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UK Retail Briefing - Mixed Goods Focus

Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.

Published: Oct. 1, 2008


Table of Contents


Analyst Comment


Ethical issues

Who cares? Who benefits?

Ethics and consumers

Local produce/organics

Ethics as a marketing tool



The Month in UK Retailing




Bakers (retail)

Greggs' LFLs up 3.9%

Thorntons reports Q1 sales growth



Co-ops (retail)

Co-op reports lift in H1 pre-tax profits



Grocers

Asda

…and Tesco slash food prices

…slashes petrol prices

…survey reveals UK families worse off by £600/year

…cuts petrol prices once again

…launches non-food arm

Holland & Barrett buys Julian Graves

Lidl opening causes stampede

Morrisons plans non-food push

Sainsbury's

…CEO concedes consumer sentiment is down

…reveals rise in H1 LFLs

Tesco

…reports 10.3% H1 profit boost

…plans assault on banking industry

…introduces new low-cost line

Waitrose

…and Booths form buying alliance

…announces date of first convenience store opening



Clothing retailing

Austin Reed FY sales down 3.8%

French Connection posts wider H1 losses

Jane Norman posts flat FY profits

Miss Sixty collapses into administration

Mosaic posts rise in H1 profits

Moss Bros H1 losses widen

Next

…CEO says cost-inflation will hit clothing retailers by 2009

…acquires Lipsy

Ted Baker sees H1 profits up



Mixed goods retailing

Argos to open 30 new shops following pilot's success

Woolworths

…posts record H1 loss

…chief announces cutbacks



Multi-sector retailing

Laura Ashley posts H1 profit rise

M&S

…hits out at Waitrose's cheaper food claim

…prepares to open first store in mainland China

…posts decline in Q2 LFLs

…opens first store in China



Department stores

Beales and Allders to link up for "greater synergies"

Debenhams CEO reports LFLs, predicts tough year ahead

Harrods posts record FY sales

House of Fraser

…to open discount fascia

…reassures suppliers



DIY retailing

Kingfisher

…sees LFLs fall, profits rise in H1

…mulls tax base switch

…willing to off-load Hornbach

Topps Tiles reports slump in like-for-like sales



Music and video goods retailing

Zavvi's FY LFLs up despite losses



Carpet retailing

Carpetright

…chief prepares for downturn

…FY and Q2 predictions remain cautious



Furniture retailing

DFS cuts 100 jobs amid economic crisis

Habitat should become high street's Ikea, says Conran

Land of Leather

…directors agree to defer pay

…FY profits plunge

MFI

…looks for emergency funding

…looks for new rental deal with landlords

…undergoes management buy-out

…granted 3-month 'rent holiday'

…likely to close up to 100 stores



Homewares retailing

Rosebys collapses into administration



Home shopping

Amazon launches UK clothing range

Asos

…vows to overtake Next

…sees rise in H1 sales

Flying Brands prepares to offset poor FY trading

Ideal

…posts H1 results, issues profit warning

…CEO resigns

Shop Direct cuts jobs following restructuring



Sports and leisure goods retailing

Blacks losses widen in H1

JJB Sports

…reports H1 loss

…refutes claims it breached banking covenants

…faces uncertainty after losing supplier credit insurance

JD Sports reports 71% H1 profit boost



Jewellers

Aurum reports FY sales boost



Books and stationery retailing

WH Smith reports 15% FY profit increase



Miscellaneous specialist retailing

Halfords posts H1 profits



Executive Appointments


Beales appoints Edelman as non-executive director

Kesa appoints new CEO

Liberty appoints sales director as part of own-label expansion

Tesco non-executive director resigns

Urban Outfitters appoints MD for Anthropologie



Product Development - Meals and Meal Centres


Asda

Iceland

Marks & Spencer

Sainsbury’s

Somerfield

Tesco

Waitrose



Advertising News


New campaigns

Ann Summers launches viral campaign for Rampant Rabbit

John Lewis’ autumn campaign to star Karen Elson

Morrisons unveils healthy promotion

Netto debuts customer rewards scheme

Next ads to star Dannii Minogue

Thorntons promotes new premium range

Waitrose in autumn campaign

Account gains/losses

Adams Childrenswear hires Total Media

Amazon ditches Etype

Boots tipped to hand £56m account to OMD

Office hires FST for website, customer mag relaunch

Thresher Group appoints Krow Communications and MPG



Retail Advertising Review


Advertising expenditure

Figure 1: Total advertising expenditure by all advertisers (£m), Jul 2004-Jul 2008

