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Published by: Beijing Orient Agribusiness Consultant Ltd.
Published: Feb. 1, 2009 - 149 Pages
Table of Contents
- Chapter One: Macro-Economy & Fertilizer Industry’s Development
- 1.1 China’s Economic Situation
- 1.1.1 China’s National Macro-Economy in 2008 & Economic Trend in 2009
- 1.1.2 Fulfillment of China’s Economic Objectives in 2008
- Table1.1, Fulfillment of Objectives Set for 2006-2008
- 1.1.3 Fulfillment of Agricultural Objectives in 2008
- Table1.2, Fulfillment of Major Farm Product Supply Objectives Set in 2006-2008
- 1.1.4 Fulfillment of Objectives in Chemical Industry
- Table1.3, Fulfillment of Major Chemical Product Supply Objectives Set in 2006-2008
- 1.1.5 Fulfillment of Objectives in Fertilizer Industry
- Table1.4, Fulfillment of Fertilizer Objectives Set for 2006-2008
- 1.2 Impact of Agricultural Policies on Fertilizer Industry
- 1.2.1 Impact of State Grain Development Plan (2008 ~ 2020) on Fertilizer Market
- 1.2.2 Impact of Agricultural Subsidy on Fertilizer
- 1.2.3 Impact of Other Agricultural Policies on Fertilizer Market
- 1.3 Impact of Resource Policy on Fertilizer Production
- 1.3.1 Coal Policy Trend & Its Impact on Fertilizer Industry
- 1.3.2 Natural Gas Policy Trend & Its Impact on Fertilizer Industry
- 1.3.3 Mineral Resource Policy Trend & Its Impact on Fertilizer Industry
- 1.4 Readjustment of Fuel Policy & Its Impact on Fertilizer Distribution
- 1.5 Readjustment of Financial Policy & Its Impact on Fertilizer Industry’s Development
- 1.6 Impact of International Financial Crisis on China’s Fertilizer Market
- 1.7 Fixed Assets Investment in China’s Fertilizer Industry
- 1.7.1 Investment in the Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry
- Table1.5, Investment in the Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry, 2005-2008
- 1.7.2 Investment in Phosphate fertilizer Industry
- Table1.6, Investment in the Phosphate Fertilizer Industry, 2005-2008
- 1.7.3 Investment in Potash fertilizer Industry
- Table1.7, Investment in the Potash Fertilizer Industry, 2005-2008
- 1.7.4 Investment in Compound Fertilizer Industry
- Table1.8, Investment in the Compound Fertilizer Industry, 2005-2008
- 1.8 Analysis of Fertilizer Industry’s Competitiveness
- 1.8.1 Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry’s Competitiveness
- Table1.9, Competitiveness index of Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry
- 1.8.2 Phosphate Fertilizer Industry’s Competitiveness
- Table1.10, Competitiveness index of Phosphate Fertilizer Industry
- 1.8.3 Potash fertilizer Industry’s Competitiveness
- Table1.11, Competitiveness index of Potash Fertilizer Industry
- 1.8.4 Compound Fertilizer Industry’s Competitiveness
- Table1.12, Competitiveness index of Compound Fertilizer Industry
- 1.9 Changes in Fertilizer Product-Mix in 2008
- Figure1.1 Proportion of China Fertilizer Production
- 1.10 Development of Fertilizer Distribution System
- 1.10.1 Overview of Fertilizer Distribution
- 1.10.2 Development of Farm Material Chain-Store Operation
- 1.10.3 Sinofert’s Marketing Network
