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Published by: Key Note Publications Ltd
Published: Dec. 1, 2008 - 112 Pages
Table of Contents
- Executive Summary
- 1. Market Definition
- REPORT COVERAGE
- MARKET SECTORS
- MARKET TRENDS
- Bus Journeys Continue to Increase
- Bus Fares Rise
- Bus Design
- London Continues to Dominate Bus Market
- Leading UK Bus and Coach Operators Expand Overseas
- ECONOMIC TRENDS
- Population
- Table 1: UK Resident Population Estimates by Sex
- (000), Mid-Years 2003-2007
- Gross Domestic Product
- Table 2: UK Gross Domestic Product at Current
- and Annual Chain-Linked Prices (£m), 2003-2007
- Inflation
- Table 3: UK Rate of Inflation (%), 2003-2007
- Unemployment
- Table 4: Actual Number of Unemployed Persons
- in the UK (million), 2003-2007
- Household Disposable Income
- Table 5: Household Disposable Income Per Capita (£),
- 2003-2007
- MARKET POSITION
- The UK
- Table 6: Passenger Journeys on Public Transport
- in Great Britain by Mode of Transport
- (million journeys and %),
- Years Ending March 2004-2008
- Table 7: Distance Travelled on Public Transport in Great Britain by Mode of Transport (billion
- passenger kilometres and %), 2002-2006
- Overseas
- Table 8: Number of Buses and Coaches in Use
- in the EU-25 (000 and %), 2000, 2003 and 2004
- 2. Market Size
- THE TOTAL MARKET
- Table 9: The Total Bus and Coach Services Market
- in Great Britain by Value at Current Prices
- (£m and %), Years Ending March 2004-2008
- Figure 1: The Total Bus and Coach Services Market
- in Great Britain by Value at Current Prices
- (£m), Years Ending March 2004-2008
- Local Services
- Government Support
- Table 10: Local Bus Services — Government Support
- at Current Prices (£m), Years Ending March 2003-2007
- Table 11: Local Bus Services — Breakdown of Operators’ Income (%), Years Ending March 2003-
- 2007
- Operating Costs by Area
- Table 12: Local Bus Services in Great Britain — Operating Costs by Area at Constant 2007/
- Prices (pence per vehicle kilometre and pence per passenger journey),
- Years Ending March 2003-2007
- Fare Indices by Area
- Table 13: Local Bus Services in Great Britain — Fare Indices
- by Area at Constant Prices (index 1995=100),
- Years Ending March 2004-2008
- Number of Passenger Journeys by Area
- Table 14: Local Bus Services in Great Britain — Number
- of Passengers Journeys by Area (million and %),
- Years Ending March 2004-2008
- Table 15: Local Bus Services in Great Britain —
- Vehicle Kilometres by Area (million),
- Years Ending March 2004-2008
- Vehicle Kilometres — Commercial and Subsidised Services
- Table 16: Vehicle Kilometres — Commercial and Subsidised Services in Great Britain Outside
- London (million vehicle kilometres and %), Years Ending March 2004-2008
- Non-Local Services
- By Volume
- Table 17: Non-Local Bus Services in Great Britain —
- Bus Passenger Kilometres (million and %),
- Years Ending March 2004-2008
- Table 18: Non-Local Bus Services in Great Britain — Vehicle Kilometres (million and %), Years
- Ending March 2004-2008
- 3. Industry Background
- RECENT HISTORY
- NUMBER OF COMPANIES
- Table 19: Number of Active Bus and Coach Operators in
- Great Britain (number and %), Years Ending March 2004-2008
- Table 19: Number of Active Bus and Coach Operators
- in Great Britain by Number of Discs (number and %),
- Years Ending March 2005-2008
- Table 21: Number of Public Service Vehicles
- in Operation in Great Britain by Type of Vehicle,
- Years Ending March 2004-2008
- EMPLOYMENT
- Number of Employees by Type of Job
- Table 22: Number of Bus and Coach Staff in Great Britain
- by Type of Job (000), Years Ending March 2004-2008
- REGIONAL VARIATIONS IN THE MARKETPLACE
- Table 23: Bus Passenger Journeys by Government Office Region in Great Britain (million), Year
- Ending March 2008
- DISTRIBUTION
- Table 24: Type of Bus Ticket Used by Area in Great Britain
- (% of total), Year Ending March 2008
- HOW ROBUST IS THE MARKET?