Figure 2: Total advertising expenditure by all retail advertisers (£m), Jul 2004-Jul 2008

Figure 3: Use of media by retail and all advertisers (£m), Jul 2007-Jul 2008

Figure 4: Use of media by retail and all advertisers (%), Jul 2007-Jul 2008

Top 25 retail advertisers

Figure 5: Top 25 retailers by adspend (£), Jun 2008-Jul 2008

Food

Furniture

Optical retailers

DIY retailers

Other

Nielsen Media Research/Definitions



Retail Sales and Inflation


Retail sales

Office for National Statistics

Figure 6: Retail sales trends: Aug 2007-Aug 2008

Figure 7: Non seasonally adjusted % value change on previous year, Aug 2007-Aug 2008

Figure 8: Seasonally adjusted % volume change on previous year, Aug 2007-Aug 2008

Significant features of August’s ONS statistics

Confederation of British Industry

British Retail Consortium

Retail price inflation trends

Figure 9: Annual percentage change in retail price index for selected product groups: Aug 2007-Aug 2008

Figure 10: Annual percentage change in retail price index for selected product groups: Aug 2007-Aug 2008

Retail Prices Index

Consumer Prices Index

British Retail Consortium: Shop Price Index



Sector Analysis - Mixed Goods


Sales trends

Figure 11: Mixed goods retailers, sales trends, 1998-2008

Figure 12: Mixed Goods retailers as % of all retail sales, 1998-2007

Retail price inflation

Figure 13: Indices of retail prices for product categories, Jan 2001-Jan 2008 (Jan 1987=100)

Sales by sub-sector

Figure 14: Mixed goods retailers, breakdown of sales by sub-sector, 2001-07

Consumer expenditure

Figure 15: Consumer expenditure on selected product categories (£m), 2001-07

Mixed goods retailers: Latest trends

Figure 16: Mixed goods retailers’ sales, 2005/06

Figure 17: Mixed goods retailers’ operating profits, 2003/04-2006/07

Argos

Debenhams

John Lewis

Woolworths

Harrods

House of Fraser



Sector News Review: Mixed Goods Retailing


May

Mixed goods retailing

Home Retail Group FY sales/profits rise, warns of outlook

Instore cuts FY loss

Multi-sector retailing

Boots' Pessina to accelerate growth

HMV reports 7.3% rise in FY LFLs

M&S

June

Mixed goods retailing

Mothercare posts strong FY sales and profit growth

Woolworths to grab slice of Indian toy market

Multi-sector retailing

Boots

M&S

Department stores

Debenhams to expand in Russia and India

House of Fraser implements data synchronisation service

July

Mixed goods retailing

Argos workers prepare to strike at four distribution centres

Instore

Woolworths fined £350,000 for contravention of disclosure rules

Multi-sector retailing

Pessina and KKR to invest more in Boots

M&S

Department stores

Beales unveils H1 results

Debenhams

August

Mixed goods retailing

Instore rejects Seaham's £11.4m takeover bid

Mothercare posts Q1 results

Woolworths warns H1 results will be lower than expected

Multi-sector retailing

Marks & Spencer

Department stores

Beales rejects tender offer

Debenhams

John Lewis’ sales edge ahead

September

Mixed goods retailing

Argos' and Homebase' Q2 LFLs disappoint, Homebase value lowered

Woolworths

Multi-sector retailing

Boots launches drive-through pharmacy

HMV

John Lewis

M&S

Department stores

Beales reports 6% decline in 43-week sales

General Trading Company to relaunch in spring

House of Fraser sees sales rise

Liberty losses widen in H1

October

Mixed goods retailing

Argos to open 30 new shops following pilot's success

Woolworths

…posts record H1 loss

…chief announces cutbacks

Multi-sector retailing

Laura Ashley posts H1 profit rise

M&S

Department stores

Beales and Allders to link up for "greater synergies"

Debenhams CEO reports LFLs, predicts tough year ahead

Harrods posts record FY sales

House of Fraser



Sector Advertising Review - Mixed Goods


Advertising expenditure

Figure 18: Total advertising expenditure by MIxed goods retailers, Jul 2004-Jul 2008