- 1.10.4 China Farm Supply Group’s Marketing Network
- 1.10.5 Postal Farm Material Distribution
- 1.10.6 Foreign Enterprises’ Fertilizer Distribution in China
- Chapter Two: Review & Outlook of Fertilizer Market in 2008-2009
- 2.1 Market Review for 2008
- 2.1.1 Analysis of Fertilizer Industry’s Boom Index in 2008
- Table2.1, Economic Indicators of Fertilizer Industry in 2008
- Figure2.1, Profit margin of chemical fertilizer manufacture
- 2.1.2 Fertilizer Market Trend in 2008
- 2.1.3 Impact of International Fertilizer Price on Chinese Market
- Figure2.2, International Fertilizer Prices
- 2.1.4 Impact of Fertilizer Export Tax on Domestic Fertilizer Market
- Figure2.3, Duty Rate for China’s Exported Fertilizer, 2007-2008
- 2.1.5 Analysis of Fertilizer Input/Yields in Crop Farming
- Figure2.4, Returns from Major Crops in China
- Figure2.5, Grain/Fertilizer Price Ratio
- 2.1.6 Fertilizer Production in 2008
- Figure2.6, Monthly Total Fertilizer Production
- 2.1.7 Fertilizer Imports & Exports in 2008
- Figure2.7 China Fertilizer Net Imports
- Figure2.8, Proportion of China Fertilizer Imports, 2007
- Figure2.9, Proportion of China Fertilizer Imports, 2008
- Figure2.10, Proportion of China Fertilizer Exports, 2008
- Figure2.11, Proportion of China Fertilizer Exports, 2008
- 2.1.8 Fertilizer Consumption in 2008
- 2.1.9 Fertilizer Price Trend in 2008
- Figure2.12, Producer’s Prices of Fertilizers, 2006-2008
- Figure2.13, Retail Prices of Fertilizers, 1997-2008
- 2.2 Outlook of Fertilizer Market in 2009
- 2.2.1 Outlook of Fertilizer Market Trend in 2009
- 2.2.2 Estimates of Fertilizer Input/Yields in Crop Farming in 2009
- 2.2.3 Fertilizer Import Quotas & Import Agents in 2009
- Table2.2, Preferential Tariff Rate Fertilizer Import Quotas for 2009
- 2.2.4 Fertilizer Import & Export Tax Policy for 2009
- Figure2.14, Duty Rate for China’s Exported Fertilizer, 2008-2009
- 2.2.5 Government’s Fertilizer Market Policy Orientation in 2009
- 2.2.5.1 Policy on Investment in Fertilizer Industry
- 2.2.5.2 Tax Policy & Preferential Treatment Policy
- 2.2.5.3 Policy for Fertilizer Reserve during Off-Season of Consumption
- 2.2.5.4 Fertilizer Import & Export Policy in 2009
- 2.2.5.5 Fertilizer Price Policy
- 2.2.5.6 Environmental Protection Policy
- 2.2.6 Estimates of Fertilizer Production in 2009
- 2.2.7 Estimates of Fertilizer Imports & Exports in 2009
- 2.2.8 Estimates of Fertilizer Consumption in 2009
- Chapter Three: Review & Outlook of Nitrogen Fertilizer Market in 2008-2009
- 3.1 Review of Nitrogen fertilizer Market in 2008
- 3.1.1 Analysis of Nitrogen fertilizer Industry’s Boom Index in 2008
- Table3.1, Economic Indicators of Nitrogenous Fertilizer Industry in 2007
- Figure3.1, Profit margin of Nitrogenous Fertilizer Industry
- 3.1.2 Nitrogen fertilizer Industry’s Cost & Profit
- Table3.2, Production Cost of Urea
- 3.1.3 Analysis of Nitrogen fertilizer Market in 2008
- 3.1.4 Nitrogen fertilizer Production in 2008
- Figure3.2, Monthly Nitrogen Fertilizer Production
- Figure3.3, Proportion of Nitrogen Fertilizer Production, 2007
- Figure3.4, Proportion of Nitrogen Fertilizer Production, 2008