- Table 25: Overall Change in Bus and Coach Annual
- Operating Costs (%), Years Ending June 2004-2008
- Table 26: Annual Change in Bus and Coach Operating Costs
- by Individual Cost Category (%), Year Ending June 2008
- Table 27: Breakdown of Bus and Coach Operating Costs
- by Individual Cost Category (%), Year Ending June 2008
- LEGISLATION
- Concessionary Bus Travel Act 2007
- Disability Discrimination Acts 1995 and 2005
- Table 28: Full-Size Buses with Low-Floor Wheelchair Accessibility in Great Britain (%), 2003/
- 2004-2007/2008
- KEY TRADE ASSOCIATIONS
- Coach Tourism Council
- Confederation of Passenger Transport UK
- 4. Competitor Analysis
- THE MARKETPLACE
- Table 29: Leading UK Bus Operators by Approximate
- Size of Fleet (number and %), September 2008
- MARKET LEADERS
- FirstGroup PLC
- Company Structure
- Current and Future Developments
- Financial Results
- National Express Group PLC
- Company Structure
- Current and Future Developments
- Financial Results
- The Go-Ahead Group PLC
- Current and Future Developments
- Financial Results
- Arriva PLC
- Company Structure
- Current and Future Developments
- Financial Results
- Stagecoach Group PLC
- Company Structure
- Current and Future Developments
- Financial Results
- OUTSIDE SUPPLIERS
- Table 30: New Registrations of Buses and Coaches in the UK
- by Manufacturer (number and %), 2006 and 2007
- MARKETING ACTIVITY
- Table 31: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Bus
- and Coach Operators (£000), Years Ending June 2004-2008
- Table 32: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Bus
- and Coach Operators (£000), Year Ending June 2008
- EXHIBITIONS
- Coach & Bus Live 2009
- European Bus & Coach Exhibition
- UK Bus Awards
- 5. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats
- STRENGTHS
- WEAKNESSES
- OPPORTUNITIES
- THREATS
- 6. Buying Behaviour
- BUS PASSENGER SATISFACTION SURVEY
- Overall Satisfaction Indicators
- Table 33: Overall Satisfaction Ratings Among
- Bus Users in England by Area, 2003/2004-2007/2008
- Table 34: Overall Reliability† Ratings Among
- Bus Users in England by Area, 2003/2004-2007/2008
- Key Satisfaction Indicators
- Table 35: Satisfaction Ratings Among Bus Users
- in England by Category, 2003/2004-2007/2008
- Table 36: Satisfaction Ratings Among Bus Users
- in England by Category by Area, 2007/2008
- Table 37: Satisfaction Ratings Among Bus Users in England
- by Selected Category by Region Excluding London, 2007/2008
- Table 38: Overall Service Satisfaction Ratings Among
- Bus Users in England by Sex and Age by Area, 2007/2008
- Table 39: Overall Service Satisfaction Ratings
- Among Bus Users in England by Purpose of Journey
- by Area, 2007/2008
- Table 40: Overall Service Satisfaction Ratings Among
- Bus Users in England by Frequency of Use by Area, 2007/2008
- 7. Current Issues
- POLITICS
- £25m Additional Funding for the KickStart Programme
- Review Backs Yellow School Buses
- Quality Partnerships
- INDUSTRIAL ACTION
- Unite Members Strike for Improved Pay
- CONSUMER BEHAVIOUR
- Rise in Public Transport Use Expected as Concerns Grow Over Costs of Motoring
- CORPORATE ACTIVITY
- LEGISLATION
- The Local Transport Bill
- The Concessionary Bus Travel Act
- TECHNOLOGY
- 8. The Global Market
- COMPARATIVE TRANSPORT PERFORMANCES
- Table 41: Passenger Transport Performance of the EU-25,
- the US and Japan by Mode of Transport
- (billion passenger kilometres and %), 2004
- Table 42: Passenger Transport Performance of the EU-25,
- the US and Japan by Mode of Transport
- (000 passenger kilometres per inhabitant), 2004
- Europe
- Table 43: Passenger Transport Performance
- in the EU-25 by Mode of Transport
- (billion passenger kilometres and %), 2000-2004
- Table 44: Comparison of Bus and Coach Numbers
- and Use in the EU-25 (000, billion passenger kilometres
- and 000 passenger kilometres per vehicle), 2004
- The US
- Table 45: US National Bus Fleet by Size of Fleet, Average Fleet Age and Number of Funded Bus
- Operators, 2003-2007
- Table 46: US National Bus Fleet Revenues by Source
- of Revenue ($m at constant 2000 prices), 2003-2007
- Table 47: US National Bus Fleet by Passenger Trips and Vehicle Revenue Miles (millions), 2003-
- 2007
- Leading Operators
- 9. Forecasts
- INTRODUCTION
- The Economy
- Gross Domestic Product