Use of media

Figure 19: Use of media by Mixed goods retailers and all retailers (£), Jul 2007 and Jul 2008

Figure 20: Use of media by Mixed goods retailers and all retailers (%), Jul 2007 and Jul 2008

Top 10 mixed goods retailers

Figure 21: Top 10 Mixed goods retailers by adspend, Jul 2007 and Jul 2008

Retailer focus

Boots

Figure 22: Boots, media use by adspend and as share of total, Jul 2007-Jul 2008

Figure 23: Boots, top five brands by adspend, Jul 2008

Argos

Figure 24: Argos, media use by adspend and as share of total, Jul 2007-Jul 2008

Figure 25: Argos, top five brands by adspend, Jul 2008

Woolworths

Figure 26: Woolworths, media use by adspend and as share of total, Jul 2007-Jul 2008

Figure 27: Woolworths, top five brands by adspend, Jul 2008

Next

Figure 28: Next, media use by adspend and as share of total, Jul 2007-Jul 2008

Figure 29: Next, top five brands by adspend, Jul 2008

Nielsen Media Research/Definitions



Report Focus: Fashion Accessories Retailing


The market

Influences

Consumers: where, why and what

Key findings

Marks & Spencer still star performer

The fashion chains

Specialists are under pressure

Figure 30: Where they buy fashion accessories, last 12 months, July 2008

Debenhams gives Marks & Spencer and Next competitive pressure

Primark drawing budget-conscious fashionistas

Supermarkets have a broad appeal

River Island and Topshop attract men and women

Internet a strong opportunity

Claire’s needs more differentiation

Online opportunity for Accessorize

Difference between internet and mail order customers

Broad appeal of other clothing specialists

Non-buyers are mostly older men

Accessory shoppers are promiscuous

How they shop

Key points

Figure 31: How they shop for fashion accessories, July 2008

Destination Shoppers (35%)

Open to Buy Shoppers (14%)

Impulse Purchasers (12%)

Careful Considerers (9%)

Enthusiastic Shoppers (8%)

Figure 32: How they shop for fashion accessories, by gender, age and socio-economic group, July 2008

Distracted Shoppers (5%)

Researchers (5%)

Figure 33: How they shop for fashion accessories, by gender, age and socio-economic group, July 2008

What influences them

Key points

Figure 34: Influences when buying fashion accessories, July 2008

Cheap price and treating

Looking for something different….

…will help ‘have to have it’ motivation

Men and women are influenced by a friend’s advice

Figure 35: Influences when buying fashion accessories, July 2008

Older consumers influenced by gifts

Ethical/eco of very little influence

Figure 36: Influences when buying fashion accessories, July 2008

Leading retailers

Specialists

Figure 37: Approximate price range positioning of specialist accessories retailers, 2008

Accessorize

Figure 38: Monsoon UK & Eire, financial performance and store numbers, 2003-07

Claire’s Accessories

Figure 39: Claire’s Accessories, financial performance, 2003-07

Tie Rack (Frangi)

Figure 40: Frangi investments ltd financial performance, 2003-07

Non-specialists

Major retailers

Figure 41: Approximate entry/exit price range positioning of Marks & Spencer, Next and Bhs, 2008

Marks & Spencer

Next

Women

Men

Bhs

Women

Men

Clothing specialists

Arcadia Group

Topshop

Topman

Dorothy Perkins

Burton

Miss Selfridge

Evans

Wallis

Figure 42: Approximate entry/exit price range positioning of arcadia group retailers, 2008

Topshop

Topman

Dorothy Perkins

Burton

Miss Selfridge

Evans

Wallis

Strategic evaluation

Mosaic fashions

Oasis

Coast

Karen Millen

Principles

Warehouse

Figure 43: Approximate entry/exit price range positioning of Mosaic Fashions group retailers, 2008

Insights from the Industry

Influences - celebrities

Influences - internet blogs

Blogging is increasingly influential and the new word-of-mouth.

Influences - limited editions

The end of the ‘It bag’

The future

Abstract

UK Retail Briefing is a monthly news digest service, which brings together news on companies and their business environments. The coverage is split by sector and supplemented by soundbite-style commentary and opinion. Recent sales figures are given with month-by-month trends for each sector, plus an inflation monitor highlighting key developments. All companies are indexed in each issue, giving you the option of short-cutting to news of your own organisation, key competitors or clients.



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