- 3.1.5 Nitrogen fertilizer Imports & Exports in 2008
- Figure3.5, Monthly Urea Exports
- 3.1.6 Nitrogen fertilizer Consumption in 2008
- 3.1.7 Review of Urea Market in 2008
- 3.1.7.1 Analysis of Urea Market in 2008
- 3.1.7.2 Urea Production in 2008
- Figure3.6, Monthly Urea Production
- 3.1.7.3 Urea Consumption in 2008
- 3.1.7.4 Urea Price Trend in 2008
- 3.1.7.4 Urea market trend
- Figure3.7, China Urea Monthly Retail Prices
- 3.1.8 ABC Market in 2008
- 3.1.8.1 ABC Production in 2008
- 3.1.8.2 ABC Consumption in 2008
- 3.1.8.3 ABC Price Trend in 2008
- Figure3.8, China ABC Monthly Retail Prices
- 3.2 Outlook of Nitrogen fertilizer Market in 2009
- 3.2.1 Potential Increase in Nitrogen fertilizer Productive Capacity in 2009
- 3.2.2 Outlook of Nitrogen fertilizer Market in 2009
- 3.2.3 Outlook of Urea Market in 2009
- 3.2.4 Impact of Customs Tariff on Urea Exports
- Figure3.9, Duty Rate for China’s Exported Urea,2007-2009
- 3.2.5 Outlook of Coal Supply & Natural Gas Supply to Urea Industry
- 3.2.6 Estimates of Nitrogen fertilizer production in 2009
- 3.2.7 Estimates of Nitrogen fertilizer Imports & Exports in 2009
- 3.2.8 Estimates of Nitrogen fertilizer Consumption in 2009
- Chapter Four: Review and Outlook of Phosphate Fertilizer Market 2008-2009
- 4.1 Review of Phosphate Fertilizer Market in 2008
- 4.1.1 Analysis of Phosphate Industry’s Boom Index in 2008
- Table4.1, Operation Performance of the Phosphate Fertilizer Industry in 2008
- Figure4.1, Profit Margin of Phosphate Fertilizer Industry
- 4.1.2 Phosphate Industry’s Cost & Profit in 2008
- Table4.2, Production Cost of SSP
- 4.1.3 Analysis of Phosphate Market in 2008
- 4.1.4 Phosphate Production in 2008
- Figure4.2, Monthly Phosphate Fertilizer Production
- Figure4.3, Proportion of Phosphate Fertilizer Production, 2008
- Figure4.4, Proportion of Phosphate Fertilizer Production, 2007
- 4.1.5 Phosphate Imports & Exports in 2008
- Figure4.5, Monthly TSP Exports
- Figure4.6, Monthly SSP Exports
- 4.1.6 Phosphate Consumption in 2008
- 4.1.7 Phosphate Price Trend in 2008
- Figure4.7, China SSP Monthly Retail Prices
- 4.2 Outlook of Phosphate Fertilizer Market in 2009
- 4.2.1 Outlook of Phosphate Market Trend in 2009
- 4.2.2 Outlook of Phosphate Raw Material Supply in 2009
- 4.2.3 Estimates of Phosphate Production in 2009
- 4.2.4 Estimates of Phosphate Imports & Exports in 2009
- Figure4.8, Duty Rate for China’s Exported TSP, 2008-2009
- Figure4.9, Duty Rate for China’s Exported SSP, 2008-2009
- 4.2.5 Estimates of Phosphate Consumption in 2009
- Chapter Five: Review and Outlook of Potash fertilizer Market 2008-2009
- 5.1.1 Analysis of Potash fertilizer Industry’s Boom Index in 2008
- Table5.1, Operation Performance of the Potash Fertilizer Industry in 2006
- Figure5.1, Profit Margin of Potash Industry
- 5.1.2 Potash fertilizer Industry’s Production Cost & Profit in 2008
- Table5.2, Production Cost of K-fertilizer
- 5.1.3 Potash fertilizer Production by Qinghai Salt Lake Potash fertilizer Corp.
- 5.1.4 Potash fertilizer Production by Xinjiang Lop Nor Potash Fertilizer Co., Ltd.