- Table 48: Forecast UK Growth in Gross Domestic Product
- in Real Terms (%), 2008-2012
- Population
- Table 49: Forecast UK Resident Population
- by Sex (000), Mid-Years 2008-2012
- Inflation
- Table 50: Forecast UK Rate of Inflation (%), 2008-2012
- Unemployment
- Table 51: Forecast Actual Number of Unemployed Persons (millions), 2008-2012
- Key Trends in the First Half of 2008
- FORECASTS 2008 TO 2013
- Table 52: The Forecast Total Bus and Coach Services Market
- in Great Britain by Value at Current Prices (£m),
- Years Ending March 2009-2013
- Figure 2: The Forecast Total Bus and Coach Services Market
- in Great Britain by Value at Current Prices (£m),
- Years Ending March 2009-2013
- Table 53: Local Bus Services in Great Britain —
- Forecast Number of Passenger Journeys by Area
- (million and %), Years Ending March 2009-2013
- MARKET GROWTH
- Figure 3: The Forecast Total Bus and Coach Services
- Market in Great Britain by Value at Current Prices
- (£m), Years Ending March 2004-2013
- FUTURE TRENDS
- Targets for Public Transport
- 10. Company Profiles
- Arriva Plc
- Firstgroup Plc
- The Go-ahead Group Plc
- National Express Group Plc
- Stagecoach Group Plc
- 11. Further Sources
- Associations
- Publications
- General Sources
- Government Publications
- Other Sources
- Bisnode Sources
- Key Note Research
- The Key Note Range of Reports
AbstractThe British market for scheduled bus and coach services (including concessionary fare reimbursements, but excluding public transport support) is estimated to have reached approximately £6.31bn in 2007/2008 — a 6% increase on the estimated figure for 2006/2007. Bus patronage in England continues to be driven by growth in London. Excluding London, only moderate growth was seen in bus use in England between 2003/2004 and 2007/2008.
In 2006/2007, government financial support for local bus services (including public transport support, concessionary fare reimbursements and the bus service operators grant, but excluding passenger receipts) increased by 15.5%. Since April 2006, over-60 year-olds and disabled people have been able to travel free on local bus services within their own local authority areas, and from April 2008, the same concession applied throughout the country. In 2006/2007, passenger receipts on local bus services increased by 4.5%, while total income for local bus services, including government support, increased by 8.9%.
The bus market in the UK continues to be dominated by five major operators, which together account for almost three-quarters of all buses on UK roads. In addition to their UK growth activities, these leading operators are also expanding their operations overseas. For example, FirstGroup PLC has established itself as a market leader in the North American bus-transport market following its acquisition of the US bus operator Laidlaw International in 2007. Similarly, Arriva PLC is expanding its business in continental Europe through a series of acquisitions.
According to the Confederation of Passenger Transport UK, fuel costs for bus and coach operating companies increased by an average of 9.6% in the year ending June 2008. Although fuel is a significant cost pressure, it still only accounts for an average of 13% of the overall costs of bus and coach operators, and an even smaller percentage for some of the larger companies that are able to hedge their fuel contracts. Smaller operators are more at risk, as they typically have a fuel spend below the threshold volumes at which fuel hedging contracts are available, and, as a result, face fuel cost increases that are well in excess of the national average.
Key Note forecasts that the value of the total bus and coach services market will continue to increase in the 5 years to 2012/2013. The factors that are expected to aid this increase include: additional travel under concessionary fares schemes; partnerships with local authorities; and consumers choosing to switch to public transport as a result of rising motoring costs and concerns about the environment. However, there are also some significant uncertainties for the future of the market regarding demand management policies in urban areas, and the strategies adopted by local authorities and bus and coach operators more generally.
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