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Mobile Dating - Opportunities & Forecasts 2008-2013

Published by: Juniper Research Limited

Published: Oct. 1, 2008 - 77 Pages


Table of Contents


1. Mobile Dating Services

1.1 Mobile Dating: The Japanese Experience

1.2 Mobile Dating in Western Markets: The Players

1.2.1 Handmade Mobile Dating (Flirtomatic)

i. Company Background

ii. Products & Services

1.2.2. 3G Dating Agency

Figure 1.1: 3G Dating Agency Leaflet

1.2.3 IceBreaker

i. Company Background

ii. Products and Services

1.2.4 MeetMoi

i. Company Background

ii. Products and Services

1.2.5 Moviligo

1.2.6 Webdate

1.2.7 Match.com

i. Company Background

ii. Mobile Services

1.2.8. Mobestar

i. Company Background

ii. Products and Services

1.3 Mobile Dating in Emerging Markets

2. User-Generated Content - Hurdles & Regulation

2.1 Hurdles to Customer Adoption and Retention

2.1.1 The User Interface

i. Difficulty in Discovering Content

ii. Difficulty In Accessing Content

iii. Difficulty in Navigating Content.

iv. Difficulty in Creating Content

v. Difficulty in Uploading Content

2.1.2 Industry Structure

2.1.3 Network Speed and Capacity

2.1.4 Service Pricing

2.1.5 Cost of Data Services

2.1.6 Handset Capacity and Battery Life

2.1.7 Privacy

2.1.8 Differentiation

2.1.9 Beyond Adoption - Customer Retention

2.2 The Regulation of UGC

2.2.1 Copyright

i. Viacom vs Google/YouTube

2.2.2 Explicit/Obscene Content

i. Age Verification - Users

ii. Age Verification - Models

2.2.3 Data Mining

3. Mobile Dating Forecasts

3.1 Mobile Phone Users Who Use Mobile Dating and Chat Services

Table 3.1: Percentage of Mobile Subscribers Who Use Mobile Dating/Chatroom Services, By Region, 2006-2013

Figure 3.1: Number of Active Users (m) of Mobile Dating/Chatroom Services, By Region, 2007- 2013

Table 3.2: Number of Active Users (m) of Mobile Dating/Chatroom Services, By Region, 2006-2013

3.2 Mobile Dating/Chatrooms, Subscription Revenues

Table 3.3: Percentage of Mobile Dating/Chatroom Users Who Pay Subscription Fees, By Region, 2007-2013

Figure 3.2: Number of Mobile Dating/Chatroom Users (m) Who Pay Subscription Fees, By Region, 2007-2013

Table 3.4: Number of Mobile Dating/Chatroom Users (m) Who Pay Subscription Fees, By Region, 2007-2013

Figure 3.3: Monthly Spend ($) By Mobile Dating/Chatroom Subscribers, By Region, 2007-2013

Table 3.5: Monthly Spend ($) By Mobile Dating/Chatroom Subscribers, By Region, 2007-2013

Figure 3.4: Subscription Revenues ($m) from Mobile Dating/Chatroom Services, By Region, 2007-2013

Table 3.6: Subscription Revenues ($m) from Mobile Dating/Chatroom Services, By Region, 2007-2013

3.3 Mobile Dating/Chatrooms, Premium Service Revenues

Figure 3.5: Number of Mobile Dating/Chatroom Customers (m) on Free Registrations, By Region, 2007-2013

Table 3.7: Number of Mobile Dating/Chatroom Customers (m) on Free Registrations, By Region, 2007-2013

Table 3.8: Percentage of Free Registration Mobile Dating/Chatroom Customers Who Opt for Premium Services, By Region, 2007-2013

Figure 3.6: Number of Free Registration Mobile Dating/Chatroom Customers (m) Who Opt for Premium Services, By Region, 2007-2013

Table 3.9: Number of Free Registration Mobile Dating/Chatroom Customers (m) Who Opt for Premium Services, By Region, 2007-2013

Table 3.10: User Spend Per Month ($) on Mobile Dating/Chatroom Premium Services, By Region, 2007-2013

Figure 3.7: Total Revenues ($m) from Mobile Dating/Chatroom Premium Services, By Region, 2007-2013

Table 3.11: Total Revenues ($m) from Mobile Dating/Chatroom Premium Services, By Region, 2007-2013

3.4. Total End User Generated Mobile Dating/Chatroom Revenues

Figure 3.8: Total End User Generated Mobile Dating/Chatroom Revenues ($m), By Revenue Stream, 2007-2013

Table 3.12: Total End User Generated Mobile Dating/Chatroom Revenues ($m), By Revenue Stream, 2007-2013

Figure 3.9: Total End User Generated Mobile Dating/Chatroom Revenues ($m), By Region, 2007-2013

Table 3.13: Total End User Generated Mobile Dating/Chatroom Revenues ($m), By Region, 2007-2013

3.5. Mobile Dating/Chatroom Revenues (Ad-Supported)

Table 3.14: Percentage of Mobile Dating/Chatroom Site Users Who Respond to Mobile Advertising, By Region, 2007-2013