- 5.1.5 Progress of Other Potash fertilizer Projects
- 5.1.6 Analysis of Potash fertilizer Market in 2008
- 5.1.7 Potash fertilizer Production in 2008
- Figure5.2, Monthly Potash fertilizer Production
- 5.1.8 Potash fertilizer Imports & Exports in 2008
- Figure5.3, Monthly MOP Imports
- Figure5.4, Monthly SOP Imports
- 5.1.9 Potash fertilizer Consumption in 2008
- 5.1.10 Potash fertilizer Price Trend in 2008
- Figure5.5, China MOP Monthly Retail Prices
- Figure5.6, SOP Monthly Retail Prices
- Figure5.7, China Imported MOP(red) Prices At Ports
- Figure5.8, China Imported MOP(white) Prices At Ports
- 5.2 Outlook of Potash fertilizer Market in 2009
- 5.2.1 Estimates of Potash fertilizer Productive Capacity in 2009
- 5.2.2 Estimates of Potash fertilizer Market Trend in 2009
- 5.2.3 Estimates of Potash fertilizer Production in 2009
- 5.2.4 Outlook of Potash fertilizer Import Negotiations in 2009
- 5.2.5 Estimates of Potash fertilizer Imports & Exports in 2009
- 5.2.6 Estimates of Potash fertilizer Consumption in 2009
- Chapter Six: Review and Outlook of Compound Fertilizer Market 2008-2009
- 6.1 Review of Compound Fertilizer Market in 2008
- 6.1.1 Analysis of Compound Fertilizer Industry’s Boom Index in 2008
- Table6.1, Operation Performance of Compound Fertilizer Industry in 2008
- Figure6.1, Profit Margin of Compound Fertilizer Industry
- 6.1.2 The Compound Fertilizer Industry’s Cost & Yields in 2008
- Table6.2, Production Cost of Compound Fertilizer
- 6.1.3 Impact of Sulfur Imports on Compound Fertilizer Market in 2008
- 6.1.4 Analysis of Compound Fertilizer Market Trend in 2008
- 6.1.5 Compound Fertilizer Production in 2008
- Figure6.2, Monthly DAP Production
- 6.1.6 Compound Fertilizer Imports & Exports in 2008
- Figure6.3, Monthly DAP Imports
- Figure6.4, Monthly DAP Exports
- Figure6.5, Monthly MAP Exports
- Figure6.6, Monthly Complex Fertilizer (NPK) Imports
- Figure6.7, Monthly Complex Fertilizer (NPK) Exports
- 6.1.7 Compound Fertilizer Consumption in 2008
- 6.1.8 NPK, DAP & MAP Price Trend in 2008
- Figure6.8, China DAP Monthly Retail Prices
- Figure6.9, China NPK Monthly Retail Prices
- Figure6.10, China Imports DAP Prices at Ports
- Figure6.11, China Imported NPK Prices at Ports
- 6.2 Outlook of Compound Fertilizer Market in 2009
- 6.2.1 Estimates of Compound Fertilizer Industry’s Capacity Expansion in 2009
- 6.2.2 Outlook of Compound Fertilizer Market Trend in 2009
- 6.2.3 Readjustment of Compound Fertilizer Export Tax & Its Impact on Compound Fertilizer Market in 2009
- Figure6.12, Duty Rate for China’s Exported DAP, 2007-2009
- Figure6.13, Duty Rate for China’s Exported MAP, 2008-2009
- Figure6.14, Duty Rate for China’s Exported NPK, 2008-2009
- 6.2.4 Estimates of Compound Fertilizer Production in 2009
- 6.2.5 Estimates of Compound Fertilizer Imports & Exports in 2009
- 6.2.5.1 Estimates of DAP & MAP Imports & Exports
- 6.2.5.2 Estimates of NPK Imports & Exports
- 6.2.6 Estimates of Compound Fertilizer Consumption in 2009
- Chapter Seven: Review and Outlook of Related Industries 2008-2009
- 7.1. Review & Outlook of Synthetic Ammonia Market in 2008 ~ 2009
- 7.1.1 Coal & Natural Gas Supply in 2008
- 7.1.2 Synthetic Ammonia Production in 2008
- Figure7.1, Monthly Ammonium Production
- 7.1.3 Synthetic Ammonia Imports & Exports in 2008
- 7.1.4 Synthetic Ammonia Price Trend in 2008
- 7.1.5 Estimates of Synthetic Ammonia Production in 2009
- 7.1.6 Estimates of Synthetic Ammonia Imports & Exports in 2009
