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2008-2009 China Feed Market Review & Outlook

Published by: Beijing Orient Agribusiness Consultant Ltd.

Published: Mar. 1, 2009 - 90 Pages


Table of Contents


1 External Environment

1.1 Macro Economic and its Effect

1.2 Feed Legislation and Effects

1.3 Grain Production and Effects

1.4 Farm Size and Effects

1.5 Grain Processing Policy and Effects

2 Production & Consumption

2.1 Global Production

2.2 China Feedmill Structure

2.2.1 Structure by Enterprise Type
2.2.2 Structure by Product Type

2.2.3 Structure by Capacity of Complete Feed Producers

2.3 China Feed Demand
2.3.1 Effects of Livestock Inventory
2.3.2 Effects of Feed Price

2.3.3 Farm Size and Effects

2.3.4 Commercial Feed Market Volume and Effects

2.4 Melamine Accidents and Effects
2.4.1 Melamine Milk and Effects
2.4.2 Melamine Egg and Effects

2.5 China Feed Supply
2.5.1 Feedmill Capacity
2.5.2 Feed Production

2.5.3 Feed Production of Large Feed Groups

2.5.4 Feed Production of Scaled Feedmills

2.6 Profiting of Feedmills
2.6.1 Profiting by Animals
2.6.2 Direct Sale and Effects

2.7 China Feed Supply & Demand
2.7.1 Total Supply & Demand
2.7.2 Supply & Demand of Hog Feed

2.7.3 Supply & Demand of Meat-type Poultry Feed

2.7.4 Supply & Demand of Egg-type Poultry Feed

2.7.5 Supply & Demand of Aquafeed

2.7.6 Supply & Demand of Ruminant Feed

2.8 Supply & Demand in 2009
3 Feedstuff Consumption

3.1 Total Feedstuff Consumption

3.2 Feedstuff Consumption of Complete Feed

3.3 Feedstuff Consumption of Farm-mixed Feed

3.3.1 Feedstuff Consumption Mixed with Concentrates

3.3.2 Feedstuff Consumption Mixed with Pre-mixes

3.4 Feedstuff Consumption of Hog Feed

3.5 Feedstuff Consumption of Meat-type Poultry Feed

3.6 Feedstuff Consumption of Egg -type Poultry Feed

3.7 Feedstuff Consumption of Aquaculture

3.8 Feedstuff Consumption of 2009

4 China Corn Market

4.1 Global Market

4.2 China Corn Supply

4.3 China Corn Demand for Feed Use

4.3.1 Demand and Price
4.3.2 Substitution of Other Feedstuffs

4.4 Consumption Structure of Corn for Feed Use
4.4.1 Structure by Complete Feed & Farm-mixed Feed
4.4.2 Structure by Animal Feed Type

4.5 China Corn Demand for Feed Use in 2009
5 China Soymeal Market

5.1 Global Market

5.2 China Soybean Supply

5.2.1 Domestic Supply
5.2.2 Imports

5.3 Soymeal Demand
5.3.1 Demand and Price
5.3.2 Substitution of Other Feedstuffs

5.4 Consumption Structure of Soymeal
5.4.1 Structure by Manufactured Feed & Farm-mixed Feed
5.4.2 Structure by Animal Feed Type

5.5 China Soymeal Market in 2009
6 China Fishmeal Market

6.1 Global Market

6.2 China Fishmeal Supply

6.2.1 Domestic Supply
6.2.2 Imports

6.3 China Fishmeal Demand
6.3.1 Demand and Price
6.3.2 Substitution of Other Feedstuffs

6.4 Consumption Structure of Fishmeal
6.4.1 Structure by Manufactured Feed & Farm-mixed Feed
6.4.2 Structure by Animal Feed Type

