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Oh, Baby! - US

Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.

Published: Feb. 1, 2009 - 83 Pages


Table of Contents


SCOPE AND THEMES

What you need to know

Definition

Data sources

Sales data

Consumer survey data

Abbreviations and terms

Abbreviations

Terms

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Introduction

Diapers segment varies while wipes sales grow steadily

Convenience outweighs altruism

Confusion and fun both create opportunity for new positioning of products

Migration to mass merchandisers and drug stores continues to eat at food store sales

Birth rate key driver for market

Economy changing how people shop

Major suppliers consolidate their market position

Marketing and promotion is increasingly online

Usage of disposable baby products

Preferred place of purchase and attitudes regarding products

Popularity of brands

MARKET SIZE AND FORECAST

Key points

Challenges abound

Figure 1: Total U.S. FDMx sales and forecast of disposable baby products at current prices, 2003-13

Figure 2: Total U.S. FDMx sales and forecast of disposable baby products at inflation-adjusted prices, 2003-13

Wal-Mart sales

COMPETITIVE CONTEXT

Fewer eco-friendly options of disposable diapers and wipes

Level of concentration creates less price competition

Confusion increases on conflicting research

Desire for natural products grows introductions at all price levels

SEGMENT PERFORMANCE

Key points

Maturity of diapers segment

Figure 3: U.S. FDMx sales and forecast of disposable baby products at current prices, by segment, 2003-13

Figure 4: U.S. FDMx sales of disposable baby products, by segment, 2006 and 2008

SEGMENT PERFORMANCE—DISPOSABLE DIAPERS AND TRAINING PANTS

Key points

Several price increases influence dollar sales

Figure 5: U.S. FDMx sales and forecast of disposable diapers and training pants, 2003-13

SEGMENT PERFORMANCE—BABY WIPES AND MOIST TOWELETTES

Key points

Wipes grow while toddler products may have peaked

Reusable wipes system launched, but faces challenges

Figure 6: U.S. FDMx sales and forecast of baby wipes and moist towelettes, 2003-13

SEGMENT PERFORMANCE—CLEANSING AND CARE

Key points

Cleansing and care vulnerable in economic downturn

Consumers choosing baby lotion instead of oil

Figure 7: U.S. FDMx sales and forecast of cleansing and care, 2003-13

RETAIL CHANNELS

Key points

Value in larger packs

Direct to consumer retailing by P&G

Figure 8: U.S. FDMx sales of disposable baby products, by retail channel, 2006 and 2008

RETAIL CHANNELS—FOOD STORES

Key points

Steady declines as consumers migrate to mass

Premium private label baby care lines continue to debut

Figure 9: U.S. food store sales of disposable baby products at other channels, 2003-08

RETAIL CHANNELS—DRUG STORES AND MASS MERCHANDISERS

Key points

Both drug stores and mass merchandisers grow sales

Adding value for purchasing multiple products together

Figure 10: U.S. drug store and mass merchandisers sales of disposable baby products at supermarkets, 2003-

08
MARKET DRIVERS

Fertility rate is central to the market

Figure 11: U.S. live births and fertility rates, 1996-2006

Number of children grows

Figure 12: Population under age 4, by single year of age, 2003-13

Hispanic birth rate rises fastest

Figure 13: Percent distribution of births, by race & Hispanic origin of mother, 1996-2006

Economy has effects on decision-making

Delaying starting or expanding family

Unemployment

Figure 14: Seasonally adjusted unemployment rate, 16 years and older, by month, 2000-08

More teen moms a mixed blessing

Figure 15: U.S. ratio of live births for multiple and twin births, by age of mother, 2006

Figure 16: Rate of twin, triplet, and higher-order multiple births, by year, 2006, 2000, 1995, 1990, 1985, 1980

LEADING COMPANIES

Key points

The strong get stronger

Brands change hands

Private label diapers consolidation

Figure 17: FDMx sales of leading disposable baby products companies, 2007 and 2008

BRAND SHARE—DISPOSABLE DIAPERS AND TRAINING PANTS

Key points

Disposable diapers

Figure 18: FDMx brand sales of disposable diapers in the U.S., 2007 and 2008

Disposable training pants

Figure 19: FDMx brand sales of disposable training pants in the U.S., 2007 and 2008

BRAND SHARE—BABY WIPES AND MOIST TOWELETTES

Key points

Sales of toddler wipes have likely peaked

Private label and small suppliers grow

Figure 20: FDMx brand sales of baby wipes and moist towelettes in the U.S., 2007 and 2008

