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Retail E-Commerce Update

Published by: eMarketer

Published: Dec. 1, 2008 - 13 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary

US Retail E-Commerce Sales, 2007-2012 (billions and % change)

Key Questions

The eMarketer View

Key eMarketer Numbers - US Retail E-Commerce Update

US Retail E-Commerce Forecast Model

US Retail E-Commerce Forecast Model, 2007-2012

US Online Shopper and Buyer Definitions, 2007

Online Sales

US Retail E-Commerce Sales, 2007-2012 (billions and % change)

US Retail E-Commerce Sales, 2001-2006 & 2007-2012 (CAGR)

US Retail E-Commerce Sales Growth, Q1-Q3 2008 (% change*)

Comparative Estimates: US Retail E-Commerce Sales, 2008-2012 (billions)

Online Shoppers

US Online Shoppers and Penetration, 2007-2012 (millions and % of Internet users)

Online Buyers

US Online Buyers and Penetration, 2007-2012 (millions and % of Internet users)

Comparative Estimates: US Online Buyers, 2006 & 2007 (% of Internet users)

US Online Buyers as a Percent of Online Shoppers, 2007-2012

Average Annual Amount US Online Buyers Spend Online, 2007-2012 ($ and % change)

Growth of US Online Buyers vs. Growth in Average Spend per US Online Buyer, 2007-2012 (% change)

E-Commerce Growth Factors

Teenage Online Consumers

Sources Used by US Teens to Learn About "Cool" New Products, November 2007 (% of respondents)

Products Purchased Online by US Teen Online Buyers, 2008 (% of respondents)

Addressing Online Shopping Concerns

Positive and Negative Attitudes of US Internet Users Toward Online Shopping, by Age, August-September 2007 (% of respondents in each group)

Product Categories with Room to Grow Online

US Retail E-Commerce Sales as a Percent of Retail Industry Sales, 2002-2007

US Retail E-Commerce Sales as a Percent of Retail Industry Sales, Q1-Q4 2007

Online Retail Market Penetration in the US, by Leading Categories, 2007 & 2008 (% of total retail market)

Conclusion

Endnotes

099349 | 099350 | 099358 | 099359

US Retail E-Commerce Sales, 2007-2012 (billions and % change)

US Retail E-Commerce Sales, 2001-2006 & 2007-2012 (CAGR)

Average Annual Amount US Online Buyers Spend Online, 2007-2012 ($ and % change)

Growth of US Online Buyers vs. Growth in Average Spend per US Online Buyer, 2007-2012 (% change)

099346

Key eMarketer Numbers - US Retail E-Commerce Update

099347

US Retail E-Commerce Forecast Model, 2007-2012

099275

Comparative Estimates: US Retail E-Commerce Sales, 2008-2012 (billions)

099352 | 099354

US Online Shoppers and Penetration, 2007-2012 (millions and % of Internet users)

US Online Buyers and Penetration, 2007-2012 (millions and % of Internet users)

099280

Comparative Estimates: US Online Buyers, 2006 & 2007 (% of Internet users)

099357

US Online Buyers as a Percent of Online Shoppers, 2007-2012

Related Information and Links

Related Links

Contact

Report Contributors

Abstract

2008 was not a good year for e-commerce. Due to the economic crisis, eMarketer lowered its US retail e-commerce sales (excluding travel) estimate to $137 billion, up merely 7% over last year. It’s the first year of single-digit growth since the Department of Commerce (DoC) began tracking online sales in 1999.

The Retail E-Commerce Update report looks both forward and backward to track the trends affecting this important segment of the online economy.

After years of strong growth rates of 20% and higher, things are slowing down online. E-commerce sales are poised to increase at only a single-digit pace through 2012.

In fact, the impetus of further e-commerce growth will be increased spending by current online buyers. Some of the increase will be organic as many online buyers are naturally shifting a greater share of their purchases from stores to the Web in search of more convenience, broader product selection and cost savings.

Key questions the “Retail E-Commerce Update” report answers:
  • What is the forecast for retail e-commerce sales through 2012?
  • What forces are influencing the growth?
  • What impact are teens having on online shopping?
  • Which product categories generate the highest percentage of sales online?
  • And many others…
eMarketer Reports—On Target and Up to Date

The Retail E-Commerce Update report aggregates the latest data from marketing and communications researchers with eMarketer analysis to provide the information you need to make smart, timely business decisions.

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