Figure 3.10: Number of Mobile Dating/Chatroom Site Users That Respond to Mobile Advertising, By Region, 2007-2013

Table 3.15: Number of Mobile Dating/Chatroom Site Users That Respond to Mobile Advertising, By Region, 2007-2013

Figure 3.11: Average Number of Responses Per User Per Annum to Mobile Dating/Chatroom Site Advertising, By Region, 2007-2013

Table 3.16: Average Number of Responses Per User Per Annum to Mobile Dating/Chatroom Site Advertising, By Region, 2007-2013

Figure 3.12: Total Number of Responses Per Annum (m) to Mobile Dating/Chatroom Site Advertising, By Region, 2007-2013

Table 3.17: Total Number of Responses Per Annum (m) to Mobile Dating/Chatroom Site Advertising, By Region, 2007-2013

Table 3.18: CPC (Cost Per Clickthrough) Rates ($), Mobile Dating/Chatroom Sites, By Region, 2007-2013

Figure 3.13: Total AdSpend ($m) on Mobile Dating/Chatroom Sites, By Region, 2007-2013

Table 3.19: Total AdSpend ($m) on Mobile Dating/Chatroom Sites, By Region, 2007-2013

3.6. Mobile Dating/Chatroom Revenues (Total)

Figure 3.14: Total Mobile Dating/Chatroom Market ($m), 2007-2013

Table 3.20: Total Mobile Dating/Chatroom Market ($m), 2007-2013

4. Technology

4.1 Introduction

4.2 2G

4.2.1 Communication Technologies of 2G

i. GSM

ii. TDMA

iii. CDMA

iv. D-AMPS

4.2.2 Data Services

i. SMS

a. The Working of SMS

Figure 4.1: SMS Message Flow

b. Types of Messaging Services

- Mobile-originated SMS

- Mobile-terminated SMS

c. Premium-rate SMS (PRSMS)

4.3 2.5 & 2.75G

4.3.1 Communication Technologies of 2.5/2.75G

i. GPRS

ii. EDGE

iii. CDMA2000

4.3.2 Data Services

i. MMS

a. How Does MMS Work?

Figure 4.2: MMS Application Services

b. MMS Services

- MMS Entertainment and Information Services

Figure 4.3: Nokia’s 6280 3G Handset Supporting Video Streaming

c. Personalisation

4.3.3 The SMS/MMS Value Chain

Figure 4.4: SMS/MMS Value Chain

4.4 3G

Figure 4.5: 3G Access Technologies

Figure 4.6: Percentage of Mobile Users Who Own 3G Devices, December 2007 (Selected Countries)

Figure 4.7: Global 3G Subscriber Base, December 2007 (255.7 million users)

4.4.1 UMTS

Figure 4.8: Evolution of UMTS

i. WCDMA

ii. EV-DO

iii. TD-SCDMA

4.5 Beyond 3G

4.5.1 HSPA

4.5.2 3GLTE

4.5.3 CDMA2000 1x EV-DO Revisions A and B

4.5.4 UMB

4.5.5 Mobile WiMAX 802.16e-2005

Figure 4.9: WiMAX Timeline

4.6 Mobile Technologies Compared

Table 4.1: Comparative Chart of Mobile Technologies

4.7 Other Enabling Technologies

4.7.1 Wireless Internet Technologies

i. WAP

a. The Development of WAP

b. The Future of WAP - Where is WAP Heading?

Figure 4.10: Future Path of WAP

ii. The i-mode Alternative

Figure 4.11: NTT DoCoMo, i-mode Subscriber Growth (m) and i-mode Penetration of Total User Base (%) 2000-Q2 2008

iii. Dotmobi

4.7.2 Languages, Platforms and Operating Systems

i. Languages

a. Java

ii. Platforms

a. J2ME

b. BREW

iii. Operating Systems

a. Palm OS

b. Symbian

c. Windows Mobile

d. Android

4.7.3 Other Relevant Technologies and Standards

i. MP3

Figure 4.12: MP3 Phones: Nokia N91 and Sony Ericsson K800

ii. MP4

iii. MIDI

iv. Bluetooth

Abstract

This sector focused report provides an in depth examination of the current mobile dating market, including profiles of the leading players within the mobile dating space. It discusses the differing dating platforms available in both developed and emerging markets, including text based services and client based applications. The report also investigates current and proposed legislation which might potentially impact upon dating services, while projecting the number of mobile dating users through to 2013.

This study is vital for anyone wishing to identify where the main opportunities lie for the mobile dating market. Key forecasts include the proportion of mobile dating users who pay for services, average revenue per mobile dating user and total mobile dating revenues split by end user and advertising.

Key questions the report answers:
  • How many mobile dating users will pay for services over the next five years?
  • Which region will generate the most revenue from mobile dating services?
  • To what extent will mobile dating rely on advertising as a revenue stream?
  • What are the major hurdles to adoption of mobile dating services?
  • Who are the leading players in the mobile dating industry?


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