- 7.2 Review & Outlook of Phosphorite Market in 2008 ~ 2009
- 7.2.1 Analysis of Phosphorite Supply in 2008
- 7.2.2 Phosphorite Production in 2008
- Figure7.2, Monthly Phosphorite Production
- 7.2.3 Phosphorite Imports & Exports in 2008
- Figure7.3, Monthly Phosphorite Exports
- 7.2.4 Phosphorite Price Trend in 2008
- 7.2.5 Estimates of Phosphorite Production in 2009
- 7.2.6 Estimates of Phosphorite Imports & Exports in 2009
- 7.3 Review & Outlook of Sulfur & Sulfuric Acid Market in 2008 ~ 2009
- 7.3.1 Analysis of Sulfur & Sulfuric Acid Supply in 2008
- 7.3.2 Sulfur & Sulfuric Acid Production in 2008
- Figure7.4, Monthly Sulphric Acid Production
- 7.3.3 Pyrites Production in 2008
- 7.3.4 Sulfur & Sulfuric Acid Imports & Exports in 2008
- Figure7.5, Monthly Sulfur Imports
- 7.3.5 Price Trend of Sulfur, Sulfuric Acid & Pyrites in 2008
- 7.3.6 Estimates of Sulfur & Sulfuric acid Production in 2009
- 7.3.7 Estimates of Pyrites Production in 2009
- 7.3.8 Estimates of Sulfur & Sulfuric Acid Imports in 2009
- 7.4 Review & Outlook of Phosphoric Acid in 2008 ~ 2009
- 7.4.1 Phosphoric Acid Production in 2008
- 7.4.2 Phosphoric Acid Imports & Exports in 2008
- 7.4.3 Estimates of Phosphoric Acid Production in 2009
- 7.4.4 Estimates of Phosphoric Acid Imports & Exports in 2009
- APPENDIX Table
- Chemical Fertilizer
- Table1, Chemical Fertilizer Balance Sheet, 2004-2009
- Table2, Import by Major Chemical Fertilizer Products, 2004-2008
- Table3, Exports by Major Chemical Fertilizer Products, 2004-2008
- Table4, Chemical Fertilizer Production, 2004-2008
- Table5, Chemical Fertilizer Consumption, 2004-2008
- N-Fertilizer
- Table6, N-Fertilizer Balance Sheet, 2004-2009
- Table7, Balance Sheet of Urea in China, 2004-2009
- Table8, N-Fertilizer Production by Variety, 2004-2008
- Table9, N-Fertilizer Production, 2004-2008
- Table10, N-Fertilizer Consumption, 2004-2008
- Table11, China’s Urea Imports by Country Original, 2004-2008
- Table12, China’s Urea Exports by Destination Country, 2004-2008
- Table13, Urea Imports by Customs, 2004-2008
- Table14, China’s Urea Exports by Customs, 2004-2008
- Table15, China’s Urea Imports by Provinces, 2004-2008
- Table16, China’s Urea Exports by Provinces, 2004-2008
- P-Fertilizer
- Table17, P-Fertilizers Balance Sheet, 2004-2009
- Table18, P-Fertilizer Production by Variety, 2004-2008
- Table19, P-Fertilizer Production, 2004-2008
- Table20, P-Fertilizer Consumption, 2004-2008
- K-Fertilizer
- Table21, K-Fertilizers Balance Sheet, 2004-2009
- Table22, K-Fertilizer Production by Variety, 2004-2008
- Table23, K-Fertilizer Production, 2004-2008
- Table24, K-Fertilizer Consumption, 2004-2008
- Table25, China’s MOP Imports by Country Original, 2004-2008
- Table26, China’s MOP Exports by Destination Country, 2004-2008
- Table27, MOP Imports by Customs, 2004-2008
- Table28, China’s MOP Exports by Customs, 2004-2008
- Table29, MOP Imports by Provinces, 2004-2008
- Table30, China’s SOP Imports by Country Original, 2004-2008
- Table31, China’s SOP Exports by Destination Country, 2004-2008
- Table32, SOP Imports by Customs, 2004-2008
- Table33, China’s SOP Exports by Customs, 2004-2008
- Table34, SOP Imports by Provinces, 2004-2008
- Compound Fertilizer
- Table35, Balance Sheet of Compound Fertilizer in China, 2004-2009
- Table36, Balance Sheet of DAP in China, 2004-2009
- Table37, Balance Sheet of NPK in China, 2004-2009
- Table38, Compound Fertilizer Production, 2004-2008