6.5 China Fishmeal Market in 2009
7 China Meat & Bone Meal Market

7.1 China Meat & Bone Meal Supply

7.1.1 Domestic Supply
7.1.2 Imports

7.2 China Meat & Bone Meal Demand
7.3 Consumption Structure of Meat & Bone Meal

7.3.1 Structure by Manufactured Feed & Farm-mixed Feed
7.3.2 Structure by Animal Feed Type

7.4 China Meat & Bone Meal Market in 2009

8 China Lysine Market

8.1 Global Market

8.2 China Lysine Supply

8.2.1 Main Producers
8.2.2 Supply of 98.5“ Lysine

8.2.3 Supply of 65“ Lysine

8.2.4 Imports

8.3 China Lysine Demand
8.4 Consumption Structure of Lysine

8.4.1 Structure by 98.5“ and 65“ Lysine
8.4.2 Structure by Domestic Consumption and Exports

8.5 China Lysine Market in 2009
9 China Methionine Market

9.1 Global Market

9.2 China Methionine Supply

9.2.1 Domestic Supply
9.2.2 Imports

9.3 China Methinoine Demand
9.4 China Methionine Demand in 2008


Figures & Tables

Fig 1, Global Manufactured Feed Output, 2000-2008

Fig 2, Scale Structure of Hog Slaughtering, 2001-2008

Fig 3, China Broiler Crop Structure by Farm, 2000-2008

Fig 4, Structure of Scales of Layer Farming, 2000- 2008

Fig 5, China Manufactured Feed Output, 2000-2008

Fig 6, Manufactured Feed Output of Large Feedmills and All Feedmills in China, 2001-2008

Fig 7, China Retail Prices of Complete Feed of Hog, Broiler and Layer, 2000-2008

Fig 8, Profits of Production of Complete Feed of Hog, Broiler and Layer, 2006-2008

Fig 9, China Manufactured Feed Output, 2007-2009

Fig 10, Total Feedstuff Consumption of China, 2007-2008

Fig 11, Structure of Total Feedstuff Consumption in China, 2008

Fig 12, Feedstuff Consumption by Complete Feed Production in China, 2007-2008

Fig 13, Structure of Feedstuff Consumption by Complete Feed Production in China, 2008

Fig 14, Feedstuff Consumption by Self-mixed Feed Using Concentrates in China, 2007-2008

Fig 15, Feedstuff Consumption Structure by Self-mixed Feed Using Concentrates in China, 2008

Fig 16, Feedstuff Consumption by Self-mixed Feed Using Pre-mix in China, 2007-2008

Fig 17, Feedstuff Consumption Structure by Self-mixed Feed Using Pre-mix in China, 2008

Fig 18, China Feedstuff Consumption Structure of Hog Feed, 2008

Fig 19, China Feedstuff Consumption Structure of Meat-type Poultry Feed, 2008

Fig 20, China Feedstuff Consumption Structure of Egg-type Poultry Feed, 2008

Fig 21, China Feedstuff Consumption Structure of Aquafeed, 2008

Fig 22, China Corn Output, 2000-2008

Fig 23, China Corn Volume Used in Feed Production and Corn Retail Price, 2000-2008

Fig 24, China Corn Volume Used in Complete Feed Production and Self-mixed Feed, 2006-2008

Fig 25, China Corn Volume Used in Feed Production by Animals, 2006-2008

Fig 26, China Soybean Output & Import, 2000-2008

Fig 27, China Soybean Meal Used in Feed Production and Soybean Meal Retail Price, 2000-2008

Fig 28, China Soybean Meal Used in Complete Feed Production and Self-mixed Feed, 2006-2008

Fig 29, China Soybean Meal Used in Feed Production by Animals, 2006-2008

Fig 30, Global Fishmeal Output, 2000-2008

Fig 31, China Fishmeal Output, 2000-2008

Fig 32, China Fishmeal Production by Regions, 2008

Fig 33, China Fishmeal Output & Import, 2000-2008

Fig 34, China Fishmeal Used in Feed Production and Fishmeal Retail Price, 2000-2008

Fig 35, China Fishmeal Used in Complete Feed Production and Self-mixed Feed, 2006-2008

Fig 36, China Fishmeal Used in Feed Production by Animals, 2006-2008

Fig 37, China Meat & Bone Meal Output, 2000-2008

Fig 38, China Meat & Bone Meal Used in Complete Feed Production and Self-mixed Feed, 2006-2008

