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Alcohol Consumption in Bars and Restaurants - US

Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.

Published: May. 1, 2009 - 89 Pages


Table of Contents


SCOPE AND THEMES

What you need to know

Definition

Data sources

Consumer survey data

Sales data

Abbreviations and terms

Abbreviations

Terms

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Alcohol sales at bars and restaurants feel pain of recession

Strategies to combat further declines

What consumers are looking for

Budget alcohol brand consumption at home may drive premium brand consumption while out

Who should bars and restaurants target to generate sales with alcohol?

Necessity is the mother of innovation

Bar and restaurant innovations

Beer

Wine

Spirits

COMPETITIVE CONTEXT

Recession depresses bar and restaurant spend, favors at-home consumption

Figure 1: Total U.S. retail sales of alcoholic beverages (packaged liquor, wine and beer), at inflation-adjusted

prices, 2008 and 2009

Figure 2: Total on-premise sales of alcoholic drinks at bars and restaurants, at inflation-adjusted prices, 2008

and 2009

RTD cocktails compete for alcohol dollars

MARKET SIZE AND FORECAST

Key points

Figure 3: Total on-premise sales of alcoholic drinks at bars and restaurants, at current prices, 2003-13

Figure 4: Total on-premise sales of alcoholic drinks at bars and restaurants, at inflation-adjusted prices,

2003-13

Alcohol consumption at home on the rise

While alcohol consumption at bars and restaurants will decrease

MARKET DRIVERS

Restaurant recession continues

Figure 5: Restaurant Performance Index, current situation, and expectations, November 2007-February 2009

Casual and fine dining segments suffer the most

Too much supply and not enough demand

Conversion from on-premises to at-home consumption

“Homedulgence” will increasingly play a role as ennui ensues

Escapism and entertainment value will pull consumers out of the home

RESTAURANT AND BAR ANALYSIS

Most restaurant segments face a gloomy 2009 outlook

Necessity is the mother of innovation

Some restaurants are morphing into gastropubs

Featured Gastropub: Garden At The Cellar, Cambridge, MA

Throwing back cocktails in throwback environs

Featured “Speakeasy”: Bourbon and Branch, San Francisco, CA

This is not your father’s sports bar

Featured Sports Bar: The Agency Ultra Sport Lounge, Portland, OR

Variety is the spice of life, especially when it can be had under one roof

Featured Multi-concept Bar/Restaurant: TIME Restaurant, Philadelphia, PA

INNOVATION AND INNOVATORS

Key points

Casual and fine dining beverage trends

Figure 6: Top 5 alcoholic beverage types, fine/upscale/gourmet dining restaurants, Core Menu, Q1 2007-Q1

2009

Figure 7: Top 5 alcoholic beverage types, casual dining restaurants, Core Menu, Q1 2007-Q1 2009

Innovations by alcohol type

Beer

Wine

Spirits

CONSUMER BEVERAGE CONSUMPTION: AN OVERVIEW

Key points

Alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverage consumption, by location

Figure 8: “All” beverage consumption, by beverage type, at home, bars, and restaurants, December 2008

Alcoholic beverage consumption at bars and restaurants

Perception may deter consumption on premises

Figure 9: Alcoholic beverage consumption, by beverage type, at home, bars, and restaurants, December 2008

Alcohol consumption at bars

Men are more likely than women to consume alcohol at bars

Figure 10: Alcoholic beverage consumption, by beverage type, at bars, by gender, December 2008

Older age deters likelihood of consumption at bars

Figure 11: Alcoholic beverage consumption, by beverage type, at bars, by age, December 2008

Bars frequented by consumers earning $50K-75K annually

Figure 12: Alcoholic beverage consumption, by beverage type, at bars, by HH income, December 2008

Alcoholic beverage consumption at restaurants

Restaurant atmosphere may drive alcohol choices for men and women

Figure 13: Alcoholic beverage consumption, by beverage type, at restaurants, by gender, December 2008

Age matters less with consumption at restaurants versus bars

Figure 14: Alcoholic beverage consumption, by beverage type, at restaurants, by age, December 2008

Affluent respondents prefer restaurants to bars

Figure 15: Alcoholic beverage consumption, by beverage type, at restaurants, by HH income, December 2008

ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGE DECISION-MAKING PROCESS

Key points

Overview

Figure 16: Alcoholic beverage decision-making process, at bars and restaurants, December 2008

Alcoholic beverage decision-making process at bars

Men and women act stereotypically at bars

Figure 17: Alcoholic beverage decision-making process at bars, by gender, December 2008

Youth drives experimentation at bars

Figure 18: Alcoholic beverage decision-making process at bars, by age, December 2008

Alcoholic beverage decision-making process at restaurants

Men are more open than women to recommendations at restaurants

Figure 19: Alcoholic beverage decision-making process at restaurants, by gender, December 2008

Wait staff should target under-35s with recommendations

Figure 20: Alcoholic beverage decision-making process at restaurants, by age, December 2008

Affluence brings confidence to the dining table

Figure 21: Alcoholic beverage decision-making process at restaurants, by HH income, December 2008

ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGE SPEND AT BARS AND RESTAURANTS

Key points

Figure 22: Alcoholic beverage spend per week, at bars and restaurants, December 2008