- Table39, Compound Fertilizer Consumption, 2004-2008
- Table40, China’s NPK Imports by Country Original, 2004-2008
- Table41, China’s NPK Exports by Destination Country, 2004-2008
- Table42, NPK Imports by Customs, 2004-2008
- Table43, China’s NPK Exports by Customs, 2004-2008
- Table44, NPK Imports by Provinces, 2004-2008
- Table45, China’s DAP Imports by Country Original, 2004-2008
- Table46, China’s DAP Exports by Country Destination, 2004-2008
- Table47, DAP Imports by Customs, 2004-2008
- Table48, China’s DAP Exports by Customs, 2004-2008
- Table49, DAP Imports by Province, 2004-2008
- Chemical Fertilizer Related Products
- Table50, China’s Import by Major Chemical Fertilizer Related Products, 2004-2008
- Table51, China’s Production by Major Chemical Fertilizer Related Products, 2004-2008
- Table52, China’s Sulfur Import by Country Original, 2003-2007
- Table53, China’s Sulfur Import by Customs, 2004-2008
- Table54, China’s Exports by Major Chemical Fertilizer Related Products, 2004-2008
- Table55, China Phosphorite Exports by Destination Country, 2004-2008
- Table56, China Phosphorite Exports by Customs, 2004-2008
- APPENDIX Chronicles of Chemical Fertilizer Market in 2007
- Policy
- Investment & Construction
- Investment & Construction in Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry
- Investment in potash Fertilizer
- Investment in Phosphate and Compound Fertilizers
AbstractConsidering the world economic depression, China’s macro-economy faces a difficult situation in 2009. But the internal factors promoting long-term economic growth largely remain unchanged in China. The government’s measures to boost economy are expected to produce effects gradually.
According to international financial institutions like World Bank, IMF, etc., world GDP growth may drop to a low level of 1 ~ 2% in 2009 and world trade value may drop for the first time since 1982. Against such a background, plus Chinese currency’s relative appreciation, the increase rate of China’s export value is predicted to drop 3 ~ 4% in 2009 from the previous year.
In view of the resource product price decline and soft market demand at home and abroad, China’s CPI is predicted to rise less than 3% in 2009 over the previous year, unable to give a strong spur to economic growth.
Taking into account of the slowdown of economic development, consumers’ stagnant income growth, people’s shrinking assets arising from declining stock price and house price, gloomy job market, etc., the nation’s consumer goods retail value is predicted to grow 11 ~ 13% in 2009, down 1 ~ 2% from the previous year. Soft market demand affects enterprises’ profitability and quite a number of small and medium enterprises are likely to close down.
The government is expected to step up economic macro-control and carry out such regulating measures as active financial policy, loosen currency control, large-scale tax reduction, liquidity enhancement, etc. in 2009. Thanks to the government’s massive investment plan and loose currency control, investment in fixed assets may continue to enjoy a high increase rate in China in 2009.
Taking into account of the above factors, China’s is anticipated to maintain an economic growth rate of more than 8% in 2009. But due to the uncertainties in global financial crisis and the government’s macro-control polices, the nation’s economy is likely to experience drastic ups and downs.
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