Fig 39, China Meat & Bone Meal Used in Feed Production by Animals, 2006-2008

Fig 40, China Lysine Output, 2000-2008

Fig 41, China Lysine Production by Regions, 2008

Fig 42, China Lysine Production by Companies, 2008

Fig 43, China Output of 98.5% & 65% Lysine, 2000-2008

Fig 44, China Lysine Import & Export, 2000-2008

Fig 45, China 98.5% Lysine Consumption and Wholesale Price, 2002-2008

Fig 46, China Domestic Lysine Consumption & Export (converted into 98.5% lysine), 2000-2008

Fig 47, China Methioinine Import, 2000-2008

Fig 48, China Methionine Consumption and Wholesale Price, 2000-2008

Table 1, China Manufactured Feed Output by Provinces, 2008

Table 2, China Monthly Compound Feed Output by Scaled Feedmills, 2001-2008

Table 3, China Complete Feed Output by Provinces, 2000-2008

Table 4, China Hog Complete Feed Output by Provinces, 2000-2008

Table 5, China Egg-type Poultry Complete Feed Output by Provinces, 2000-20208

Table 6, China Meat-type Poultry Complete Feed Output by Provinces,2000-2008

Table 7, China Aquaculture Complete Feed Output by Provinces, 2000-2008

Table 8, China Ruminant Complete Feed Output by Provinces, 2000-2008

Table 9, China Complete Feed Output of Other Animals by Provinces,2000-2008

Table 10, China Concentrate Output by Provinces, 2000-2008

Table 11, China Premix Output by Provinces, 2000-2008

Table 12, China Feed and Feedstuff Retail Prices in 2008

Table 13, China Corn Export by Destinations in 2008

Table 14, China Corn Import by Sources in 2008

Table 15, China Soybean Meal Export by Destinations in 2008

Table 16, China Sopybean Meal Import by Sources in 2008

Table 17, China Fishmeal Output by Regions, 2000-2008

Table 18, China Fishmeal Import by Sources in 2008

Table 19, China Fishmeal Supply & Demand Balance Sheet, 2000-2008

Table 20, China Meat & Bone Meal Output by Regions, 2000-2008

Table 21, China Meat & Bone Meal Import by Sources in 2008

Table 22, China Meat & Bone Meal Import by Sources in 2008

Table 23, China Meat & Bone Meal Supply & Demand Balance Sheet, 2000-2008

Table 24, China Lysine Output by Regions, 2000-2008

Table 25, China Lysine Import by Sources in 2008

Table 26, China Lysine Export by Destinations in 2008

Table 27, China Lysine Easter & Slats Import by Sources in 2008

Table 28, China Lysine Easter & Slats Export by Destinations in 2008

Table 29, China Lysine Supply & Demand Balance Sheet, 2000-2008

Table 30, China Methionine Import by Sources in 2008

Table 31, China Methionine Supply & Demand Balance Sheet, 2000-2008




































































































































































































































































































































Abstract

In 2008 China feed industry got great pressure from flat demand and waved feedstuff cost, causing large numbers of moderate and small scaled enterprises stopping production. And China breeding industry made losses in the second half year, so the whole industry is deteriorating.

In the external environment, labor cost increases among feed producers after the implementation of Labor Laws; low demand for livestock and meat products led to drowsy conditions in the whole industry chain. Meanwhile, extended scale of breeding houses severely weakened pricing capability, but it is favorable for the development of large-scaled feed producers. The market share of commercial feed is shrinking, especially in hog feed market, after slaughtering houses entering this industry and emerged integrating groups.

In the internal environment, some top feed companies have postponed listing in the stock market influenced by macro-economy. In the second half year, numbers of feed producers slowed down growing subject to short capital, but some large-scaled enterprises keep growing under foreign investment. The government strengthened the examination of feed producers after the Melamine Scandal, and some companies are disqualified.

It is predicted that demand for livestock products will keep low level in 2009, accordingly, feed industry will face great pressure. Therefore, the cost of feed stuff will be the key in next year’s feed industry development.

BOABC will review the industry growth in 2008 and forecast for 2009 based on macro-economy, feed stuff market and breeding industry.

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