Alcohol spend at bars

More men spend more money in bars in part because of the DIY bar mentality

Figure 23: Alcoholic beverage spend per week, at bars, by gender, December 2008

Nearly half of respondents aged 21-34 spend $16-45 per week in bars

Figure 24: Alcoholic beverage spend per week, at bars, by age, December 2008

Respondents with mid-range incomes are the most likely to spend up to $30 per week in bars

Figure 25: Alcoholic beverage spend per week, at bars, by HH income, December 2008

Alcohol spend at restaurants

Bad news for restaurants; respondents are more likely to spend less weekly on alcohol

Figure 26: Alcoholic beverage spend per week, at restaurants, by gender, December 2008

Mortality and/or specific health concerns likely limit spend for older respondents

Figure 27: Alcoholic beverage spend per week, at restaurants, by age, December 2008

Target the low spenders

Figure 28: Alcoholic beverage spend per week, at restaurants, by HH income, December 2008

ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGE SPENDING TRENDS

Key points

Alcoholic beverage spending at bars and restaurants compared to last year

85% of respondents are drinking less or the same amount of alcohol in bars/restaurants

Figure 29: Alcoholic beverage spending compared to last year, December 2008

Older drinkers are more likely to be maintaining drinking routines at bars/restaurants

Figure 30: Alcoholic beverage spending compared to last year, by age, December 2008

All income segments are showing signs of scaling back or restraint with consumption

Rationales for spending less on alcoholic beverages

Two in three respondents cite budget concerns as primary reasoning for reduced consumption in

bars/restaurants

Figure 32: Rationales for spending less on alcoholic beverages, December 2008

Health and body image deter spend for men and women, respectively

Figure 33: Rationales for spending less on alcoholic beverages, by gender, December 2008

ATTITUDES TOWARD ALCOHOLIC DRINKS AND BARS

Key points

Overview

Bars appeal to those seeking food and informal fun

Figure 34: Attitudes toward alcoholic drinks and bars, December 2008

Disinterested Gen-Xers may be enticed to order another drink if food is offered

Figure 35: Attitudes toward alcoholic drinks and bars, by age, December 2008

High-income respondents are the most likely to engage in bar life

Figure 36: Attitudes toward alcoholic drinks and bars, by HH income, December 2008

BAR SOCIALIZATION FACTORS

Key points

Overview

Figure 37: Bar socialization factors, December 2008

Males are more open to the variety of social occasions that bars offer

Figure 38: Bar socialization factors, by gender, December 2008

Bar usage comes full circle as young and old seek the same thing

Figure 39: Bar socialization factors, by age, December 2008

Higher HH incomes shift bar usage priorities only slightly

Figure 40: Bar socialization factors, by HH income, December 2008

ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGE LOYALTY

Key points

A small roster of favorite brands is ideal for most people

Figure 41: Alcoholic beverage loyalty, December 2008

Brand loyalty very much a male inclination

Figure 42: Alcoholic beverage loyalty, by gender, December 2008

Experimentation a product of age…to some degree

Figure 43: Alcoholic beverage loyalty, by age, December 2008

Affluence doesn’t play a significant role in brand loyalty or experimentation

Figure 44: Alcoholic beverage loyalty, by HH income, December 2008

ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGE ADVENTUROUSNESS

Key points

Experimentation is more likely across drink types than it is across brands

Figure 45: Alcoholic beverage adventurousness, December 2008

Males exhibit know-how and confidence with drink selection

Figure 46: Alcoholic beverage adventurousness, by gender, December 2008

ATTITUDES TOWARD ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES

Key points

Caution rules the day

Figure 47: Attitudes toward alcoholic beverages, December 2008

Image-consciousness is different for men and women

Figure 48: Attitudes toward alcoholic beverages, by gender, December 2008

Youth inspires experimentation and vanity

Figure 49: Attitudes toward alcoholic beverages, by age, December 2008

Image is more important to the wealthy

Figure 50: Attitudes toward alcoholic beverages, by HH income, December 2008

COCKTAILS

Key points

Overview

Figure 51: Usage and interest in trying cocktails, by flavor, December 2008

Interest in mango

Figure 52: Usage and interest in trying mango-flavored cocktails, by gender and age, December 2008

Flavor analysis by gender

Top flavors that males and females have tried

Top flavors that males and females indicate they’d like to try

Top flavors that males and females indicate they don’t plan to try

Figure 53: Usage and interest in trying flavored cocktails, by gender, December 2008

Flavor analysis by age

Young respondents (aged 21-34) the most likely to try flavor varieties

Curiosity with untried flavors isn’t entirely a youthful phenomenon

Older respondents not likely to try flavored cocktails

Figure 54: Usage and interest in trying flavored cocktails, by age, December 2008

APPENDIX: OTHER USEFUL CONSUMER TABLES

Figure 55: Alcoholic beverage spending compared to last year, by gender, December 2008

Figure 56: Attitudes toward alcoholic drinks and bars, by gender, December 2008

Figure 57: Alcoholic beverage adventurousness, by age, December 2008

Figure 58: Alcoholic beverage adventurousness, by HH income, December 2008

APPENDIX: TRADE ASSOCIATIONS

Abstract

Consumers, particularly young people and women, may prefer bars/restaurants where detailed drink menus and knowledgeable wait staff and bartenders guide their purchase decisions, leading to increased likelihood of alcohol consumption, and possibly greater likelihood of premium variants.

Creativity in the marketplace, both at bars and restaurants, is critical to getting customers in the door, and ultimately to driving alcohol consumption.

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