro adoption still in progress
The financial crisis has hit the CEE harder than many had foreseen
The financial crisis reduced competitiveness for new lending
The financial crisis has created a vicious cycle between the consumer and commercial banking sectors
The behavior of foreign-owned banks will influence the development of the crisis
Stabilization is a necessity to join the eurozone
Technology Opportunities and Threats
Focus on revenue growth continues despite the risk of cost cutting requirements
The financial crisis has polarized 2009 IT growth plans
Focus on branch development, driven by need for deposits, is a top IT priority
The centralization of banking operations is changing the technology landscape
CEE technology spending will be shifting progressively toward Western Europe
Core systems, payment processing and branch technology expenditure will grow at a healthy rate
Technology Market Overview
Centralization efforts drive reduction and re-engineering of existing platforms
Payments technology expenditure driven by investments in anti-fraud and the mobile channel
Investments into middle office are driven by anti-fraud technology
Sales focus increasingly drives further investments into CRM systems
Vendors bet on analytic CRM technology
Channels are in the center of interest for banks
Branch expansion dominates channel investments
Online technology consolidation underway
The ATM world is a three horse race but outsourcers are catching up
Contact centers are still immune to centralization efforts
The product vendor landscape remains unconsolidated
Local software vendors will continue to be niche players
IT services landscape largely diversified
Both local and western vendors have managed to significantly penetrate the market
IT services companies are looking for the 'hot spots' of banks
Go to Market
Recommendations for technology vendors
Vendors need to investigate the relationship between headquarters and centers of excellence while analyzing the decision making process
Vendors need to reach a critical mass before the crisis passes by in CEE to make SaaS up-take successful
Local language skills are not critical but local domain expertise is
Now is the time to buy as economic turbulence creates bargains
Local vendors should analyze their exporting options
Recommendations for banks
Western banks should evaluate local vendors' offerings that pose a low risk to operations
Banks should watch out for under-investing during the economic recovery
APPENDIX
Definitions
Methodology
Further reading
Ask the analyst
Datamonitor consulting
Disclaimer
List of Figures
Figure 1: Central and Eastern Europe vs. rest of Europe
Figure 2: International banks have widely spread across Central and Eastern Europe
Figure 3: Banking development in transformation economies
Figure 4: Gross domestic product based on purchasing-power-parity per capita GDP in selected countries
Figure 5: Personal credit saturation level in CEE
Figure 6: CEE Banks' objectives to IT investment strategy in 2009
Figure 7: CEE banks' major strategic goals for 2009
Figure 8: Direction of IT budgets changes has diverged
Figure 9: Crisis effect on IT budgets in the banking sector
Figure 10: Expansion plans drive branch technology investments
Figure 11: Raiffeisen's branch expansion plans by 2010
Figure 12: Centralization and expansion efforts drive investments in infrastructure
Figure 13: Retail banking technology spending by country through 2013 ($m)
Figure 14: Retail banking technology spending by business function through 2013 ($m)
Figure 15: Centralization efforts drive reduction and re-engineering of existing platforms
Figure 16: Anti-fraud and mobile payments drive technology spending
Figure 17: Expansion efforts drive investments into channel technology
Figure 18: Selected product vendors with footprint in the CEE banking sector
Figure 19: Selected IT services companies active in the CEE banking sector

Abstract

Introduction

The retail banking market in Central and Eastern Europe had been undergoing a rapid transformation, as banks developed new products, services and channels, up to the financial crisis, when the sudden change shifted their priorities. This will modify both short-term and potentially long-term IT strategies and IT investment priorities.

Scope
  • Central and Eastern Europe is defined as the former socialist countries, or socialist republics in Europe that have decided not to join the CIS.
  • This report covers the banking sector that has evolved from the socialist banking system.
Highlights

The recent macroeconomic environment has resulted in increased pressures on driving downward operating income growth, which is leading to the adjustment of the cost base to maintain profitability, and there are many banks which are suffering extensively during the crisis.

More than half (57%) of the respondents from CEE pointed out that the branch was the most important business area for driving the increase in IT spending in the last quarter of 2008.

Reasons to Purchase
  • This research will enable to you to understand changes in IT budgets and how they could impact your customers
  • This research will enable you to understand how evolving business pains will result in demand for specific solutions


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