BRAND SHARE—CLEANSING AND CARE

Key points

PL mirrors market, leading Johnson & Johnson’s products

Figure 21: FDMx brand sales of cleansing and care in the U.S., 2007 and 2008

BRAND QUALITIES

Discretion is the theme for GoodNites

INNOVATION AND INNOVATORS

Convenient disposable diapers heading toward lower eco-impact

Recyclable/recycled packaging instead of product

Phthalate-free products

Natural products appear in mass and luxury

Expanding nighttime baby products to toddlers

Diaper rash balms

ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION

OVERVIEW

INDIVIDUAL BRAND CAMPAIGNS

Pampers

Figure 22: Pampers Baby Dry, “Father tries to get baby to say dada” (080102573), 2008

Figure 23: Pampers cruisers with go baby grips, “How to sit in a chair” (080705036), 2008

Huggies

Figure 24: Huggies, Dad Stops Baby’s “Geyser” (080502844), 2008

Figure 25: Huggies baby wipes, “Sad rubber ducky follows child through home” (080201488), 2008

Luvs

Figure 26: Luvs bearhug stretch, “Baby wrestles teddy bear” (080700959), 2008

J&J debuts “webisodes” targeting Hispanics

Figure 27: Johnson’s Baby Lotion, “More giggles, gazes, smiles, and reaching out” (080419439), 2008

WEB MARKETING

Introduction

“Mommy Bloggers”

Sponsored links on search engines

Pampers

Huggies

Luvs

Johnson’s

USAGE

Usage of disposable baby products

Figure 28: Use of disposable baby products in households with children aged 0-3, by age of child, April 07-June

2008

Figure 29: Usage of baby oil in households with children, by lifestage, April 07-June 08

Figure 30: Usage of body and baby powder in households with children, by lifestage, April 07-June 08

ATTITUDES AND MOTIVATIONS

Place of purchase

Figure 31: Usual place of purchase for disposable baby products, December 2008

Attitudes and purchase preferences

Figure 32: Attitudes toward disposable baby products, agree summary, December 2008

Figure 33: Attitudes toward disposable baby products, agree summary, by number of children in household,

December 2008

RACE AND HISPANIC ORIGIN

Usage of disposable baby products

Figure 34: Use of disposable baby products in households with children aged 0-3, by race/Hispanic origin, April

07-June 08
Popularity of brands

Figure 35: Brand usage for pre-moistened wipes/cloths, by race/Hispanic origin, April 07-June 08

Figure 36: Brand usage for disposable diapers/training pants, by race/Hispanic origin, April 07-June 08

Figure 37: Brand usage for baby oil and baby lotion, by race/Hispanic origin, April 07-June 08

Figure 38: Brand usage for baby wash and bath products, by race/Hispanic origin, April 07-June 08

Figure 39: Brand usage for baby/children’s shampoo, by race/Hispanic origin, April 07-June 08

Figure 40: Brand usage for body and baby powder, by race/Hispanic origin, April 07-June 08

APPENDIX: OTHER USEFUL CONSUMER TABLES

Trended usage

Figure 41: Use of disposable baby products in households with children aged 0-3, 2005, 2006, and 2008

Use of disposable diapers and training pants

Figure 42: When diapers or disposable training pants are used, December 2008

Figure 43: Female respondents’ purchase of disposable diapers/training pants for children in household,

December 2008

Place of purchase of products

Figure 44: Usual place of purchase for disposable baby products, by race/Hispanic origin, December 2008

Attitudes and motivations

Figure 45: Attitudes toward disposable baby products, agree summary, by race/Hispanic origin, December 2008 69

APPENDIX: TRADE ASSOCIATIONS

Abstract

Newborn to Toddler Products

The confusion among consumers created through conflicting research on the safety of products containing bisphenol A (BPA), melamine, and phthalates offers manufacturers an opportunity to connect with concerned consumers through marketing of products free from such chemicals. Product scares and recalls including toys from China, formula with melamine, and even baby sunglasses with lead paint is likely to have left many parents concerned about product safety. The FDA has done little to allay fears as statements from the agency often cite “acceptable” levels of chemicals or suggest that there is not enough credible research to withdraw products.

Products that are phthalate-free have a chance to stand out on crowded baby product shelves by offering peace of mind to concerned consumers. The following products demonstrate the “free of” strategy manufacturers are using.

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